比特幣（BTC）的價格已跌至85,000美元以下，一位著名的一日交易者警告說，舊約可能很快跌至70,000美元以下

比特幣價格已跌至85,000美元以下，一位著名的一日交易者警告說，OT可能很快跌至70,000美元以下。除了看跌技術

Bitcoin (BTC) price dropped below the $85,000 level as it continues to struggle. In addition to bearish technicals, Bitcoin is also contending with low whale demand and macro headwinds ahead of Donald Trump’s Liberation Day next week.

隨著比特幣（BTC）的持續掙扎，比特幣（BTC）的價格下跌低於85,000美元。除了看跌技術外，比特幣還與鯨魚的需求低下，在下週唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）的解放日之前。

Peter Brandt Warns Of Bitcoin Price Crash

彼得·布蘭特警告比特幣價格崩潰

One of the most popular traders on X has predicted that the Bitcoin price could implode below $70,000 in the coming days. Such a move would point to a 18% drop from the current level.

X上最受歡迎的交易者之一預測，在未來幾天，比特幣價格可能會爆炸至70,000美元以下。這樣的舉動將表明從當前水平下降18％。

Peter Brandt, who has authored a popular book on technical analysis, said that it would not be unreasonable for Bitcoin to crash. He said this in response to another trader who pointed to the chart below.

彼得·布蘭特（Peter Brandt）撰寫了一本流行的技術分析書，他說比特幣崩潰並非是不合理的。他說，這是對另一個指向下圖的交易者的回應。

This chart shows that Bitcoin price has faced substantial resistance around the $90,000 mark. It has failed to move above that level several times in March. At the same time, the coin has formed a rising wedge pattern, whose two lines have converged near the key resistance at $89,000.

該圖表顯示，比特幣價格在90,000美元的大關左右面臨著很大的阻力。在三月份，它未能超過該水平。同時，硬幣形成了一個上升的楔形圖案，其兩條線在鑰匙阻力附近匯合，為89,000美元。

This resistance was notable since it was the neckline of the double-top pattern at $108,675.

這種阻力是值得注意的，因為它是雙頂圖案的領口，價格為108,675美元。

Therefore, a combination of a double-top, a break-and-retest, a death cross, and a wedge pattern points to a bearish BTC price forecast. In this case, the initial target would be at $76, 430, the lowest level this month. Such a move would point to more downwards, potentially to last March’s high of $73,827 and then below $70,000.

因此，雙頂，重新播放，死亡十字架和楔形模式的結合表明了看跌的BTC價格預測。在這種情況下，最初的目標是本月最低水平的76美元，430美元。這樣的舉動將指向更大的下降，有可能是去年3月的73,827美元的高點，然後低於70,000美元。

The bearish Bitcoin outlook will become invalid if the Bitcoin price rises above key resistance levels at $90,000, then $95,000, and $100,000.

如果比特幣價格上漲至關鍵阻力水平高達90,000美元，然後是95,000美元和100,000美元，則看跌比特幣前景將變得無效。

BTC At Risk As Options Expire, Whales Levers

BTC處於期權到期時的風險，鯨魚槓桿

There are a few potential bearish catalysts for the Bitcoin price. First, options worth over $16.5 billion will expire on Friday, with the maximum pain being at $85,000.

比特幣價格有一些潛在的看跌催化劑。首先，價值超過165億美元的期權將在周五到期，最大痛苦為85,000美元。

Historically, Bitcoin experiences some intense volatility when there is such a big expiry.

從歷史上看，當有如此大的到期時，比特幣會經歷一些強烈的波動。

Further, there are signs that whales are levering, meaning that less Bitcoins is moving to the derivative market. This feature often signals a reduced risk appetite, which is often a bearish catalyst for Bitcoin.

此外，有跡象表明鯨魚在槓桿率，這意味著比特幣較少轉移到衍生品市場。此功能通常標誌著降低的風險食慾，這通常是比特幣的看跌催化劑。

From a macro level, Bitcoin price may crash ahead of next week’s Liberation Day, when Donald Trump will introduce his reciprocal tariffs. These will be huge tariffs targeting friends and foes of the United States.

從宏觀水平來看，比特幣價格可能在下週的解放日之前崩潰，唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）將介紹他的互惠關稅。這些將是針對美國朋友和敵人的巨大關稅。

In the short term, these large tariffs will be bearish as fear spreads in the market. However, the tariffs may trigger a recession in the long term, triggering a monetary and fiscal response, including stimulus cash and low interest rates. Bitcoin does well in an era of easy money.

在短期內，隨著恐懼在市場上的蔓延，這些大型關稅將是看跌。但是，關稅可能會在長期內引發衰退，從而引發貨幣和財政響應，包括刺激現金和低利率。比特幣在一個輕鬆的錢時代都很好。