比特幣（BTC）價格分析：超過200天SMA的突破可能會觸發Altcoins的集會

比特幣（BTC）一直堅持200天簡單的移動平均線（84359美元），這表明公牛隊一直保持著壓力。

Bitcoin (BTC) closely followed the 200-day simple moving average at $84,359 on Sunday, suggesting that the bulls were not keen on giving up much ground. This indicated that the corrective phase may be coming to an end.

比特幣（BTC）緊隨200天的簡單移動平均線，週日為84,359美元，這表明公牛並不熱衷於放棄太多地面。這表明糾正階段可能即將結束。

After a strong rally in March, cryptocurrencies encountered some selling pressure. However, the outlook remains optimistic as long as the price stays above the 200-day SMA.

經過三月份的強烈集會，加密貨幣遇到了一些銷售壓力。但是，只要價格停留在200天的SMA上，前景仍然保持樂觀。

Derive founder Nick Forster told Cointelegraph that the current pullback was a normal correction that Bitcoin experiences during long-term rallies. He also anticipates that Bitcoin’s cycle peak is yet to come.

衍生公司的創始人尼克·福斯特（Nick Forster）告訴Cointelegraph，目前的回調是長期集會期間比特幣經歷的正常糾正。他還預計比特幣的周期峰尚未到來。

A positive sign in favor of bulls is that the US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have again started to witness inflows. According to Farside Investors data, spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded $525 million in inflows since March 14.

有利於公牛的積極跡像是，美國現貨比特幣交易所交易基金（ETF）再次開始見證流入。根據Farside Investors的數據，自3月14日以來，現貨比特幣ETF的流入量為5.25億美元。

Crypto market data daily view. Source: Coin360

加密市場數據每日視圖。資料來源：COIN360

However, not everyone is bullish on Bitcoin. CryptoQuant founder and CEO Ki Young Ju said in a post on X that Bitcoin could remain in a bearish or sideways trend for the next 6-12 months as the bull cycle is over.

但是，並不是每個人都看好比特幣。 CryptoQuant創始人兼首席執行官Ki Young Ju在X上的一篇文章中說，隨著公牛週期的結束，比特幣可能會在接下來的6-12個月內保持看跌或側向趨勢。

“I think BTC will be in a bearish/sideways trend for at least 6-12 months from now. It's natural. We had 24 months of a bull cycle (from March 2020), and it's time for a correction (bear market or consolidation). Cycles are important in investing,” he said.

他說：“我認為BTC從現在起至少6-12個月會處於看跌/側向趨勢。這很自然。我們有24個月的公牛週期（從2020年3月開始），現在該進行更正（熊市或鞏固）。週期對投資很重要。”

Could Bitcoin break out of the 200-day SMA, setting the stage for a rally in altcoins? Let’s analyze the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

比特幣能否突破200天的SMA，為Altcoins的集會奠定基礎嗎？讓我們分析前10個加密貨幣的圖表以找出答案。

Bitcoin price analysis

比特幣價格分析

Bitcoin encountered selling at the 200-day SMA, but the bulls did not give up much ground, which suggests that they are not dumping their positions and that they expect a breakout in the near term.

比特幣在200天的SMA上遇到了銷售，但公牛並沒有放棄太多的立場，這表明他們沒有傾倒自己的位置，並且期望在短期內突破。

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

BTC/USDT每日圖表。資料來源：Cointelegraph/TradingView

The bullish momentum is expected to pick up on a break and close above the 20-day exponential moving average at $85,441. The BTC/USDT pair could then climb to the 50-day SMA at $91,904.

看漲的勢頭預計將在休息時間內升高，並以85,441美元的價格超過20天的指數移動平均線。 BTC/USDT對可以以91,904美元的價格攀升至50天的SMA。

This optimistic view will be negated in the near term if the price turns down sharply from the 20-day EMA and breaks below $80,000. The pair may then tumble to $76,606. Buyers are expected to defend the $76,606 to $73,777 zone with all their might.

如果價格從20天的EMA急劇下降，並且中斷了80,000美元，則將在短期內否定這種樂觀的觀點。然後，兩人可能會跌至76,606美元。預計買家將盡一切可能為76,606至73,777美元的區域辯護。

Ether price analysis

以太價格分析

The narrow range trading in Ether (ETH) finally resolved to the upside on March 19, indicating that the bulls have overpowered the bears.

Ether（ETH）的狹窄範圍交易最終於3月19日下跌，表明公牛隊已經壓倒了熊隊。

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

ETH/USDT每日圖表。資料來源：Cointelegraph/TradingView

Sellers will try to halt the relief rally at the breakdown level of $2,111, but if the bulls prevail, the ETH/USDT pair could ascend to the 50-day SMA at $2,468. If this level is also crossed, the pair could surge to $2,850.

賣家將試圖以2,111美元的分解水平停止救濟集會，但是如果公牛隊佔上風，則ETH/USDT對可以上升到50天的SMA，價格為2,468美元。如果此水平也越過，這對夫婦可能會飆升至2,850美元。

Instead, if the price turns down sharply from $2,111, it will signal that the bears are trying to flip the level into resistance. The bears will gain the upper hand if they sink and maintain the price below $1,800.

取而代之的是，如果價格從2,111美元急劇下降，它將表明熊試圖將水平轉化為電阻。如果熊下沉並將價格保持在$ 1,800以下，則將獲得巨大的優勢。

XRP price analysis

XRP價格分析

XRP (XRP) surged above the moving averages on March 19, opening the doors for a rally to the resistance line.

XRP（XRP）於3月19日在移動平均值上方湧現，打開了通往電阻線的集會的門。

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

XRP/USDT每日圖表。資料來源：Cointelegraph/TradingView

If the price turns down from the resistance line, the XRP/USDT pair is likely to find support at the 20-day EMA at $2.36. A bounce off the 20-day EMA increases the likelihood of a breakout of the resistance line, which could propel the pair toward $3.

如果價格從電阻線降低，則XRP/USDT對可能會在20天EMA的支持下以2.36美元的價格找到支持。從20天的EMA彈起會增加阻力線突破的可能性，這可能會推動這對夫婦的3美元。

On the other hand, if the price trends down from the resistance and breaks below the moving averages, it heightens the risk of a drop to $2. Sellers will be in control on a close below $2.

另一方面，如果價格從電阻下降並在移動平均值以下中斷下降，則會將下降的風險提高到2美元。賣方將以低於$ 2的收入控制。

BNB price analysis

BNB價格分析

BNB (BNB) closed above the 50-day SMA at $618 on March 17, but the bulls are struggling to sustain the higher levels.

BNB（BNB）於3月17日在50天的SMA上面關閉，但公牛隊正在努力維持更高的水平。

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

BNB/USDT每日圖表。資料來源：Cointelegraph/TradingView

The pullback is expected to find support at the 20-day EMA at $602. If the price rebounds off the 20-day EMA with strength, it will suggest a change in sentiment from selling on rallies to buying on dips. That increases the possibility of a breakout of the 20-day EMA,

預計該回調將在20天EMA上找到602美元的支持。如果價格以20天的EMA力量反彈，這將表明情緒從銷售集會變成跌落的情感變化。這增加了20天EMA突破的可能性，