随着投资者对经济不确定性和持续的贸易战的反应，比特币（BTC）市场在压力下

随着投资者对经济不确定性和持续的贸易战问题的反应，加密市场仍处于压力下。比特币，目前交易约84,000美元

The crypto market continues to be pressured as investors navigate macroeconomic uncertainties and ongoing trade war concerns. Bitcoin, currently trading around $84,000, has undergone a period of correction alongside the broader crypto market, with total market capitalization climbing 2.44% to $2.76 trillion. While some sellers are exiting, uncertainty remains over whether the current rebound can hold.

随着投资者在宏观经济不确定性和持续的贸易战争方面的关注时，加密市场继续受到压力。比特币目前的交易约为84,000美元，与更广泛的加密货币市场一起进行了一段更正，总市值攀升了2.44％，至2.76万亿美元。尽管一些卖家正在退出，但目前的反弹是否可以保持不确定性。

Analyst Predicts 90-Day Bear Market

分析师预测90天的熊市

Market analyst Timothy Peterson has assessed Bitcoin's recent downturn, comparing it to past bear markets, which are commonly defined as a 20% drop from an all-time high. Peterson claims this pullback is weaker in magnitude than historical declines and is expected to last only 90 days. Analyzing ten previous bear markets, only four were worse in terms of duration—2018, 2021, 2022, and 2024.

市场分析师蒂莫西·彼得森（Timothy Peterson）评估了比特币最近的经济下滑，将其与过去的熊市进行了比较，该市场通常被定义为从历史最高水平下降20％。彼得森声称，这种回调的幅度比历史上的衰落较弱，预计仅持续90天。分析前十个熊市，只有四个持续时间较差 - 2018年，2021年，2022年和2024年。

Despite short-term price drops, Peterson highlights that Bitcoin's adoption trends remain strong, rendering a deep decline below $50,000 unlikely. Moreover, considering BTC's momentum, a fall below $80,000 seems improbable. Peterson predicts a possible slide over the next 30 days, followed by a 20-40% rally after April 15. This rally could bring renewed investor interest and push Bitcoin to new highs.

尽管短期价格下跌，彼得森还是强调了比特币的采用趋势仍然很强劲，这使得不可能低于50,000美元的大幅下降。此外，考虑到BTC的势头，低于80,000美元的势头似乎是不可能的。彼得森预测，在接下来的30天内可能会幻灯片，然后在4月15日之后举行20-40％的集会。这次集会可能会将重新投资者的兴趣带到新高处。

Trade War Fears Impact Investor Sentiment

贸易战恐惧影响投资者的情绪

The recent market bloodbath has also been caused due to U.S. President Donald Trump’s new tariffs on multiple trading partners. These tariffs have triggered retaliatory measures across the globe, leading to fears of a prolonged trade war.

最近，由于美国总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）对多个贸易伙伴的新关税，最近的市场血腥疗法也引起了。这些关税引发了全球的报复措施，导致人们担心会长期进行贸易战。

Investors are now moving away from riskier assets, including cryptocurrencies, as macroeconomic conditions are not good. Data from Glassnode’s Hot Supply metric, which tracks BTC held for a week or less, shows a sharp decline from 5.9% in November 2024 to 2.3% in March 2025. This suggests a drop in speculative trading and highlights weak market sentiment.

由于宏观经济状况不好，投资者现在正在远离风险较高的资产，包括加密货币。 GlassNode的热供应指标的数据跟踪BTC持有的一周或更短的数据显示，从2024年11月的5.9％下降到2025年3月的2.3％。这表明投机性交易下降，并突出了弱市场情绪。

Nansen research analyst Nicolai Sondergaard warns that crypto markets may face trade war-related pressures until at least April 2025, when negotiations could ease tensions.

Nansen研究分析师Nicolai Sondergaard警告说，加密市场可能会面临与贸易有关的压力，直到至少2025年4月，届时谈判可以缓解紧张局势。

Retail Traders Already Invested, Limiting Further Gains

零售商人已经投资，限制了进一步的收益

Another factor limiting Bitcoin's price gains is the lack of fresh retail investment. According to CryptoQuant, most retail traders are already exposed to BTC, diminishing hopes of a sudden influx of capital to drive prices higher.

限制比特币价格上涨的另一个因素是缺乏新的零售投资。据CryptoQuant称，大多数零售商人已经接触到BTC，这减少了希望大量资本以推动价格上涨的希望。

Plus, the narrative of Bitcoin as a safe haven asset is being challenged, as its price has reacted negatively to tariff news, falling alongside other risk assets. Regulatory challenges persist as well, with experts predicting that U.S. crypto banking restrictions could last until January 2026, despite efforts to push for clearer regulations.

另外，比特币作为避风港资产的叙述正在受到挑战，因为其价格对关税新闻的反应负面反应，并与其他风险资产一起落下。监管挑战也持续存在，专家预测，尽管努力努力制定更清晰的法规，但美国加密银行业务限制可能会持续到2026年1月。

As per Coinpedia’s BTC price prediction, 1 BTC could peak at $169,046 this year if the bullish sentiment sustains.

根据Coinpedia的BTC价格预测，如果看涨的情绪得以维持，今年1 BTC的峰值可能为169,046美元。

With increased adoption, the price of 1 Bitcoin could reach a height of $610,646 in 2030.

随着采用的增加，1比特币的价格可能在2030年达到610,646美元的高度。