比特幣（BTC）價格波動勢頭

在主要地緣政治和宏觀經濟因素的驅動下，比特幣的價格在最近幾天經歷了強烈的波動。

Key Insights:

關鍵見解：

* Bitcoin’s price has experienced volatile trading in recent days, with major geopolitical and macroeconomic factors influencing the cryptocurrency’s market performance.

*比特幣的價格在最近幾天經歷了波動的交易，主要的地緣政治和宏觀經濟因素影響了加密貨幣的市場績效。

* Earlier this month, there was a strong rally in Bitcoin, nearly reaching $95,000, following U.S. President Donald Trump’s announcement that his administration was working on establishing a strategic Bitcoin reserve.

*本月初，在美國總統唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）宣布他的政府正在努力建立戰略性比特幣儲備金之後，比特幣進行了強烈的集會，幾乎達到了95,000美元。

* However, the rally quickly lost momentum, leading to a sharp price correction. By March 4, Bitcoin’s valuation had dropped below $83,000, as concerns over the escalating global trade war weighed on financial markets.

*但是，集會迅速失去了動力，導致了急劇的價格校正。到3月4日，比特幣的估值下降了83,000美元，因為對全球貿易戰爭不斷升級的擔憂對金融市場產生了影響。

* Despite this setback, bulls attempted to regain control, pushing BTC price back to $92,300 on March 6. However, the momentum was short-lived, and by March 11, Bitcoin had declined below $77,000, marking its lowest level since November 2024.

*儘管有這種挫折，但公牛隊還是試圖重新獲得控制權，將BTC的價格推回了3月6日的92,300美元。但是，這種勢頭是短暫的，到3月11日，比特幣已降至77,000美元以下，標誌著自2024年11月以來的最低水平。

* Over the past 24 hours, the asset has shown signs of recovery, briefly reaching $84,000 before stabilizing at around $81,778 at the time of writing.

*在過去的24小時內，資產顯示出恢復的跡象，短暫達到84,000美元，然後在寫作時穩定下來約為81,778美元。

* Amid Bitcoin price woes, recent on-chain data highlights an increase in Bitcoin inflows to accumulation addresses, suggesting heightened buying activity.

*在比特幣價格困境中，最近的鏈上數據突顯了比特幣流入到積累地址的增加，這表明購買活動增加了。

* A chart shared by analyst Vivek shows how these inflows, which represent BTC deposits into long-term holding addresses, have surged to unprecedented levels.

*分析師Vivek共享的圖表表明，這些流入如何代表BTC沉積在長期持有地址中，已經飆升至前所未有的水平。

* Notably, a significant spike in accumulation was observed late last year, indicating that large investors, commonly referred to as whales, have been aggressively accumulating Bitcoin.

*值得注意的是，去年年底觀察到積累的重大激增，表明通常稱為鯨魚的大型投資者一直在積極積累比特幣。

* Key indicators in the analysis include the BTC price 30-day simple moving average (SMA), which tracks the average price over a month, and the inflows 30-day SMA, which smoothes out daily accumulation activity.

*分析中的關鍵指標包括BTC價格30天簡單移動平均線（SMA），該平均值跟踪一個月內的平均價格和30天SMA的流入，可以平滑每日累積活動。

* The data indicates that in recent weeks, daily BTC inflows into accumulation addresses have reached peaks of over 36,000 BTC on specific days.

*數據表明，最近幾週，在特定日期，每天的BTC流入積累地址已達到36,000 BTC的峰值。

* Historically, surges in accumulation have often coincided with increases in Bitcoin price, suggesting a potential bullish trend.

*從歷史上看，積累的激增通常與比特幣價格上漲相吻合，這表明潛在的看漲趨勢。

* Other market analysts have been closely monitoring global liquidity trends, as they have historically influenced BTC price cycles.

*其他市場分析師一直在密切監視全球流動性趨勢，因為它們歷史上影響了BTC價格週期。

* Analyst AO’s latest research presents a correlation between Bitcoin’s price movements and the Global Liquidity Index, which measures overall market liquidity.

*分析師AO的最新研究表明，比特幣的價格變動與全球流動性指數之間的相關性，該指數衡量了總體市場流動性。

* The research splits into two displays: one shows BTC price history while the other shows global liquidity growth.

*研究分為兩個顯示：一個顯示BTC價格歷史記錄，另一個顯示全球流動性增長。

* History proves that Bitcoin experiences major price growth during periods of global liquidity across markets.

*歷史證明，在整個市場全球流動性期間，比特幣經歷了主要價格增長。

* Liquidity has increased across market sectors again this year, showing the same pattern as earlier bull markets which produced strong price growth.

*今年的流動性再次增加，顯示出與較早產生強勁價格增長的早期牛市相同的模式。

* The analyst highlights that if past trends repeat, we could see Bitcoin reaching $450,000.

*分析師強調，如果過去的趨勢重複，我們可能會看到比特幣達到45萬美元。

* Elsewhere, according to Rekt Capital, Bitcoin’s price movement on the daily chart shows positive indicators that could lead to an increase in the cryptocurrency’s value.

*在其他地方，根據Rekt Capital的說法，比特幣在每日圖表上的價格變動顯示了積極的指標，這可能會導致加密貨幣的價值提高。

* The analysis indicates that Bitcoin has been in a downtrend, characterized by lower highs and lower lows.

*分析表明比特幣一直處於下降趨勢中，其特徵是較低的高潮和較低的低點。

* However, recent price action suggests that the market might be moving toward a resurgence.

*但是，最近的價格行動表明，市場可能正在朝著復興發展。

* On March 11, Bitcoin slipped below the $80,000 mark for a short period before returning above it to reach $83,168.

* 3月11日，比特幣在短時間內跌至80,000美元以下，然後返回上面，達到83,168美元。

* A downward-sloping trendline remains intact, but a break above it could signal the start of a price recovery.

*向下傾斜的趨勢線仍然完好無損，但是超出其突破可能標誌著價格恢復的開始。

* RSI data points to improving market conditions with no overlapping price action but rising trend lines.

* RSI數據指出，沒有重疊的價格行動，而是趨勢線的上升，改善了市場狀況。

* As Bitcoin fell to its lower lows, RSI recorded new higher lows, indicating that the bearish force is weakening.

*隨著比特幣跌至較低的低點，RSI記錄了新的更高低點，表明看跌力正在減弱。

* The setup shows that Bitcoin may soon return to an upward movement.

*設置表明比特幣可能很快返迴向上移動。

* Another chart from analyst Mister Crypto compares Bitcoin’s current price cycle to its 2021 trajectory.

*分析師Crypto先生的另一個圖表將比特幣的當前價格週期與2021年軌跡進行了比較。

* Recent trends across the market suggest that Bitcoin will likely duplicate its impressive performance from late 2020 and early 2021.

*全面的趨勢表明，比特幣可能會從2020年末和2021年初複製其令人印象深刻的表現。

* The trend shows likely exponential Bitcoin growth with estimates reaching between $400,000 and $900,000.

*趨勢表明，估計數量可能達到40萬至900,000美元。

* For Bitcoin to reach these levels, it must break out of its recent area of variability around $80,000.

*為了使比特幣達到這些水平，它必須從80,000美元的近期變異性領域中斷出來。