比特币（BTC）价格分析：下降通道模式暗示看跌趋势

比特币[BTC]跌破67,000美元，在失去隔夜涨幅后触及日内低点65,700美元。截至发稿时售价为 66,972.95 美元

Bitcoin [BTC] fell below $67,000 during early trading on 28 October, reaching an intraday low of $65,700 after losing its overnight gains.

比特币 [BTC] 在 10 月 28 日早盘交易中跌破 67,000 美元，在失去隔夜涨幅后触及日内低点 65,700 美元。

Priced at $66,972.95 at press time, it shows a 1.22% decline in the past 24 hours and 2.01% over the past week.

截至发稿，价格为 66,972.95 美元，过去 24 小时下跌 1.22%，过去一周下跌 2.01%。

Despite the short-term dip, BTC’s market cap remains at $1.32 trillion, with a circulating supply of 20 million BTC. In the last 24 hours, trading volume reached $46.32 billion, reflecting continued interest from traders.

尽管出现短期下跌，但 BTC 的市值仍保持在 1.32 万亿美元，流通量为 2000 万枚。过去 24 小时内，交易量达到 463.2 亿美元，反映出交易者的持续兴趣。

Bitcoin has been trading within a clear descending channel. This pattern shows a series of lower highs and lower lows, indicating a bearish trend.

比特币一直在明显的下降通道内交易。该形态显示一系列较低的高点和较低的低点，表明看跌趋势。

The upper boundary of this channel, near $69,000, has repeatedly acted as a strong resistance level, pushing prices lower after each attempt to break above it.

该通道的上限接近 69,000 美元，多次充当强大阻力位，每次尝试突破该通道后都会推动价格走低。

As seen on the chart, recent rejections have followed similar patterns, suggesting that this resistance remains a key challenge for further gains.

从图表中可以看出，最近的拒绝遵循了类似的模式，表明这种阻力仍然是进一步上涨的关键挑战。

Support and resistance levels

支撑位和阻力位

Bitcoin’s press time upper resistance zone was between $67,583.25 and $69,000, a range that has consistently rejected bullish attempts.

截至发稿时，比特币的上阻力区位于 67,583.25 美元至 69,000 美元之间，这一区间一直拒绝看涨尝试。

If BTC manages to break above this range, it could pave the way for an extended move toward $70,000.

如果 BTC 成功突破该区间，则可能为进一步迈向 70,000 美元铺平道路。

However, failure to clear this level could see BTC reverting lower within the descending channel.

然而，如果未能突破这一水平，比特币可能会在下行通道内回落。

Immediate support is identified around $66,423.76, marked as a critical level on the chart. Should BTC breach this support, it could drop toward the lower boundary of the channel, projected between $60,000 and $62,000.

直接支撑位于 66,423.76 美元附近，在图表上标记为关键水平。如果 BTC 突破这一支撑位，它可能会跌向该通道的下限，预计在 60,000 美元至 62,000 美元之间。

RSI and MACD analysis

RSI 和 MACD 分析

At the time of this publication, Relative Strength Index (RSI) was at 56.75, positioned below its signal line at 63.00. This indicated that bullish momentum was weakening, approaching a more neutral zone.

截至本报告发布时，相对强弱指数 (RSI) 为 56.75，位于 63.00 信号线下方。这表明看涨势头正在减弱，接近中性区域。

Meanwhile, earlier in October, the RSI rose above 70, pointing to overbought conditions. The subsequent drop indicated a correction, yet the current RSI level still allows room for upward movement.

与此同时，10 月初，RSI 升至 70 以上，表明出现超买状况。随后的下跌表明了修正，但当前 RSI 水平仍然留有向上移动的空间。

Maintaining above the 50 mark is important for bullish momentum to sustain.

维持在 50 关口之上对于维持看涨势头非常重要。

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line remains above the signal line, suggesting an ongoing bullish trend. However, shrinking histogram bars hint at decreasing momentum.

移动平均线趋同分歧（MACD）线仍位于信号线上方，表明看涨趋势持续存在。然而，不断缩小的直方图暗示动量正在减弱。

If the MACD line crosses below the signal line, it may indicate short-term downside or a period of consolidation.

如果MACD线下穿信号线，则可能预示着短期下行或进入盘整期。

On-chain activity

链上活动

According to IntoTheBlock data, active Bitcoin addresses have increased by 5.20% in the last week, suggesting higher user engagement.

根据 IntoTheBlock 数据，上周活跃比特币地址增加了 5.20%，表明用户参与度更高。

This contrasted with a 6.50% decline in new addresses, indicating that existing users were driving network activity.

这与新地址下降 6.50% 形成鲜明对比，表明现有用户正在推动网络活动。

Bitcoin’s 7-day average transaction volume stood at 539.81k BTC at press time, with a recent peak of 672.53k BTC on the 22nd of October and a low of 371.37k BTC on the 20th of October.

截至发稿，比特币 7 天平均交易量为 539.81k BTC，近期峰值为 10 月 22 日 672.53k BTC，最低点为 10 月 20 日 371.37k BTC。

Read Bitcoin’s [BTC] Price Prediction 2024–2025

阅读比特币 [BTC] 2024-2025 年价格预测

The fluctuating volume reflects shifting market activity, with the recent spike indicating rising engagement.

交易量的波动反映了市场活动的变化，最近的峰值表明参与度不断上升。

This variability in transaction volume suggested ongoing changes in trading patterns, which could shape Bitcoin’s price movements in the coming days.

交易量的这种变化表明交易模式正在发生变化，这可能会影响比特币未来几天的价格走势。