比特幣（BTC）的價格變動仍然是高度不可預測的，在看漲和看跌趨勢之間搖擺

比特幣[BTC]的價格變動仍然是不可預測的，在看漲和看跌趨勢之間搖擺。

Bitcoin [BTC]’s price movements have been highly unpredictable of late, swinging between bullish and bearish trends.

比特幣[BTC]的價格變動在最近的趨勢和看跌趨勢之間搖擺不定。

As this volatility continues, Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone has issued a pessimistic outlook, warning that Bitcoin could potentially drop to $10,000.

隨著這種波動的繼續，彭博分析師邁克·麥格隆（Mike McGlone）發表了悲觀的前景，警告說，比特幣可能會降至10,000美元。

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McGlone’s warning

麥格隆的警告

Amid signs of an overheated risk market while gold continues its upward trajectory, the analyst stated that, “Gold is up about the same amount in 2025 to March 13—about 15%—that Bitcoin is down. But with Bitcoin at about $80,000, what stops those trajectories? About a 6% decline in the S&P 500 could suggest what matters.”

分析師在跡象表明風險市場過熱的跡像中，而黃金持續其向上的軌跡，“黃金在2025年至3月13日的數量上漲了大約相同的數量，即15％ - 比特幣正在下降。但是，由於比特幣約為80,000美元，什麼阻止了這些軌跡？標準普爾500指數大約下降了6％，這可能表明重要的是。”

The analyst went on to draw historical parallels, noting that BTC emerged in 2009 during the stock market’s downturn following the mortgage crisis.

分析師繼續繪製歷史性的相似之處，並指出，在抵押貸款危機之後，在股市下跌期間，BTC出現在2009年。

“$100,000 Bitcoin Might Lose A Zero, Favoring Gold— #Bitcoin was born about when the #stockmarket bottomed in 2009 and has been a leader of one of the greatest risk-asset rallies in history, which may suggest what matters,” McGlone added.

McGlone補充說：“ 100,000美元的比特幣可能會失去零，偏愛黃金 - #bitcoin誕生於#stockmarket於2009年觸底時，並且是歷史上最偉大的風險資產集會之一的領導者，這可能暗示了重要的事情。”

Community reacts

社區反應

Replying to this prediction, Dave Weisberger took to X to enumerate a hypothetical worst-case scenario in which Bitcoin adoption stalls, gold narrative investors exit, the stock market collapses, and BTC’s beta remains stable—suggesting that under such extreme conditions, Bitcoin’s price could decline.

在回答這一預測時，戴夫·韋斯伯格（Dave Weisberger）列舉了一種假設的最壞情況，在這種情況下，比特幣採用攤位，黃金敘事投資者退出，股票市場崩潰和BTC的Beta beta仍然穩定 - 在這種極端情況下，比特幣的價格可能會下降。

However, he immediately dismissed these possibilities and stated, “Needless to say, I think NONE of the above will happen with A CHANCE the stock market crashes, which, of course, would trigger a flood of liquidity…”

但是，他立即駁回了這些可能性，並說：“不用說，以上都不會發生以上股市崩潰，這當然會觸發大量的流動性……”

Further sharing his optimism on Bitcoin, investor and entrepreneur Ben Marzinella highlighted the possibility of "losing a zero" from Bitcoin's price in a year's time.

進一步分享了他對比特幣，投資者和企業家本·馬爾皮內拉（Ben Marzinella）的樂觀態度，強調了一年內比特幣價格“失去零”的可能性。

Source: Ben Marzinella/X

資料來源：Ben Marzinella/X

However, if this major crash unfolds, the impact could be far more severe than anticipated, as highlighted by Bitcoin maximalist Joe Buchner, who stated, “If BTC dropped to 10k I think we’d be in a larger global issue than worrying about that. WWIII maybe would be in play and even then I think BTC would get flooded with $ for safety.”

但是，如果發生這種重大崩潰，那麼比特幣最大主義者喬·布赫納（Joe Buchner）強調的那樣，這種影響可能比預期的要嚴重得多。第二次世界大戰也許會在發揮作用，即使那樣，我認為BTC會為安全而被淹沒。”

Bitcoin’s current market trend

比特幣的當前市場趨勢

Yet, despite the prevailing market concerns and bearish predictions, Bitcoin continues to show resilience as it trades at $84,288.24 and has increased by 0.46% in the past 24 hours, according to CoinMarketCap.

然而，儘管CoinMarketCap稱，儘管市場上有廣泛的市場關注和看跌預測，但比特幣的交易價格仍在84,288.24美元，並且在過去24小時內增長了0.46％。

As BTC navigates this turbulent phase, technical indicators provide valuable insights. Notably, the MACD and RSI suggest that BTC remains in a bullish phase, which could be related to the recent price action and hints at potential upward momentum.

當BTC導航這一動盪階段時，技術指標提供了寶貴的見解。值得注意的是，MACD和RSI表明BTC仍處於看漲階段，這可能與最近的價格行動有關，並暗示了潛在的向上勢頭。

Source: TradingView

資料來源：TradingView

Therefore, while skepticism and bearish narratives persist, market dynamics indicate that Bitcoin’s trajectory is still unfolding, leaving investors watching closely for the next big move.

因此，儘管懷疑和看跌敘事持續存在，但市場動態表明，比特幣的軌跡仍在發展，使投資者密切關注下一個大舉動。