比特币 (BTC) 价格分析：随着反弹逼近 10.5 万美元阻力位，BTC/USD 多头面临关键障碍

最近几周，比特币的价格一直在稳步上涨，显示出投资者信心重燃和进一步上涨潜力的迹象。然而，日线图上的几个关键水平表明当前的反弹面临重大障碍。

Bitcoin's price has been on a steady upward trajectory in recent weeks, showing signs of renewed investor confidence and potential for further gains. However, several critical levels on the daily chart indicate that the current rally faces significant hurdles. Let's dive into the technical analysis and explore the possibilities for Bitcoin's price trajectory in the coming days.

最近几周，比特币的价格一直处于稳定上涨的轨道，显示出投资者信心恢复和进一步上涨的潜力的迹象。然而，日线图上的几个关键水平表明当前的反弹面临重大障碍。让我们深入研究技术分析，并探讨未来几天比特币价格轨迹的可能性。

Bitcoin trades just below a key resistance level on the daily chart

比特币交易价格略低于日线图上的关键阻力位

Bitcoin trades just below a critical resistance level on the daily chart, around $105,000, which aligns with previous highs, marked by horizontal orange lines. These levels have acted as formidable barriers in the past, with multiple rejections visible over the last few months. Each time Bitcoin has approached this level, it has either consolidated or corrected lower.

比特币的交易价格略低于日线图上的关键阻力位，即 105,000 美元左右，该阻力位与之前的高点一致，以水平橙色线标记。这些水平在过去一直是巨大的障碍，在过去几个月中出现了多次拒绝的情况。每当比特币接近这个水平时，它就会盘整或修正走低。

The current attempt appears stronger, given the series of higher lows that signify growing bullish momentum. The candlestick patterns, especially the Heikin Ashi bars, indicate a steady uptrend with minimal downside wicks, showing reduced selling pressure. The price has also remained consistently above support levels near $95,000, as shown by the horizontal green line. This suggests that buyers are stepping in to defend the trend, giving Bitcoin a robust foundation for potential upward moves.

鉴于一系列较高的低点表明看涨势头不断增强，当前的尝试似乎更为强劲。烛台形态，尤其是 Heikin Ashi 烛形，表明稳定的上升趋势，下行影线最小，表明抛售压力减少。价格也一直保持在 95,000 美元附近的支撑位上方，如水平绿线所示。这表明买家正在介入捍卫这一趋势，为比特币的潜在上涨奠定了坚实的基础。

RSI currently hovers around 65, which is below the overbought threshold of 70

RSI目前徘徊在65左右，低于70的超买阈值

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently hovers around 65, which is below the overbought threshold of 70. This indicates that while Bitcoin is approaching overbought conditions, there is still room for the rally to continue without triggering significant profit-taking. However, it is essential to note the divergence between the RSI and price movement during previous rallies. On some occasions, the RSI failed to reach higher peaks, leading to short-term corrections.

相对强弱指数（RSI）目前徘徊在65左右，低于70的超买阈值。这表明，虽然比特币已接近超买状况，但仍有继续上涨的空间，不会引发大幅获利了结。然而，必须注意 RSI 与之前反弹期间价格走势之间的背离。在某些情况下，RSI 未能达到更高的峰值，导致短期回调。

Additionally, the RSI trendline has been rising steadily, showing no immediate signs of reversal. As long as Bitcoin maintains RSI levels below 70 without sharp declines, the bullish momentum could remain intact. If the RSI breaks above 70 in tandem with a price breakout, it could confirm the strength of the next leg upward.

此外，RSI 趋势线一直在稳步上升，没有立即出现逆转的迹象。只要比特币将 RSI 水平维持在 70 以下且没有大幅下跌，看涨势头就可能保持不变。如果 RSI 与价格突破同时突破 70，则可以确认下一轮上涨的强度。

Bitcoin trades at a critical juncture, facing resistance and support levels

比特币交易处于关键时刻，面临阻力位和支撑位

The current consolidation beneath resistance begs the question: will Bitcoin break out or reverse? For a breakout to occur, Bitcoin needs to close decisively above $105,000 on strong volume. Such a move could pave the way for a rapid rise toward $115,000, the next significant psychological and technical level.

目前阻力位下的盘整引出了一个问题：比特币会突破还是逆转？为了实现突破，比特币需要在成交量强劲的情况下果断收于 105,000 美元以上。这一举措可能为价格快速上涨至下一个重要的心理和技术水平 115,000 美元铺平道路。

However, if Bitcoin fails to breach this resistance and begins to form lower highs, it could signal a reversal. In that scenario, the price may retest the $95,000 support level. A breakdown below this support could expose Bitcoin to further downside, potentially targeting $85,000, a level of historical significance.

然而，如果比特币未能突破这一阻力并开始形成更低的高点，则可能预示着逆转。在这种情况下，价格可能会重新测试 95,000 美元的支撑位。跌破这一支撑位可能会使比特币进一步下跌，可能达到 85,000 美元的历史水平。

Bitcoin's recent strength can be attributed to macroeconomic factors

比特币近期的强势可归因于宏观经济因素

Bitcoin's recent strength can be attributed to several macroeconomic factors. An improving risk-on sentiment in the financial markets and renewed institutional interest have boosted demand for cryptocurrencies. Additionally, upcoming Bitcoin halving events and decreasing mining supply are also driving up long-term investor optimism.

比特币近期的强势可归因于几个宏观经济因素。金融市场风险情绪的改善和机构兴趣的恢复提振了对加密货币的需求。此外，即将到来的比特币减半事件和采矿供应的减少也推动了长期投资者的乐观情绪。

While these fundamentals support a bullish outlook, traders should remain wary of potential market volatility. The current resistance level has been tested multiple times, and a false breakout could lead to heightened selling pressure. Monitoring volume, RSI behavior, and candlestick patterns will be crucial in determining the next significant move.

尽管这些基本面支持看涨前景，但交易者仍应对潜在的市场波动保持警惕。目前的阻力位已被多次测试，假突破可能会导致抛售压力加大。监控交易量、RSI 行为和烛台模式对于确定下一个重大走势至关重要。