分析师预测，比特币（BTC）本周将面临 7 万美元的关键阻力测试

比特币 (BTC) 本周开局相当平静，周一早些时候在 64000 美元左右的窄幅区间内交易。这种稳定是在周日强劲的周收盘之后出现的

Bitcoin (BTC) price remained within a narrow range on Monday, following a strong weekly close on Sunday.

继周日强劲的周收盘之后，周一比特币（BTC）价格仍维持在窄幅区间内。

Bitcoin started the week trading within a range of around $64,000 on Monday, as crypto markets remained stable following a strong weekly close.

周一，比特币在 64,000 美元左右的范围内开始了本周的交易，加密货币市场在每周强劲收盘后保持稳定。

After a strong recovery from a low of $49,345 on August 5, BTC closed the week up 9.2%. During this period, the global crypto market capitalization also grew by around 29%, reaching $2.25 trillion.

BTC 从 8 月 5 日的 49,345 美元低点强劲反弹后，本周收盘上涨 9.2%。在此期间，全球加密货币市值也增长了约29%，达到2.25万亿美元。

Following a brief consolidation period of just over two weeks, Bitcoin surged past the closely watched resistance at $62,000 on Friday, setting the stage for a higher move.

经过两周多的短暂盘整期后，比特币于周五突破了备受关注的阻力位 62,000 美元，为进一步走高奠定了基础。

Bitcoin’s recent price movements have been influenced by key factors, including initial concerns over potential BTC sales by the Mt. Gox trustees and the German and U.S. governments, which have now largely subsided.

比特币近期的价格走势受到关键因素的影响，其中包括 Mt. Gox 受托人以及德国和美国政府最初对潜在 BTC 销售的担忧，但现在这种担忧已基本平息。

However, the upcoming U.S. presidential elections, which are often referred to as the “Bitcoin election” within the crypto community, have introduced a new layer of uncertainty, leading investors to adopt a more cautious, risk-off approach.

然而，即将到来的美国总统选举（在加密货币界通常被称为“比特币选举”）带来了新的不确定性，导致投资者采取更加谨慎的避险策略。

Despite these challenges, Bitcoin has shown impressive resilience, with technical analysts becoming increasingly optimistic about its future trajectory.

尽管面临这些挑战，比特币还是表现出了令人印象深刻的弹性，技术分析师对其未来轨迹越来越乐观。

Analyst “Captain Faibik,” among others, has observed that Bitcoin is currently trading within an expanding triangle pattern. This formation indicates increasing volatility, with the upper boundary of the pattern situated around the $70,000 mark.

分析师“Captain Faibik”等人观察到，比特币目前正在扩大的三角形模式内进行交易。该形态表明波动性正在增加，该形态的上限位于 70,000 美元大关附近。

According to this analysis, Bitcoin is expected to approach this upper resistance level soon, potentially setting the stage for a significant breakout if the current momentum persists.

根据这项分析，预计比特币很快就会接近这一上方阻力位，如果目前的势头持续下去，可能会为重大突破奠定基础。

“This week, Bitcoin may Retest the key $70k Resistance. Will Bitcoin Bulls be able to Break through the $70k Resistance this time?” he asked.

“本周，比特币可能会重新测试 7 万美元的关键阻力位。比特币多头这次能否突破 7 万美元阻力位？”他问道。

This bullish outlook is echoed by analyst “Trader Tardigrade,” who highlighted that Bitcoin has now entered Phase D of the Wyckoff Accumulation pattern, a key stage where the cryptocurrency usually solidifies its support level before making a major move up.

这种看涨前景得到了分析师“Trader Tardigrade”的呼应，他强调比特币现已进入威科夫积累模式的 D 阶段，这是加密货币在大幅上涨之前通常会巩固其支撑位的关键阶段。

“Soon $BTC will give us Last Point of Support (LPS) and Sign of Strength (SOS). Once it leaves the accumulation stage, $BTC could reach over $100,000 in the Mark-up stage.” He wrote.

“很快，$BTC 将为我们提供最后支撑点 (LPS) 和力量标志 (SOS)。一旦离开积累阶段，BTC 在加价阶段可能会达到 10 万美元以上。”他写道。

On the other hand, some analysts are not optimistic about BTC in the short term. Alan Santana suggested that Bitcoin’s correction may not be over, indicating that the price could drop to $40,000.

另一方面，一些分析师短期内并不看好BTC。 Alan Santana 表示，比特币的回调可能还没有结束，表明价格可能会跌至 40,000 美元。

“Why would Bitcoin move lower? The market moves in cycles, and it tends to seek balance. A prolonged bullish wave, 16 months, is matched by a strong correction. It is just the way it works.” He noted.

“为什么比特币会走低？市场是有周期的，它往往会寻求平衡。长达 16 个月的长期看涨浪潮伴随着强劲的修正。这就是它的运作方式。”他指出。

He further predicted that Bitcoin will face its toughest period from August to September 2024, with a potential recovery starting in October. Santana anticipates that this rebound could drive Bitcoin to a new all-time high of $190,000 by early 2025.

他进一步预测，比特币将在 2024 年 8 月至 9 月期间面临最艰难的时期，并可能从 10 月开始复苏。 Santana 预计，到 2025 年初，这种反弹可能会推动比特币达到 190,000 美元的历史新高。

Bitcoin was trading at $63,481 at press time, down 1.10% over the past 24 hours.

截至发稿时，比特币交易价格为 63,481 美元，过去 24 小时下跌 1.10%。