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自2024年比特幣減半以來,比特幣(BTC)持有人在全球貿易戰中稱讚BTC的韌性一年,並提出加速的市場週期
Bitcoin (BTC) holders are celebrating one year since the 2024 Bitcoin halving, slashing new BTC issuance in half, and reduced block rewards from 6.25 Bitcoin (BTC) to 3.125 BTC.
自2024年比特幣減半以來,比特幣(BTC)持有人正在慶祝一年,將新的BTC發行削減了一半,並將Block Rewards從6.25比特幣(BTC)降低到3.125 BTC。
Despite rising concerns over a global trade war and increased tariff tensions between the United States and China, BTC has climbed more than 33% since April 2024, according to Cointelegraph Markets Pro data.
根據Cointelegraph Markets Pro Data的數據,儘管人們對全球貿易戰的擔憂增加了,但美國與中國之間的關稅緊張局勢增加,但自2024年4月以來,BTC卻增加了33%以上。
However, broader market trends suggest that the crypto winter may not be fully over yet.
但是,更廣泛的市場趨勢表明,加密冬季可能還沒有結束。
“Although Bitcoin has shown resilience, the combination of past experiences, economic uncertainty, and this selling pressure has kept investors on the sidelines, waiting for a stronger green light before they commit,” said Enmanuel Cardozo, a market analyst at asset tokenization platform Brickken.
“儘管比特幣表現出了韌性,過去的經驗,經濟不確定性以及這種銷售壓力的結合使投資者在場外,等待著更強的綠燈,” Enmanuel Cardozo說。
According to Cardozo, institutional investment from firms such as Strategy and Tether could speed up Bitcoin’s traditional four-year halving cycle.
根據卡多佐(Cardozo)的說法,諸如戰略和繫繩等公司的機構投資可以加快比特幣傳統的四年減半週期。
“We're seeing a faster cycle this time, likely due to the massive presence of Bitcoin ETFs and institutions in the market, scanning for the best entry point amid the mixed signals and volatility,” said Cardozo.
Cardozo說:“這次我們看到了一個更快的周期,這可能是由於市場中比特幣ETF和機構的大量存在,在混合信號和波動性中掃描了最佳入口點。”
However, Bitcoin’s trajectory remains tied to broader monetary policy, the analyst added. He said a US Federal Reserve rate cut in May or June may “pump more money into the system and push Bitcoin up faster.”
但是,分析師補充說,比特幣的軌跡仍然與更廣泛的貨幣政策有關。他說,5月或6月的美國美聯儲降低的稅率可能“將更多的錢投入系統,並將比特幣提高速度。”
The halving is a built-in feature of the Bitcoin network that serves to ensure Bitcoin’s scarcity, which is often regarded as one of BTC’s primary monetary characteristics.
減半是比特幣網絡的內置功能,可確保比特幣的稀缺性,通常被視為BTC的主要貨幣特徵之一。
ETFs and institutions may be fueling a faster cycle
ETF和機構可能正在加油速度更快
Institutional adoption and Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) may be contributing to a shorter market cycle, according to Vugar Usi Zade, chief operating officer at Bitget exchange.
Bitget Exchange首席運營官Vugar Usi Zade表示,機構收養和比特幣交易所交易基金(ETF)可能會導致市場週期較短。
Continued institutional buying, including by Bitcoin ETFs, coupled with Bitcoin’s increasing scarcity, may accelerate Bitcoin’s rise to new highs, he told Cointelegraph.
他告訴Cointelegraph,繼續購買機構購買,包括比特幣ETF,再加上比特幣的稀缺性越來越短,可能會加速比特幣的新高點。
“With growing scarcity triggered by the halving, Bitcoin will likely retest its all-time high if it breaches the $90,000 mark in the coming weeks,” Usi Zade said. “While the halving offers a good basis for growth based on demand and scarcity, the timeline for impact on price can vary over time.”
烏西·扎德(Usi Zade)說:“隨著減半的差異,比特幣在接下來的幾週內違反了90,000美元的成績,比特幣可能會重新測試其歷史最高水平。” “雖然減半為基於需求和稀缺性增長提供了良好的基礎,但影響價格的時間表可能會隨著時間而變化。”
He noted that Bitcoin’s growth remains closely tied to traditional financial markets and investor sentiment.
他指出,比特幣的增長與傳統金融市場和投資者的情緒密切相關。
Bitcoin reached a new all-time high above $109,000 on Jan. 20, 273 days after the 2024 Bitcoin halving, signaling an accelerated market cycle.
比特幣在2024年比特幣減半後273天達到了新的高於109,000美元的歷史高度,這表明了加速的市場週期。
In comparison, it took Bitcoin 546 days to reach an all-time high after the 2021 halving, and 518 days after the 2017 halving, according to data shared by popular crypto trader Jelle, in an April 8 X post.
相比之下,根據流行的Crypto Trader Jelle共享的數據,在2021年減半之後,比特幣花了546天才達到2021年的歷史最高點,而2017年減半的時間為518天。
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