隨著投資者對經濟不確定性和持續的貿易戰的反應，比特幣（BTC）市場在壓力下

隨著投資者對經濟不確定性和持續的貿易戰問題的反應，加密市場仍處於壓力下。比特幣，目前交易約84,000美元

The crypto market continues to be pressured as investors navigate macroeconomic uncertainties and ongoing trade war concerns. Bitcoin, currently trading around $84,000, has undergone a period of correction alongside the broader crypto market, with total market capitalization climbing 2.44% to $2.76 trillion. While some sellers are exiting, uncertainty remains over whether the current rebound can hold.

隨著投資者在宏觀經濟不確定性和持續的貿易戰爭方面的關注時，加密市場繼續受到壓力。比特幣目前的交易約為84,000美元，與更廣泛的加密貨幣市場一起進行了一段更正，總市值攀升了2.44％，至2.76萬億美元。儘管一些賣家正在退出，但目前的反彈是否可以保持不確定性。

Analyst Predicts 90-Day Bear Market

分析師預測90天的熊市

Market analyst Timothy Peterson has assessed Bitcoin's recent downturn, comparing it to past bear markets, which are commonly defined as a 20% drop from an all-time high. Peterson claims this pullback is weaker in magnitude than historical declines and is expected to last only 90 days. Analyzing ten previous bear markets, only four were worse in terms of duration—2018, 2021, 2022, and 2024.

市場分析師蒂莫西·彼得森（Timothy Peterson）評估了比特幣最近的經濟下滑，將其與過去的熊市進行了比較，該市場通常被定義為從歷史最高水平下降20％。彼得森聲稱，這種回調的幅度比歷史上的衰落較弱，預計僅持續90天。分析前十個熊市，只有四個持續時間較差 - 2018年，2021年，2022年和2024年。

Despite short-term price drops, Peterson highlights that Bitcoin's adoption trends remain strong, rendering a deep decline below $50,000 unlikely. Moreover, considering BTC's momentum, a fall below $80,000 seems improbable. Peterson predicts a possible slide over the next 30 days, followed by a 20-40% rally after April 15. This rally could bring renewed investor interest and push Bitcoin to new highs.

儘管短期價格下跌，彼得森還是強調了比特幣的採用趨勢仍然很強勁，這使得不可能低於50,000美元的大幅下降。此外，考慮到BTC的勢頭，低於80,000美元的勢頭似乎是不可能的。彼得森預測，在接下來的30天內可能會幻燈片，然後在4月15日之後舉行20-40％的集會。這次集會可能會將重新投資者的興趣帶到新高處。

Trade War Fears Impact Investor Sentiment

貿易戰恐懼影響投資者的情緒

The recent market bloodbath has also been caused due to U.S. President Donald Trump’s new tariffs on multiple trading partners. These tariffs have triggered retaliatory measures across the globe, leading to fears of a prolonged trade war.

最近，由於美國總統唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）對多個貿易夥伴的新關稅，最近的市場血腥療法也引起了。這些關稅引發了全球的報復措施，導致人們擔心會長期進行貿易戰。

Investors are now moving away from riskier assets, including cryptocurrencies, as macroeconomic conditions are not good. Data from Glassnode’s Hot Supply metric, which tracks BTC held for a week or less, shows a sharp decline from 5.9% in November 2024 to 2.3% in March 2025. This suggests a drop in speculative trading and highlights weak market sentiment.

由於宏觀經濟狀況不好，投資者現在正在遠離風險較高的資產，包括加密貨幣。 GlassNode的熱供應指標的數據跟踪BTC持有的一周或更短的數據顯示，從2024年11月的5.9％下降到2025年3月的2.3％。這表明投機性交易下降，並突出了弱市場情緒。

Nansen research analyst Nicolai Sondergaard warns that crypto markets may face trade war-related pressures until at least April 2025, when negotiations could ease tensions.

Nansen研究分析師Nicolai Sondergaard警告說，加密市場可能會面臨與貿易有關的壓力，直到至少2025年4月，屆時談判可以緩解緊張局勢。

Retail Traders Already Invested, Limiting Further Gains

零售商人已經投資，限制了進一步的收益

Another factor limiting Bitcoin's price gains is the lack of fresh retail investment. According to CryptoQuant, most retail traders are already exposed to BTC, diminishing hopes of a sudden influx of capital to drive prices higher.

限制比特幣價格上漲的另一個因素是缺乏新的零售投資。據CryptoQuant稱，大多數零售商人已經接觸到BTC，這減少了希望大量資本以推動價格上漲的希望。

Plus, the narrative of Bitcoin as a safe haven asset is being challenged, as its price has reacted negatively to tariff news, falling alongside other risk assets. Regulatory challenges persist as well, with experts predicting that U.S. crypto banking restrictions could last until January 2026, despite efforts to push for clearer regulations.

另外，比特幣作為避風港資產的敘述正在受到挑戰，因為其價格對關稅新聞的反應負面反應，並與其他風險資產一起落下。監管挑戰也持續存在，專家預測，儘管努力努力製定更清晰的法規，但美國加密銀行業務限制可能會持續到2026年1月。

As per Coinpedia’s BTC price prediction, 1 BTC could peak at $169,046 this year if the bullish sentiment sustains.

根據Coinpedia的BTC價格預測，如果看漲的情緒得以維持，今年1 BTC的峰值可能為169,046美元。

With increased adoption, the price of 1 Bitcoin could reach a height of $610,646 in 2030.

隨著採用的增加，1比特幣的價格可能在2030年達到610,646美元的高度。