分析師預測，比特幣（BTC）本週將面臨 7 萬美元的關鍵阻力測試

比特幣 (BTC) 本週開局相當平靜，週一早些時候在 64000 美元左右的窄幅區間內交易。這種穩定是在周日強勁的周收盤之後出現的

Bitcoin (BTC) price remained within a narrow range on Monday, following a strong weekly close on Sunday.

繼週日強勁的周收盤之後，週一比特幣（BTC）價格仍維持在窄幅區間內。

Bitcoin started the week trading within a range of around $64,000 on Monday, as crypto markets remained stable following a strong weekly close.

週一，比特幣在 64,000 美元左右的範圍內開始了本週的交易，加密貨幣市場在每週強勁收盤後保持穩定。

After a strong recovery from a low of $49,345 on August 5, BTC closed the week up 9.2%. During this period, the global crypto market capitalization also grew by around 29%, reaching $2.25 trillion.

BTC 從 8 月 5 日的 49,345 美元低點強勁反彈後，本週收盤上漲 9.2%。在此期間，全球加密貨幣市值也成長了約29%，達到2.25兆美元。

Following a brief consolidation period of just over two weeks, Bitcoin surged past the closely watched resistance at $62,000 on Friday, setting the stage for a higher move.

經過兩週多的短暫盤整期後，比特幣在週五突破了備受關注的阻力位 62,000 美元，為進一步走高奠定了基礎。

Bitcoin’s recent price movements have been influenced by key factors, including initial concerns over potential BTC sales by the Mt. Gox trustees and the German and U.S. governments, which have now largely subsided.

比特幣近期的價格走勢受到關鍵因素的影響，其中包括 Mt. Gox 受託人以及德國和美國政府最初對潛在 BTC 銷售的擔憂，但現在這種擔憂已基本平息。

However, the upcoming U.S. presidential elections, which are often referred to as the “Bitcoin election” within the crypto community, have introduced a new layer of uncertainty, leading investors to adopt a more cautious, risk-off approach.

然而，即將到來的美國總統選舉（在加密貨幣界通常被稱為「比特幣選舉」）帶來了新的不確定性，導致投資者採取更謹慎的避險策略。

Despite these challenges, Bitcoin has shown impressive resilience, with technical analysts becoming increasingly optimistic about its future trajectory.

儘管面臨這些挑戰，比特幣還是展現了令人印象深刻的彈性，技術分析師對其未來軌跡越來越樂觀。

Analyst “Captain Faibik,” among others, has observed that Bitcoin is currently trading within an expanding triangle pattern. This formation indicates increasing volatility, with the upper boundary of the pattern situated around the $70,000 mark.

分析師「Captain Faibik」等人觀察到，比特幣目前正在擴大的三角形模式內進行交易。該形態表明波動性正在增加，該形態的上限位於 70,000 美元大關附近。

According to this analysis, Bitcoin is expected to approach this upper resistance level soon, potentially setting the stage for a significant breakout if the current momentum persists.

根據這項分析，預計比特幣很快就會接近這一上方阻力位，如果目前的勢頭持續下去，可能會為重大突破奠定基礎。

“This week, Bitcoin may Retest the key $70k Resistance. Will Bitcoin Bulls be able to Break through the $70k Resistance this time?” he asked.

「本週，比特幣可能會重新測試 7 萬美元的關鍵阻力位。比特幣多頭這次能否突破 7 萬美元阻力位？他問。

This bullish outlook is echoed by analyst “Trader Tardigrade,” who highlighted that Bitcoin has now entered Phase D of the Wyckoff Accumulation pattern, a key stage where the cryptocurrency usually solidifies its support level before making a major move up.

這種看漲前景得到了分析師「Trader Tardigrade」的呼應，他強調比特幣現已進入威科夫累積模式的 D 階段，這是加密貨幣在大幅上漲之前通常會鞏固其支撐位的關鍵階段。

“Soon $BTC will give us Last Point of Support (LPS) and Sign of Strength (SOS). Once it leaves the accumulation stage, $BTC could reach over $100,000 in the Mark-up stage.” He wrote.

「很快，$BTC 將為我們提供最後支撐點 (LPS) 和力量標誌 (SOS)。一旦離開累積階段，BTC 在加價階段可能會達到 10 萬美元以上。他寫道。

On the other hand, some analysts are not optimistic about BTC in the short term. Alan Santana suggested that Bitcoin’s correction may not be over, indicating that the price could drop to $40,000.

另一方面，有些分析師短期內並不看好BTC。 Alan Santana 表示，比特幣的回檔可能還沒結束，表明價格可能會跌至 4 萬美元。

“Why would Bitcoin move lower? The market moves in cycles, and it tends to seek balance. A prolonged bullish wave, 16 months, is matched by a strong correction. It is just the way it works.” He noted.

「為什麼比特幣會走低？市場是有周期的，它往往會尋求平衡。長達 16 個月的長期看漲浪潮伴隨著強勁的修正。這就是它的運作方式。他指出。

He further predicted that Bitcoin will face its toughest period from August to September 2024, with a potential recovery starting in October. Santana anticipates that this rebound could drive Bitcoin to a new all-time high of $190,000 by early 2025.

他進一步預測，比特幣將在 2024 年 8 月至 9 月期間面臨最艱難的時期，並可能從 10 月開始復甦。 Santana 預計，到 2025 年初，這種反彈可能會推動比特幣達到 19 萬美元的歷史新高。

Bitcoin was trading at $63,481 at press time, down 1.10% over the past 24 hours.

截至發稿時，比特幣交易價格為 63,481 美元，過去 24 小時下跌 1.10%。