比特币（BTC）市场显示了即将到来的价格篮板的迹象

比特币市场目前的交易价格低于其历史最高水平。 2月的下降了17.5％

The Bitcoin (BTC) market is currently trading over 30% below its all-time high, having experienced a significant 17.5% drop in February alone. This follows a modest 2.19% decline over the previous months. Over the past seven days, Bitcoin has fallen by 3.2%, yet in the last 24 hours, it has shown a slight recovery, rising by 0.9%.

比特币（BTC）市场目前的交易低于其历史最高水平的30％以上，仅在2月份下降了17.5％。这是在过去几个月中下降2.19％。在过去的七天中，比特币下降了3.2％，但在过去的24小时内，比特币显示出略有恢复，增长了0.9％。

But could a price rebound be on the horizon? On-chain analysis suggests a shift in investor behavior that might hint at an upcoming recovery.

但是价格可以反弹出现吗？链上分析表明，投资者行为的转变可能暗示了即将进行的康复。

A key indicator—the Short-Term Spent Output Profit Ratio chart and UTXO Age Band (1-3 months)—reveals that short-term Bitcoin investors are selling less. This metric tracks Bitcoin that hasn’t moved for one to three months, offering insights into whether recent buyers are holding or offloading their assets.

一个关键指标 - 短期支出的产出利润率图表和UTXO Age Band（1-3个月），短期比特币投资者的销售较少。该公制跟踪比特币，该比特币已经一到三个月没有移动，对最近的买家是持有或卸载其资产的见解。

According to crypto analyst Ali, the data suggests that these short-term holders are showing confidence in Bitcoin’s future prospects.

根据加密分析师Ali的说法，数据表明，这些短期持有人对比特币未来前景表现出信心。

This observation comes as market analysts anticipate a significant shift in Bitcoin’s trajectory. Experts, including Axel Adler Jr., have noted that long-term holders have resumed accumulating Bitcoin—a bullish sign.

这一观察结果是因为市场分析师预计比特币的轨迹会发生重大变化。包括Axel Adler Jr.在内的专家指出，长期持有人已经恢复了积累比特币的积累，这是看涨的标志。

Adler even went so far as to speculate that if the U.S. Federal Reserve or the Trump administration provides positive signals, Bitcoin could surge to an astonishing $130K.

阿德勒甚至推测，如果美国美联储或特朗普政府提供积极的信号，比特币可能会激增至惊人的13万美元。

Several technical indicators also support the possibility of growth:

几个技术指标还支持增长的可能性：

* Despite the recent price drop, the 50-week moving average (SMA) has remained intact since March 2023.

*尽管最近的价格下跌，但自2023年3月以来，50周的移动平均线（SMA）一直保持完整。

* After a brief fall below the 50-week SMA in February, the price quickly recovered, remaining above the SMA for the past 14 weeks.

*在2月份的短暂短暂降低了50周的SMA之后，价格迅速恢复，在过去的14周中保持在SMA上方。

* Furthermore, the lower time frames, such as the 4-hour chart, indicate a potential bullish divergence in the MACD indicator, which could signal an upcoming uptrend.

*此外，较低的时间范围（例如4小时图表）表明MACD指标的潜在看涨差异，这可能标志着即将到来的上升趋势。

Analysts suggest that the reduced selling pressure could help stabilize Bitcoin’s price in the near term.

分析师认为，销售压力降低可以帮助稳定比特币的价格。

April: A Historically Bullish Month

四月：历史上看涨的月份

Bitcoin’s recent 3.08% rise yesterday has further fueled optimism.

比特币最近昨天的3.08％上升进一步加剧了乐观。

Historically, April has been a strong month for Bitcoin, showing positive momentum at least nine times since 2011. This compares favorably to six bullish instances in March and eight in May.

从历史上看，April对于比特币来说是一个强大的月份，自2011年以来至少9次表现出积极的势头。这与3月的六个看涨实例和5月的六个看涨相比。

With historical trends and investor behavior aligning, could Bitcoin be gearing up for its next big rally? The coming weeks will be crucial in determining its next move.

随着历史趋势和投资者行为的融合，比特币可以为下一个大集会做准备吗？接下来的几周对于确定其下一步行动至关重要。

On-chain data suggests short-term BTC investors are selling less, indicating confidence in a potential price rebound.

链上的数据表明，短期BTC投资者的销售较少，表明对潜在价格反弹的信心。

Historically, April has shown positive momentum for BTC in 9 out of the last 13 years, making it a strong month for potential gains.

从历史上看，四月在过去13年中的9年中对BTC表现出积极的势头，这使其成为潜在收益的强劲月份。