Bitcoin (BTC) Price Analysis: BTC/USD Bulls Face Critical Hurdles as the Rally Approaches the $105K Resistance Level

Bitcoin's price has been moving steadily upward in recent weeks, showing signs of renewed investor confidence and potential for further gains. However, several critical levels on the daily chart indicate that the current rally faces significant hurdles.

Bitcoin's price has been on a steady upward trajectory in recent weeks, showing signs of renewed investor confidence and potential for further gains. However, several critical levels on the daily chart indicate that the current rally faces significant hurdles. Let's dive into the technical analysis and explore the possibilities for Bitcoin's price trajectory in the coming days.

Bitcoin trades just below a key resistance level on the daily chart

Bitcoin trades just below a critical resistance level on the daily chart, around $105,000, which aligns with previous highs, marked by horizontal orange lines. These levels have acted as formidable barriers in the past, with multiple rejections visible over the last few months. Each time Bitcoin has approached this level, it has either consolidated or corrected lower.

The current attempt appears stronger, given the series of higher lows that signify growing bullish momentum. The candlestick patterns, especially the Heikin Ashi bars, indicate a steady uptrend with minimal downside wicks, showing reduced selling pressure. The price has also remained consistently above support levels near $95,000, as shown by the horizontal green line. This suggests that buyers are stepping in to defend the trend, giving Bitcoin a robust foundation for potential upward moves.

RSI currently hovers around 65, which is below the overbought threshold of 70

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently hovers around 65, which is below the overbought threshold of 70. This indicates that while Bitcoin is approaching overbought conditions, there is still room for the rally to continue without triggering significant profit-taking. However, it is essential to note the divergence between the RSI and price movement during previous rallies. On some occasions, the RSI failed to reach higher peaks, leading to short-term corrections.

Additionally, the RSI trendline has been rising steadily, showing no immediate signs of reversal. As long as Bitcoin maintains RSI levels below 70 without sharp declines, the bullish momentum could remain intact. If the RSI breaks above 70 in tandem with a price breakout, it could confirm the strength of the next leg upward.

Bitcoin trades at a critical juncture, facing resistance and support levels

The current consolidation beneath resistance begs the question: will Bitcoin break out or reverse? For a breakout to occur, Bitcoin needs to close decisively above $105,000 on strong volume. Such a move could pave the way for a rapid rise toward $115,000, the next significant psychological and technical level.

However, if Bitcoin fails to breach this resistance and begins to form lower highs, it could signal a reversal. In that scenario, the price may retest the $95,000 support level. A breakdown below this support could expose Bitcoin to further downside, potentially targeting $85,000, a level of historical significance.

Bitcoin's recent strength can be attributed to macroeconomic factors

Bitcoin's recent strength can be attributed to several macroeconomic factors. An improving risk-on sentiment in the financial markets and renewed institutional interest have boosted demand for cryptocurrencies. Additionally, upcoming Bitcoin halving events and decreasing mining supply are also driving up long-term investor optimism.

While these fundamentals support a bullish outlook, traders should remain wary of potential market volatility. The current resistance level has been tested multiple times, and a false breakout could lead to heightened selling pressure. Monitoring volume, RSI behavior, and candlestick patterns will be crucial in determining the next significant move.