Bitcoin (BTC) Market Under Pressure as Investors React to Economic Uncertainties and Ongoing Trade War Concerns

The crypto market remains under pressure as investors react to economic uncertainties and ongoing trade war concerns. Bitcoin, currently trading around $84,000

The crypto market continues to be pressured as investors navigate macroeconomic uncertainties and ongoing trade war concerns. Bitcoin, currently trading around $84,000, has undergone a period of correction alongside the broader crypto market, with total market capitalization climbing 2.44% to $2.76 trillion. While some sellers are exiting, uncertainty remains over whether the current rebound can hold.

Analyst Predicts 90-Day Bear Market

Market analyst Timothy Peterson has assessed Bitcoin's recent downturn, comparing it to past bear markets, which are commonly defined as a 20% drop from an all-time high. Peterson claims this pullback is weaker in magnitude than historical declines and is expected to last only 90 days. Analyzing ten previous bear markets, only four were worse in terms of duration—2018, 2021, 2022, and 2024.

Despite short-term price drops, Peterson highlights that Bitcoin's adoption trends remain strong, rendering a deep decline below $50,000 unlikely. Moreover, considering BTC's momentum, a fall below $80,000 seems improbable. Peterson predicts a possible slide over the next 30 days, followed by a 20-40% rally after April 15. This rally could bring renewed investor interest and push Bitcoin to new highs.

Trade War Fears Impact Investor Sentiment

The recent market bloodbath has also been caused due to U.S. President Donald Trump’s new tariffs on multiple trading partners. These tariffs have triggered retaliatory measures across the globe, leading to fears of a prolonged trade war.

Investors are now moving away from riskier assets, including cryptocurrencies, as macroeconomic conditions are not good. Data from Glassnode’s Hot Supply metric, which tracks BTC held for a week or less, shows a sharp decline from 5.9% in November 2024 to 2.3% in March 2025. This suggests a drop in speculative trading and highlights weak market sentiment.

Nansen research analyst Nicolai Sondergaard warns that crypto markets may face trade war-related pressures until at least April 2025, when negotiations could ease tensions.

Retail Traders Already Invested, Limiting Further Gains

Another factor limiting Bitcoin's price gains is the lack of fresh retail investment. According to CryptoQuant, most retail traders are already exposed to BTC, diminishing hopes of a sudden influx of capital to drive prices higher.

Plus, the narrative of Bitcoin as a safe haven asset is being challenged, as its price has reacted negatively to tariff news, falling alongside other risk assets. Regulatory challenges persist as well, with experts predicting that U.S. crypto banking restrictions could last until January 2026, despite efforts to push for clearer regulations.

As per Coinpedia’s BTC price prediction, 1 BTC could peak at $169,046 this year if the bullish sentiment sustains.

With increased adoption, the price of 1 Bitcoin could reach a height of $610,646 in 2030.