比特币（BTC）市场闪烁本地底部信号 - 这是什么意思？

当美国总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）在上周向加拿大，墨西哥和中国征收新的关税时，比特币（BTC）的价格下跌至91美元左右

Bitcoin (BTC) price crashed to $91,000 on February 2, 2025 amid US President Donald Trump’s decision to impose new tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China. The tariffs sparked fears of a global trade war, leading to a sell-off in the crypto market. However, BTC quickly recovered from the flash crash.

在美国总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）决定对加拿大，墨西哥和中国征收新的关税的决定之中，比特币（BTC）的价格跌至91,000美元。关税引发了人们对全球贸易战争的担忧，导致加密货币市场的抛售。但是，BTC迅速从闪存崩溃中恢复。

Meanwhile, a strong rejection at the $102,000 price zone drew attention to the Advanced NVT (network value to transaction) metric, an on-chain indicator that assesses BTC’s market valuation in relation to its transaction volume.

同时，以102,000美元的价格区域的强烈拒绝引起了人们对高级NVT（交易网络价值）度量的关注，这是一个链链指标，该指标评估了BTC相对于其交易量的市场估值。

In an X post on February 7, renowned crypto analyst Burak Kesmeci shared some insights on the Advanced NVT, which helps traders identify overbought (low volume, high price) and oversold (high volume, low price) conditions of the Bitcoin market to predict future market trends.

在2月7日的X帖子中，著名的加密分析师Burak Kesmeci分享了有关高级NVT的一些见解，该见解有助于交易者确定比特币市场的过度购买（低量，高价）和超售（高价格，低价），以预测未来市场趋势。

According to Kesmeci, the Bitcoin Advanced NVT has indicated local bottoms on four occasions in the past year: May 2, 2024, with a score of 30.78, August 5, 2024 (35.82), September 6, 2024 (35.81) and October 10, 2024 (38.21).

根据Kesmeci的说法，比特币高级NVT在过去的一年中四次表示本地底部：2024年5月2日，得分为30.78，2024年8月5日（35.82），2024年9月6日（35.81）（35.81）和10月10日，10月10日，10月10日。 2024（38.21）。

In each of these instances, BTC experienced a price recovery but was preceded by a brief accumulation phase. Interestingly, as Bitcoin crashed to $91,000 in the past week, the Advanced NVT metric fell to 38.13 – a level consistent with past local bottoms. This development indicates Bitcoin is due for a price rally.

在每种情况下，BTC都经历了价格恢复，但在短暂的积累阶段之前。有趣的是，随着比特币在过去一周中跌至91,000美元，高级NVT度量降至38.13 - 与过去本地底部一致的水平。这种开发表明比特币应进行价格集会。

However, while a short-term price bounce is possible, historical data suggest that Bitcoin likely remains in consolidation for some time before launching a strong price rally. Interestingly, following its rejection at $102,000, BTC is showing a range-bound movement between $95,000-$100,000. For a price rally to materialize, market bulls must overcome resistance at $102,000, with further hurdles at $105,000 and $106,000.

但是，尽管有可能发生短期价格反弹，但历史数据表明，比特币在推出强劲的价格集会之前可能会持续一段时间。有趣的是，在拒绝$ 102,000之后，BTC显示了范围内的运输，在$ 95,000- $ 100,000之间。为了实现价格集会，市场公牛必须以102,000美元的价格克服抵抗，进一步的障碍为105,000美元和106,000美元。

Bitcoin Records $267 Million In Exchange Net Outflows

比特币记录2.67亿美元以交换净流出

In other news, blockchain analytics company IntoTheBlock reports the Bitcoin market experienced $267 million in net exchange outflows forming a three-week streak of outflows.

在其他新闻中，区块链分析公司Intotheblock报告说，比特币市场经历了2.67亿美元的净交易所外流，形成了三周的外流。

Consistent net outflow is a bullish signal indicating investors are moving their assets from exchanges, reducing any potential selling pressure. Albeit, while the recent positive trend continues, the recent outflow volume is significantly lower than the levels recorded in November 2024 indicating room for growth in terms of investors’ confidence.

一致的净流出是一个看涨信号，表明投资者正在从交易所转移其资产，从而减少了任何潜在的销售压力。尽管尽管最近的积极趋势仍在继续，但最近的流出量显着低于2024年11月记录的水平，这表明投资者的信心增长了。

At the time of writing, BTC trades at $96,720 reflecting a 0.84% decline in the past 24 hours. The premier asset experienced a turbulent trading week with an overall loss of 6.48%, pushing its monthly gains to 2.90%. With a market cap of $1.9 trillion, Bitcoin remains the largest cryptocurrency and the eighth-largest asset in the world.

在撰写本文时，BTC的交易价格为96,720美元，反映了过去24小时内下降0.84％。总理资产经历了动荡的一周，总体损失为6.48％，每月增长至2.90％。比特币的市值为1.9万亿美元，仍然是世界上最大的加密货币和第八大资产。