比特币（BTC）价格波动势头

在主要地缘政治和宏观经济因素的驱动下，比特币的价格在最近几天经历了强烈的波动。

Key Insights:

关键见解：

* Bitcoin’s price has experienced volatile trading in recent days, with major geopolitical and macroeconomic factors influencing the cryptocurrency’s market performance.

*比特币的价格在最近几天经历了波动的交易，主要的地缘政治和宏观经济因素影响了加密货币的市场绩效。

* Earlier this month, there was a strong rally in Bitcoin, nearly reaching $95,000, following U.S. President Donald Trump’s announcement that his administration was working on establishing a strategic Bitcoin reserve.

*本月初，在美国总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）宣布他的政府正在努力建立战略性比特币储备金之后，比特币进行了强烈的集会，几乎达到了95,000美元。

* However, the rally quickly lost momentum, leading to a sharp price correction. By March 4, Bitcoin’s valuation had dropped below $83,000, as concerns over the escalating global trade war weighed on financial markets.

*但是，集会迅速失去了动力，导致了急剧的价格校正。到3月4日，比特币的估值下降了83,000美元，因为对全球贸易战争不断升级的担忧对金融市场产生了影响。

* Despite this setback, bulls attempted to regain control, pushing BTC price back to $92,300 on March 6. However, the momentum was short-lived, and by March 11, Bitcoin had declined below $77,000, marking its lowest level since November 2024.

*尽管有这种挫折，但公牛队还是试图重新获得控制权，将BTC的价格推回了3月6日的92,300美元。但是，这种势头是短暂的，到3月11日，比特币已降至77,000美元以下，标志着自2024年11月以来的最低水平。

* Over the past 24 hours, the asset has shown signs of recovery, briefly reaching $84,000 before stabilizing at around $81,778 at the time of writing.

*在过去的24小时内，资产显示出恢复的迹象，短暂达到84,000美元，然后在写作时稳定下来约为81,778美元。

* Amid Bitcoin price woes, recent on-chain data highlights an increase in Bitcoin inflows to accumulation addresses, suggesting heightened buying activity.

*在比特币价格困境中，最近的链上数据突显了比特币流入到积累地址的增加，这表明购买活动增加了。

* A chart shared by analyst Vivek shows how these inflows, which represent BTC deposits into long-term holding addresses, have surged to unprecedented levels.

*分析师Vivek共享的图表表明，这些流入如何代表BTC沉积在长期持有地址中，已经飙升至前所未有的水平。

* Notably, a significant spike in accumulation was observed late last year, indicating that large investors, commonly referred to as whales, have been aggressively accumulating Bitcoin.

*值得注意的是，去年年底观察到积累的重大激增，表明通常称为鲸鱼的大型投资者一直在积极积累比特币。

* Key indicators in the analysis include the BTC price 30-day simple moving average (SMA), which tracks the average price over a month, and the inflows 30-day SMA, which smoothes out daily accumulation activity.

*分析中的关键指标包括BTC价格30天简单移动平均线（SMA），该平均值跟踪一个月内的平均价格和30天SMA的流入，可以平滑每日累积活动。

* The data indicates that in recent weeks, daily BTC inflows into accumulation addresses have reached peaks of over 36,000 BTC on specific days.

*数据表明，最近几周，在特定日期，每天的BTC流入积累地址已达到36,000 BTC的峰值。

* Historically, surges in accumulation have often coincided with increases in Bitcoin price, suggesting a potential bullish trend.

*从历史上看，积累的激增通常与比特币价格上涨相吻合，这表明潜在的看涨趋势。

* Other market analysts have been closely monitoring global liquidity trends, as they have historically influenced BTC price cycles.

*其他市场分析师一直在密切监视全球流动性趋势，因为它们历史上影响了BTC价格周期。

* Analyst AO’s latest research presents a correlation between Bitcoin’s price movements and the Global Liquidity Index, which measures overall market liquidity.

*分析师AO的最新研究表明，比特币的价格变动与全球流动性指数之间的相关性，该指数衡量了总体市场流动性。

* The research splits into two displays: one shows BTC price history while the other shows global liquidity growth.

*研究分为两个显示：一个显示BTC价格历史记录，另一个显示全球流动性增长。

* History proves that Bitcoin experiences major price growth during periods of global liquidity across markets.

*历史证明，在整个市场全球流动性期间，比特币经历了主要价格增长。

* Liquidity has increased across market sectors again this year, showing the same pattern as earlier bull markets which produced strong price growth.

*今年的流动性再次增加，显示出与较早产生强劲价格增长的早期牛市相同的模式。

* The analyst highlights that if past trends repeat, we could see Bitcoin reaching $450,000.

*分析师强调，如果过去的趋势重复，我们可能会看到比特币达到45万美元。

* Elsewhere, according to Rekt Capital, Bitcoin’s price movement on the daily chart shows positive indicators that could lead to an increase in the cryptocurrency’s value.

*在其他地方，根据Rekt Capital的说法，比特币在每日图表上的价格变动显示了积极的指标，这可能会导致加密货币的价值提高。

* The analysis indicates that Bitcoin has been in a downtrend, characterized by lower highs and lower lows.

*分析表明比特币一直处于下降趋势中，其特征是较低的高潮和较低的低点。

* However, recent price action suggests that the market might be moving toward a resurgence.

*但是，最近的价格行动表明，市场可能正在朝着复兴发展。

* On March 11, Bitcoin slipped below the $80,000 mark for a short period before returning above it to reach $83,168.

* 3月11日，比特币在短时间内跌至80,000美元以下，然后返回上面，达到83,168美元。

* A downward-sloping trendline remains intact, but a break above it could signal the start of a price recovery.

*向下倾斜的趋势线仍然完好无损，但是超出其突破可能标志着价格恢复的开始。

* RSI data points to improving market conditions with no overlapping price action but rising trend lines.

* RSI数据指出，没有重叠的价格行动，而是趋势线的上升，改善了市场状况。

* As Bitcoin fell to its lower lows, RSI recorded new higher lows, indicating that the bearish force is weakening.

*随着比特币跌至较低的低点，RSI记录了新的更高低点，表明看跌力正在减弱。

* The setup shows that Bitcoin may soon return to an upward movement.

*设置表明比特币可能很快返回向上移动。

* Another chart from analyst Mister Crypto compares Bitcoin’s current price cycle to its 2021 trajectory.

*分析师Crypto先生的另一个图表将比特币的当前价格周期与2021年轨迹进行了比较。

* Recent trends across the market suggest that Bitcoin will likely duplicate its impressive performance from late 2020 and early 2021.

*全面的趋势表明，比特币可能会从2020年末和2021年初复制其令人印象深刻的表现。

* The trend shows likely exponential Bitcoin growth with estimates reaching between $400,000 and $900,000.

*趋势表明，估计数量可能达到40万至900,000美元。

* For Bitcoin to reach these levels, it must break out of its recent area of variability around $80,000.

*为了使比特币达到这些水平，它必须从80,000美元的近期变异性领域中断出来。