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匿名交易員 The Crypto Dog 在社交媒體平台 X 上告訴他的 853,00 名粉絲,他認為在當選總統唐納德·特朗普宣誓就職之前,市場不會恢復看漲勢頭。
A crypto veteran is predicting that Bitcoin (BTC) and the broader digital assets market will continue to trade flat in the first few weeks of 2025.
一位加密貨幣資深人士預測,比特幣 (BTC) 和更廣泛的數位資產市場將在 2025 年之前幾週繼續持平。
Pseudonymous trader The Crypto Dog tells his 853,00 followers on social media platform X that he believes the market will not regain bullish momentum until President-elect Donald Trump is sworn into office.
匿名交易員 The Crypto Dog 在社交媒體平台 X 上告訴他的 853,00 名粉絲,他相信在當選總統唐納德·特朗普宣誓就職之前,市場不會恢復看漲勢頭。
According to the analyst, Trump’s inauguration on January 20th will serve as a strong catalyst, pushing Bitcoin and altcoins to higher highs.
該分析師表示,川普 1 月 20 日的就職典禮將成為強大的催化劑,推動比特幣和山寨幣升至更高的高點。
“The inauguration probably acts just the same as election day – it’s going to pin us down until it’s done.
「就職典禮可能與選舉日一樣——它將讓我們陷入困境,直到它完成。
We’re not bearish per se, but we’re probably not going higher until Trump is in office.
我們本身並不看跌,但在川普上任之前我們可能不會走高。
Just had a bunch of people excited longing the highs, they probably get stopped out now.”
剛剛有一群人興奮地渴望高點,他們現在可能會被止損。
Examining historical data, The Crypto Dog notes that Bitcoin rallied after President Joe Biden took over the White House in 2021.
The Crypto Dog 在審視歷史數據後指出,2021 年拜登總統入主白宮後,比特幣出現反彈。
“You can see how we behaved Jan 2021… downtrend until inauguration then ripped +100% afterward.”
“你可以看到我們在 2021 年 1 月的表現……就職典禮之前一直呈下降趨勢,隨後又大幅上漲 100%。”
The analyst also points out that a similar trend can be observed during the 2017 cycle.
分析師也指出,在 2017 年周期中也可以觀察到類似的趨勢。
“2017 breakout happened pretty much right on inauguration.”
“2017 年的突破幾乎就發生在就職典禮上。”
While the analyst’s analysis suggests further consolidation, he adds that his view will be invalidated if the S&P 500 continues to show strength.
雖然分析師的分析顯示將進一步盤整,但他補充說,如果標準普爾 500 指數繼續表現強勁,他的觀點將無效。
“Looks like post-election January is pretty much up only for equities. Since the [launch of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds] we’ve been pretty lockstep so up only makes sense.”
「看起來大選後一月幾乎只有股市上漲。自從[推出比特幣交易所交易基金]以來,我們一直步調一致,所以上漲才有意義。
Bitcoin is trading at $98,219 at the time of writing.
截至撰寫本文時,比特幣交易價格為 98,219 美元。
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