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比特幣一直是一個動盪且不可預測的資產,但Cardano創始人查爾斯·霍斯金森(Charles Hoskinson)認為,世界領先的加密貨幣可能會達到250000美元
Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson has set a bold price target for Bitcoin, predicting that the world’s leading cryptocurrency could hit $250,000 within the next year or two. In an interview on CNBC, Hoskinson shared his thoughts on what could drive Bitcoin to reach this mark and what it would mean for the broader crypto market.
Cardano創始人查爾斯·霍斯金森(Charles Hoskinson)為比特幣設定了大膽的目標目標,預測世界領先的加密貨幣將在明年或兩年內達到25萬美元。在接受CNBC的採訪中,霍斯金森分享了他的想法,即如何推動比特幣達到這一分數以及對更廣泛的加密市場的意義。
Pointing to Federal Reserve rate cuts, new regulations surrounding stablecoins, and growing global adoption of cryptocurrencies, Hoskinson highlighted some of the key factors that could propel Bitcoin to $250,000.
霍斯金森(Hoskinson)指出了削減美聯儲儲備率,圍繞穩定幣的新法規以及全球對加密貨幣的採用越來越多,霍斯金森(Hoskinson)強調了一些可能將比特幣提高到25萬美元的關鍵因素。
"I think Bitcoin will be over $250,000 by the end of this year or next year," Hoskinson stated.
霍斯金森說:“我認為,到今年年底或明年,比特幣將超過25萬美元。”
His optimism stems from his belief that once the Fed lowers interest rates, an influx of cheap capital could flow into the cryptocurrency market, driving prices to new highs.
他的樂觀源於他的信念,即一旦美聯儲降低了利率,廉價資本的湧入就可以流入加密貨幣市場,將價格推向新高。
Bitcoin has been hovering below the $100K mark, largely due to macroeconomic uncertainty and regulatory concerns. However, Hoskinson believes that new regulations, especially those focused on stablecoins, will help mainstream cryptocurrencies and provide institutional investors with the necessary confidence to enter the market.
比特幣一直徘徊在$ 10萬美元的標準以下,這主要是由於宏觀經濟的不確定性和監管問題。但是,霍斯金森認為,新的法規,尤其是專注於穩定的法規,將有助於主流加密貨幣,並為機構投資者提供進入市場的必要信心。
According to Hoskinson, upcoming regulations could allow even the largest global companies to start accepting stablecoins, giving Bitcoin a further boost in terms of adoption and demand. He also pointed out that global conflicts could push more countries to use cryptocurrencies for international settlements, further cementing Bitcoin's role in the financial system.
據霍斯金森(Hoskinson)稱,即將到來的法規也可以允許最大的全球公司開始接受Stablecoins,從而使比特幣在採用和需求方面有了進一步的推動。他還指出,全球衝突可能會促使更多國家使用加密貨幣進行國際定居點,從而進一步鞏固了比特幣在金融體系中的作用。
Looking ahead, Hoskinson forecasts that the crypto market might see a temporary stall over the next few months, with speculative interest in Bitcoin picking up again around August or September. This surge in interest could carry the market through the latter part of the year and into 2026.
展望未來,霍斯金森(Hoskinson)預測,加密貨幣市場可能會在接下來的幾個月中看到暫時的攤位,並且對比特幣在八月或9月左右再次撿起的投機興趣。這種興趣的激增可能會延續到今年下半年和2026年。
Interestingly, some key valuation models seem to support Hoskinson's outlook, at least in part. For example, the Mayer Multiple indicator, which helps assess Bitcoin's value relative to its 200-day moving average, is showing that BTC could reach as high as $208,000 if it breaks above $87,000. This aligns closely with Hoskinson's prediction of a major price surge within the next 12 months.
有趣的是,一些關鍵的估值模型似乎至少在某種程度上支持了霍斯金森的前景。例如,Mayer多重指標(有助於評估比特幣相對於其200天移動平均線)的價值,這表明,如果BTC損失超過87,000美元,則BTC的價格可能高達208,000美元。這與霍斯金森對未來12個月內的主要價格飆升的預測密切相符。
Another model, the Pi Cycle Top indicator, which has historically signaled Bitcoin's price peaks, suggests that BTC still has room for growth before it hits its cycle top. This indicator looks for moments when the 111-day moving average (DMA) crosses the 350-day moving average, signaling a potential market top. Currently, the 350-DMA is valued above $150,000, indicating that Bitcoin could surge past this threshold before reaching its peak for this cycle.
另一個模型,PI Cycle Top指標歷史上表明了比特幣的價格峰值,這表明BTC在達到週期頂部之前仍然有生長的餘地。該指標始終是111天移動平均線(DMA)越過350天移動平均線的時刻,這標誌著潛在的市場頂部。目前,350-DMA的價值高於$ 150,000,這表明比特幣可能會超過此閾值,然後才能達到此週期的高峰。
However, Bitcoin has been experiencing some short-term challenges. Bitcoin network growth has slowed significantly, showing a 22% decline in the monthly average of active users. The number of users dropped from 101,000 to 78,000, indicating a decline in network activity and investor interest in the cryptocurrency at the moment.
但是,比特幣一直面臨一些短期挑戰。比特幣網絡增長顯著放緩,表明活躍用戶的平均水平下降了22%。用戶數量從101,000下降到78,000,這表明網絡活動的下降和投資者目前對加密貨幣的興趣。
This slowdown in network growth is a crucial factor that could affect the accuracy of Hoskinson's prediction. For Bitcoin to reach $250,000 in the next year or two, network activity would need to pick up significantly, signaling a rise in demand for Bitcoin.
網絡增長的這種放緩是可能影響霍斯金森預測準確性的關鍵因素。要使比特幣在明年或兩年中達到250,000美元,網絡活動需要大量收集,這表明對比特幣的需求增加。
If macroeconomic trends cooperate, and we see a slew of new regulations in the U.S. to introduce more efficient and trusted derivatives and stablecoins, we could see major institutional money pouring into the crypto market.
如果宏觀經濟趨勢的合作,並且我們看到美國有許多新法規引入更有效,更值得信賴的衍生品和穩定的法規,我們可以看到大型機構資金湧入加密貨幣市場。
If these trends continue, Charles Hoskinson's prediction of Bitcoin hitting $250,000 by the end of 2025 or early 2026 might not be as far-fetched as it seems. However, if network activity stalls and if there isn't a significant recovery in market sentiment, reaching such a lofty price target could prove to be a challenging feat.
如果這些趨勢持續下去,查爾斯·霍斯金森(Charles Hoskinson)對比特幣的預測到2025年底或2026年初的預測可能並不像看起來那樣遙不可及。但是,如果網絡活動攤位且市場情緒沒有大量恢復,那麼達到如此崇高的目標目標可能是一項艱鉅的壯舉。
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