加密货币交易员 The Crypto Dog 预测，在特朗普上任之前，比特币 (BTC) 市场将保持低迷状态

匿名交易员 The Crypto Dog 在社交媒体平台 X 上告诉他的 853,00 名粉丝，他认为在当选总统唐纳德·特朗普宣誓就职之前，市场不会恢复看涨势头。

A crypto veteran is predicting that Bitcoin (BTC) and the broader digital assets market will continue to trade flat in the first few weeks of 2025.

一位加密货币资深人士预测，比特币 (BTC) 和更广泛的数字资产市场将在 2025 年前几周继续持平。

Pseudonymous trader The Crypto Dog tells his 853,00 followers on social media platform X that he believes the market will not regain bullish momentum until President-elect Donald Trump is sworn into office.

匿名交易员 The Crypto Dog 在社交媒体平台 X 上告诉他的 853,00 名粉丝，他相信在当选总统唐纳德·特朗普宣誓就职之前，市场不会恢复看涨势头。

According to the analyst, Trump’s inauguration on January 20th will serve as a strong catalyst, pushing Bitcoin and altcoins to higher highs.

该分析师表示，特朗普 1 月 20 日的就职典礼将成为强大的催化剂，推动比特币和山寨币升至更高的高点。

“The inauguration probably acts just the same as election day – it’s going to pin us down until it’s done.

“就职典礼可能与选举日一样——它将让我们陷入困境，直到它完成。

We’re not bearish per se, but we’re probably not going higher until Trump is in office.

我们本身并不看跌，但在特朗普上任之前我们可能不会走高。

Just had a bunch of people excited longing the highs, they probably get stopped out now.”

刚刚有一群人兴奋地渴望高点，他们现在可能会被止损。”

Examining historical data, The Crypto Dog notes that Bitcoin rallied after President Joe Biden took over the White House in 2021.

The Crypto Dog 在审视历史数据后指出，2021 年乔·拜登总统入主白宫后，比特币出现反弹。

“You can see how we behaved Jan 2021… downtrend until inauguration then ripped +100% afterward.”

“你可以看到我们在 2021 年 1 月的表现……就职典礼之前一直呈下降趋势，随后又大幅上涨 100%。”

The analyst also points out that a similar trend can be observed during the 2017 cycle.

分析师还指出，在 2017 年周期中也可以观察到类似的趋势。

“2017 breakout happened pretty much right on inauguration.”

“2017 年的突破几乎就发生在就职典礼上。”

While the analyst’s analysis suggests further consolidation, he adds that his view will be invalidated if the S&P 500 continues to show strength.

虽然分析师的分析表明将进一步盘整，但他补充说，如果标准普尔 500 指数继续表现强劲，他的观点将无效。

“Looks like post-election January is pretty much up only for equities. Since the [launch of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds] we’ve been pretty lockstep so up only makes sense.”

“看起来大选后一月份几乎只有股市上涨。自从[推出比特币交易所交易基金]以来，我们一直步调一致，所以上涨才有意义。”

Bitcoin is trading at $98,219 at the time of writing.

截至撰写本文时，比特币交易价格为 98,219 美元。