比特币（BTC）价格分析：超过200天SMA的突破可能会触发Altcoins的集会

比特币（BTC）一直坚持200天简单的移动平均线（84359美元），这表明公牛队一直保持着压力。

Bitcoin (BTC) closely followed the 200-day simple moving average at $84,359 on Sunday, suggesting that the bulls were not keen on giving up much ground. This indicated that the corrective phase may be coming to an end.

比特币（BTC）紧随200天的简单移动平均线，周日为84,359美元，这表明公牛并不热衷于放弃太多地面。这表明纠正阶段可能即将结束。

After a strong rally in March, cryptocurrencies encountered some selling pressure. However, the outlook remains optimistic as long as the price stays above the 200-day SMA.

经过三月份的强烈集会，加密货币遇到了一些销售压力。但是，只要价格停留在200天的SMA上，前景仍然保持乐观。

Derive founder Nick Forster told Cointelegraph that the current pullback was a normal correction that Bitcoin experiences during long-term rallies. He also anticipates that Bitcoin’s cycle peak is yet to come.

衍生公司的创始人尼克·福斯特（Nick Forster）告诉Cointelegraph，目前的回调是长期集会期间比特币经历的正常纠正。他还预计比特币的周期峰尚未到来。

A positive sign in favor of bulls is that the US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have again started to witness inflows. According to Farside Investors data, spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded $525 million in inflows since March 14.

有利于公牛的积极迹象是，美国现货比特币交易所交易基金（ETF）再次开始见证流入。根据Farside Investors的数据，自3月14日以来，现货比特币ETF的流入量为5.25亿美元。

Crypto market data daily view. Source: Coin360

加密市场数据每日视图。资料来源：COIN360

However, not everyone is bullish on Bitcoin. CryptoQuant founder and CEO Ki Young Ju said in a post on X that Bitcoin could remain in a bearish or sideways trend for the next 6-12 months as the bull cycle is over.

但是，并不是每个人都看好比特币。 CryptoQuant创始人兼首席执行官Ki Young Ju在X上的一篇文章中说，随着公牛周期的结束，比特币可能会在接下来的6-12个月内保持看跌或侧向趋势。

“I think BTC will be in a bearish/sideways trend for at least 6-12 months from now. It's natural. We had 24 months of a bull cycle (from March 2020), and it's time for a correction (bear market or consolidation). Cycles are important in investing,” he said.

他说：“我认为BTC从现在起至少6-12个月会处于看跌/侧向趋势。这很自然。我们有24个月的公牛周期（从2020年3月开始），现在该进行更正（熊市或巩固）。周期对投资很重要。”

Could Bitcoin break out of the 200-day SMA, setting the stage for a rally in altcoins? Let’s analyze the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

比特币能否突破200天的SMA，为Altcoins的集会奠定基础吗？让我们分析前10个加密货币的图表以找出答案。

Bitcoin price analysis

比特币价格分析

Bitcoin encountered selling at the 200-day SMA, but the bulls did not give up much ground, which suggests that they are not dumping their positions and that they expect a breakout in the near term.

比特币在200天的SMA上遇到了销售，但公牛并没有放弃太多的立场，这表明他们没有倾倒自己的位置，并且期望在短期内突破。

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

BTC/USDT每日图表。资料来源：Cointelegraph/TradingView

The bullish momentum is expected to pick up on a break and close above the 20-day exponential moving average at $85,441. The BTC/USDT pair could then climb to the 50-day SMA at $91,904.

看涨的势头预计将在休息时间内升高，并以85,441美元的价格超过20天的指数移动平均线。 BTC/USDT对可以以91,904美元的价格攀升至50天的SMA。

This optimistic view will be negated in the near term if the price turns down sharply from the 20-day EMA and breaks below $80,000. The pair may then tumble to $76,606. Buyers are expected to defend the $76,606 to $73,777 zone with all their might.

如果价格从20天的EMA急剧下降，并且中断了80,000美元，则将在短期内否定这种乐观的观点。然后，两人可能会跌至76,606美元。预计买家将尽一切可能为76,606至73,777美元的区域辩护。

Ether price analysis

以太价格分析

The narrow range trading in Ether (ETH) finally resolved to the upside on March 19, indicating that the bulls have overpowered the bears.

Ether（ETH）的狭窄范围交易最终于3月19日下跌，表明公牛队已经压倒了熊队。

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

ETH/USDT每日图表。资料来源：Cointelegraph/TradingView

Sellers will try to halt the relief rally at the breakdown level of $2,111, but if the bulls prevail, the ETH/USDT pair could ascend to the 50-day SMA at $2,468. If this level is also crossed, the pair could surge to $2,850.

卖家将试图以2,111美元的分解水平停止救济集会，但是如果公牛队占上风，则ETH/USDT对可以上升到50天的SMA，价格为2,468美元。如果此水平也越过，这对夫妇可能会飙升至2,850美元。

Instead, if the price turns down sharply from $2,111, it will signal that the bears are trying to flip the level into resistance. The bears will gain the upper hand if they sink and maintain the price below $1,800.

取而代之的是，如果价格从2,111美元急剧下降，它将表明熊试图将水平转化为电阻。如果熊下沉并将价格保持在$ 1,800以下，则将获得巨大的优势。

XRP price analysis

XRP价格分析

XRP (XRP) surged above the moving averages on March 19, opening the doors for a rally to the resistance line.

XRP（XRP）于3月19日在移动平均值上方涌现，打开了通往电阻线的集会的门。

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

XRP/USDT每日图表。资料来源：Cointelegraph/TradingView

If the price turns down from the resistance line, the XRP/USDT pair is likely to find support at the 20-day EMA at $2.36. A bounce off the 20-day EMA increases the likelihood of a breakout of the resistance line, which could propel the pair toward $3.

如果价格从电阻线降低，则XRP/USDT对可能会在20天EMA的支持下以2.36美元的价格找到支持。从20天的EMA弹起会增加阻力线突破的可能性，这可能会推动这对夫妇的3美元。

On the other hand, if the price trends down from the resistance and breaks below the moving averages, it heightens the risk of a drop to $2. Sellers will be in control on a close below $2.

另一方面，如果价格从电阻下降并在移动平均值以下中断下降，则会将下降的风险提高到2美元。卖方将以低于$ 2的收入控制。

BNB price analysis

BNB价格分析

BNB (BNB) closed above the 50-day SMA at $618 on March 17, but the bulls are struggling to sustain the higher levels.

BNB（BNB）于3月17日在50天的SMA上面关闭，但公牛队正在努力维持更高的水平。

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

BNB/USDT每日图表。资料来源：Cointelegraph/TradingView

The pullback is expected to find support at the 20-day EMA at $602. If the price rebounds off the 20-day EMA with strength, it will suggest a change in sentiment from selling on rallies to buying on dips. That increases the possibility of a breakout of the 20-day EMA,

预计该回调将在20天EMA上找到602美元的支持。如果价格以20天的EMA力量反弹，这将表明情绪从销售集会变成跌落的情感变化。这增加了20天EMA突破的可能性，