比特币（BTC）价格预测：Cardano创始人查尔斯·霍斯金森（Charles Hoskinson）表示，BTC可能达到250,000美元

比特币一直是一个动荡且不可预测的资产，但Cardano创始人查尔斯·霍斯金森（Charles Hoskinson）认为，世界领先的加密货币可能会达到250000美元

Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson has set a bold price target for Bitcoin, predicting that the world’s leading cryptocurrency could hit $250,000 within the next year or two. In an interview on CNBC, Hoskinson shared his thoughts on what could drive Bitcoin to reach this mark and what it would mean for the broader crypto market.

Cardano创始人查尔斯·霍斯金森（Charles Hoskinson）为比特币设定了大胆的目标目标，预测世界领先的加密货币将在明年或两年内达到25万美元。在接受CNBC的采访中，霍斯金森分享了他的想法，即如何推动比特币达到这一分数以及对更广泛的加密市场的意义。

Pointing to Federal Reserve rate cuts, new regulations surrounding stablecoins, and growing global adoption of cryptocurrencies, Hoskinson highlighted some of the key factors that could propel Bitcoin to $250,000.

霍斯金森（Hoskinson）指出了削减美联储储备率，围绕稳定币的新法规以及全球对加密货币的采用越来越多，霍斯金森（Hoskinson）强调了一些可能将比特币提高到25万美元的关键因素。

"I think Bitcoin will be over $250,000 by the end of this year or next year," Hoskinson stated.

霍斯金森说：“我认为，到今年年底或明年，比特币将超过25万美元。”

His optimism stems from his belief that once the Fed lowers interest rates, an influx of cheap capital could flow into the cryptocurrency market, driving prices to new highs.

他的乐观源于他的信念，即一旦美联储降低了利率，廉价资本的涌入就可以流入加密货币市场，将价格推向新高。

Bitcoin has been hovering below the $100K mark, largely due to macroeconomic uncertainty and regulatory concerns. However, Hoskinson believes that new regulations, especially those focused on stablecoins, will help mainstream cryptocurrencies and provide institutional investors with the necessary confidence to enter the market.

比特币一直徘徊在$ 10万美元的标准以下，这主要是由于宏观经济的不确定性和监管问题。但是，霍斯金森认为，新的法规，尤其是专注于稳定的法规，将有助于主流加密货币，并为机构投资者提供进入市场的必要信心。

According to Hoskinson, upcoming regulations could allow even the largest global companies to start accepting stablecoins, giving Bitcoin a further boost in terms of adoption and demand. He also pointed out that global conflicts could push more countries to use cryptocurrencies for international settlements, further cementing Bitcoin's role in the financial system.

据霍斯金森（Hoskinson）称，即将到来的法规也可以允许最大的全球公司开始接受Stablecoins，从而使比特币在采用和需求方面有了进一步的推动。他还指出，全球冲突可能会促使更多国家使用加密货币进行国际定居点，从而进一步巩固了比特币在金融体系中的作用。

Looking ahead, Hoskinson forecasts that the crypto market might see a temporary stall over the next few months, with speculative interest in Bitcoin picking up again around August or September. This surge in interest could carry the market through the latter part of the year and into 2026.

展望未来，霍斯金森（Hoskinson）预测，加密货币市场可能会在接下来的几个月中看到暂时的摊位，并且对比特币在八月或9月左右再次捡起的投机兴趣。这种兴趣的激增可能会延续到今年下半年和2026年。

Interestingly, some key valuation models seem to support Hoskinson's outlook, at least in part. For example, the Mayer Multiple indicator, which helps assess Bitcoin's value relative to its 200-day moving average, is showing that BTC could reach as high as $208,000 if it breaks above $87,000. This aligns closely with Hoskinson's prediction of a major price surge within the next 12 months.

有趣的是，一些关键的估值模型似乎至少在某种程度上支持了霍斯金森的前景。例如，Mayer多重指标（有助于评估比特币相对于其200天移动平均线）的价值，这表明，如果BTC损失超过87,000美元，则BTC的价格可能高达208,000美元。这与霍斯金森对未来12个月内的主要价格飙升的预测密切相符。

Another model, the Pi Cycle Top indicator, which has historically signaled Bitcoin's price peaks, suggests that BTC still has room for growth before it hits its cycle top. This indicator looks for moments when the 111-day moving average (DMA) crosses the 350-day moving average, signaling a potential market top. Currently, the 350-DMA is valued above $150,000, indicating that Bitcoin could surge past this threshold before reaching its peak for this cycle.

另一个模型，PI Cycle Top指标历史上表明了比特币的价格峰值，这表明BTC在达到周期顶部之前仍然有生长的余地。该指标始终是111天移动平均线（DMA）越过350天移动平均线的时刻，这标志着潜在的市场顶部。目前，350-DMA的价值高于$ 150,000，这表明比特币可能会超过此阈值，然后才能达到此周期的高峰。

However, Bitcoin has been experiencing some short-term challenges. Bitcoin network growth has slowed significantly, showing a 22% decline in the monthly average of active users. The number of users dropped from 101,000 to 78,000, indicating a decline in network activity and investor interest in the cryptocurrency at the moment.

但是，比特币一直面临一些短期挑战。比特币网络增长显着放缓，表明活跃用户的平均水平下降了22％。用户数量从101,000下降到78,000，这表明网络活动的下降和投资者目前对加密货币的兴趣。

This slowdown in network growth is a crucial factor that could affect the accuracy of Hoskinson's prediction. For Bitcoin to reach $250,000 in the next year or two, network activity would need to pick up significantly, signaling a rise in demand for Bitcoin.

网络增长的这种放缓是可能影响霍斯金森预测准确性的关键因素。要使比特币在明年或两年中达到250,000美元，网络活动需要大量收集，这表明对比特币的需求增加。

If macroeconomic trends cooperate, and we see a slew of new regulations in the U.S. to introduce more efficient and trusted derivatives and stablecoins, we could see major institutional money pouring into the crypto market.

如果宏观经济趋势的合作，并且我们看到美国有许多新法规引入更有效，更值得信赖的衍生品和稳定的法规，我们可以看到大型机构资金涌入加密货币市场。

If these trends continue, Charles Hoskinson's prediction of Bitcoin hitting $250,000 by the end of 2025 or early 2026 might not be as far-fetched as it seems. However, if network activity stalls and if there isn't a significant recovery in market sentiment, reaching such a lofty price target could prove to be a challenging feat.

如果这些趋势持续下去，查尔斯·霍斯金森（Charles Hoskinson）对比特币的预测到2025年底或2026年初的预测可能并不像看起来那样遥不可及。但是，如果网络活动摊位且市场情绪没有大量恢复，那么达到如此崇高的目标目标可能是一项艰巨的壮举。