比特币（BTC）的价格已跌至85,000美元以下，一位著名的一日交易者警告说，旧约可能很快跌至70,000美元以下

比特币价格已跌至85,000美元以下，一位著名的一日交易者警告说，OT可能很快跌至70,000美元以下。除了看跌技术

Bitcoin (BTC) price dropped below the $85,000 level as it continues to struggle. In addition to bearish technicals, Bitcoin is also contending with low whale demand and macro headwinds ahead of Donald Trump’s Liberation Day next week.

随着比特币（BTC）的持续挣扎，比特币（BTC）的价格下跌低于85,000美元。除了看跌技术外，比特币还与鲸鱼的需求低下，在下周唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）的解放日之前。

Peter Brandt Warns Of Bitcoin Price Crash

彼得·布兰特警告比特币价格崩溃

One of the most popular traders on X has predicted that the Bitcoin price could implode below $70,000 in the coming days. Such a move would point to a 18% drop from the current level.

X上最受欢迎的交易者之一预测，在未来几天，比特币价格可能会爆炸至70,000美元以下。这样的举动将表明从当前水平下降18％。

Peter Brandt, who has authored a popular book on technical analysis, said that it would not be unreasonable for Bitcoin to crash. He said this in response to another trader who pointed to the chart below.

彼得·布兰特（Peter Brandt）撰写了一本流行的技术分析书，他说比特币崩溃并非是不合理的。他说，这是对另一个指向下图的交易者的回应。

This chart shows that Bitcoin price has faced substantial resistance around the $90,000 mark. It has failed to move above that level several times in March. At the same time, the coin has formed a rising wedge pattern, whose two lines have converged near the key resistance at $89,000.

该图表显示，比特币价格在90,000美元的大关左右面临着很大的阻力。在三月份，它未能超过该水平。同时，硬币形成了一个上升的楔形图案，其两条线在钥匙阻力附近汇合，为89,000美元。

This resistance was notable since it was the neckline of the double-top pattern at $108,675.

这种阻力是值得注意的，因为它是双顶图案的领口，价格为108,675美元。

Therefore, a combination of a double-top, a break-and-retest, a death cross, and a wedge pattern points to a bearish BTC price forecast. In this case, the initial target would be at $76, 430, the lowest level this month. Such a move would point to more downwards, potentially to last March’s high of $73,827 and then below $70,000.

因此，双顶，重新播放，死亡十字架和楔形模式的结合表明了看跌的BTC价格预测。在这种情况下，最初的目标是本月最低水平的76美元，430美元。这样的举动将指向更大的下降，有可能是去年3月的73,827美元的高点，然后低于70,000美元。

The bearish Bitcoin outlook will become invalid if the Bitcoin price rises above key resistance levels at $90,000, then $95,000, and $100,000.

如果比特币价格上涨至关键阻力水平高达90,000美元，然后是95,000美元和100,000美元，则看跌比特币前景将变得无效。

BTC At Risk As Options Expire, Whales Levers

BTC处于期权到期时的风险，鲸鱼杠杆

There are a few potential bearish catalysts for the Bitcoin price. First, options worth over $16.5 billion will expire on Friday, with the maximum pain being at $85,000.

比特币价格有一些潜在的看跌催化剂。首先，价值超过165亿美元的期权将在周五到期，最大痛苦为85,000美元。

Historically, Bitcoin experiences some intense volatility when there is such a big expiry.

从历史上看，当有如此大的到期时，比特币会经历一些强烈的波动。

Further, there are signs that whales are levering, meaning that less Bitcoins is moving to the derivative market. This feature often signals a reduced risk appetite, which is often a bearish catalyst for Bitcoin.

此外，有迹象表明鲸鱼在杠杆率，这意味着比特币较少转移到衍生品市场。此功能通常标志着降低的风险食欲，这通常是比特币的看跌催化剂。

From a macro level, Bitcoin price may crash ahead of next week’s Liberation Day, when Donald Trump will introduce his reciprocal tariffs. These will be huge tariffs targeting friends and foes of the United States.

从宏观水平来看，比特币价格可能在下周的解放日之前崩溃，唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）将介绍他的互惠关税。这些将是针对美国朋友和敌人的巨大关税。

In the short term, these large tariffs will be bearish as fear spreads in the market. However, the tariffs may trigger a recession in the long term, triggering a monetary and fiscal response, including stimulus cash and low interest rates. Bitcoin does well in an era of easy money.

在短期内，随着恐惧在市场上的蔓延，这些大型关税将是看跌。但是，关税可能会在长期内引发衰退，从而引发货币和财政响应，包括刺激现金和低利率。比特币在一个轻松的钱时代都很好。