比特幣（BTC）市場顯示了即將到來的價格籃板的跡象

比特幣市場目前的交易價格低於其歷史最高水平。 2月的下降了17.5％

The Bitcoin (BTC) market is currently trading over 30% below its all-time high, having experienced a significant 17.5% drop in February alone. This follows a modest 2.19% decline over the previous months. Over the past seven days, Bitcoin has fallen by 3.2%, yet in the last 24 hours, it has shown a slight recovery, rising by 0.9%.

比特幣（BTC）市場目前的交易低於其歷史最高水平的30％以上，僅在2月份下降了17.5％。這是在過去幾個月中下降2.19％。在過去的七天中，比特幣下降了3.2％，但是在過去的24小時內，比特幣顯示出略有恢復，增長了0.9％。

But could a price rebound be on the horizon? On-chain analysis suggests a shift in investor behavior that might hint at an upcoming recovery.

但是價格可以反彈出現嗎？鏈上分析表明，投資者行為的轉變可能暗示了即將進行的康復。

A key indicator—the Short-Term Spent Output Profit Ratio chart and UTXO Age Band (1-3 months)—reveals that short-term Bitcoin investors are selling less. This metric tracks Bitcoin that hasn’t moved for one to three months, offering insights into whether recent buyers are holding or offloading their assets.

一個關鍵指標 - 短期支出的產出利潤率圖表和UTXO Age Band（1-3個月），短期比特幣投資者的銷售較少。該公制跟踪比特幣，該比特幣已經一到三個月沒有移動，對最近的買家是持有或卸載其資產的見解。

According to crypto analyst Ali, the data suggests that these short-term holders are showing confidence in Bitcoin’s future prospects.

根據加密分析師Ali的說法，數據表明，這些短期持有人對比特幣未來前景表現出信心。

This observation comes as market analysts anticipate a significant shift in Bitcoin’s trajectory. Experts, including Axel Adler Jr., have noted that long-term holders have resumed accumulating Bitcoin—a bullish sign.

這一觀察結果是因為市場分析師預計比特幣的軌跡會發生重大變化。包括Axel Adler Jr.在內的專家指出，長期持有人已經恢復了積累比特幣的積累，這是看漲的標誌。

Adler even went so far as to speculate that if the U.S. Federal Reserve or the Trump administration provides positive signals, Bitcoin could surge to an astonishing $130K.

阿德勒甚至推測，如果美國美聯儲或特朗普政府提供積極的信號，比特幣可能會激增至驚人的13萬美元。

Several technical indicators also support the possibility of growth:

幾個技術指標還支持增長的可能性：

* Despite the recent price drop, the 50-week moving average (SMA) has remained intact since March 2023.

*儘管最近的價格下跌，但自2023年3月以來，50週的移動平均線（SMA）一直保持完整。

* After a brief fall below the 50-week SMA in February, the price quickly recovered, remaining above the SMA for the past 14 weeks.

*在2月份的短暫短暫降低了50週的SMA之後，價格迅速恢復，在過去的14周中保持在SMA上方。

* Furthermore, the lower time frames, such as the 4-hour chart, indicate a potential bullish divergence in the MACD indicator, which could signal an upcoming uptrend.

*此外，較低的時間範圍（例如4小時圖表）表明MACD指標的潛在看漲差異，這可能標誌著即將到來的上升趨勢。

Analysts suggest that the reduced selling pressure could help stabilize Bitcoin’s price in the near term.

分析師認為，銷售壓力降低可以幫助穩定比特幣的價格。

April: A Historically Bullish Month

四月：歷史上看漲的月份

Bitcoin’s recent 3.08% rise yesterday has further fueled optimism.

比特幣最近昨天的3.08％上升進一步加劇了樂觀。

Historically, April has been a strong month for Bitcoin, showing positive momentum at least nine times since 2011. This compares favorably to six bullish instances in March and eight in May.

從歷史上看，April對於比特幣來說是一個強大的月份，自2011年以來至少9次表現出積極的勢頭。這與3月的六個看漲實例和5月的六個看漲相比。

With historical trends and investor behavior aligning, could Bitcoin be gearing up for its next big rally? The coming weeks will be crucial in determining its next move.

隨著歷史趨勢和投資者行為的融合，比特幣可以為下一個大集會做準備嗎？接下來的幾週對於確定其下一步行動至關重要。

On-chain data suggests short-term BTC investors are selling less, indicating confidence in a potential price rebound.

鏈上的數據表明，短期BTC投資者的銷售較少，表明對潛在價格反彈的信心。

Historically, April has shown positive momentum for BTC in 9 out of the last 13 years, making it a strong month for potential gains.

從歷史上看，四月在過去13年中的9年中對BTC表現出積極的勢頭，這使其成為潛在收益的強勁月份。