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尽管比特币 (BTC) 价格在过去 24 小时内上涨,但关键市场指标却显得谨慎,这表明该货币在触及 70,000 美元大关时可能面临重大障碍。
Bitcoin (BTC) price showed signs of slowing down in the last 24 hours, and key market indicators are flashing caution. This development comes as the coin faces significant hurdles in reaching the $70,000 mark, despite investors’ expectations for the coin this month.
比特币(BTC)价格在过去 24 小时内显示出放缓迹象,关键市场指标闪烁着谨慎的光芒。尽管投资者本月对该代币抱有期望,但这一发展正值该代币在达到 70,000 美元大关方面面临重大障碍之际。
While BTC’s price has managed to cross the $63,000 level again, our analysis reveals the reasons why these warning signs should be taken into account.
虽然 BTC 的价格再次突破 63,000 美元的水平,但我们的分析揭示了应考虑这些警告信号的原因。
On-Chain Metrics Flash Warning Signs for Bitcoin
比特币的链上指标闪烁警告信号
One key metric that supports a Bitcoin price retracement is the Network Value to Transactions (NVT) ratio. The NVT ratio shows whether the market cap is growing faster than a cryptocurrency’s transaction volume.
支持比特币价格回调的一项关键指标是网络价值与交易量(NVT)比率。 NVT 比率显示市值的增长速度是否快于加密货币的交易量。
When the NVT ratio decreases, transaction volume is growing higher than the market cap. In most cases, this is bullish for the price. On the other hand, a rising NVTV ratio indicates that the Bitcoin network is overhead as the market cap outpaces the volume.
当 NVT 比率下降时,交易量的增长高于市值。在大多数情况下,这对价格来说是看涨的。另一方面,NVTV 比率的上升表明,随着市值超过交易量,比特币网络出现了开销。
At the time of writing, Glassnode data shows that the ratio has been increasing recently. This suggests potential overvaluation, indicating a possible short-term Bitcoin price correction.
截至撰写本文时,Glassnode 数据显示该比例最近一直在增加。这表明潜在的高估,表明比特币价格可能出现短期调整。
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This outlook is enhanced by the Short-Term Holder-Spent Output Profit Ratio (STH-SOPR). This metric measures the behavior of short-term investors, indicating whether they are selling at a profit or a loss.
短期持有者支出产出利润率 (STH-SOPR) 增强了这一前景。该指标衡量短期投资者的行为,表明他们的卖出是获利还是亏损。
When the STH-SOPR is below 1, investors are selling at a loss. On the other hand, when the metric is below 1, investors are selling at a profit. However, as of this writing, the ratio is exactly 1, suggesting that the volume sold at a loss and in profit matched one another.
当 STH-SOPR 低于 1 时,投资者亏损出售。另一方面,当该指标低于 1 时,投资者卖出获利。然而,截至撰写本文时,该比率恰好为 1,表明亏损销售量和盈利量相互匹配。
Considering the impact on Bitcoin’s price, this development implies that the coin could keep swinging sideways. However, a potential Bitcoin rally toward $70,000 could be implausible.
考虑到对比特币价格的影响,这一发展意味着比特币可能会继续横向波动。然而,比特币上涨至 70,000 美元的可能性可能不大可能。
BTC Price Prediction: Coin Could Go Below $60,000
BTC 价格预测:硬币可能跌破 60,000 美元
On the daily chart, Bitcoin’s price is currently $62,856, an increase from 24 hours ago. However, the Money Flow Index (MFI) shows that capital flowing into the cryptocurrency has decreased.
日线图上,比特币价格目前为 62,856 美元,较 24 小时前有所上涨。然而,资金流向指数(MFI)显示,流入加密货币的资本有所减少。
The MFI is a technical indicator that uses price and volume to check the level of buying and selling pressure in the market. When the MFI increases, more liquidity is flowing, and the price can increase.
MFI 是一种利用价格和成交量来检查市场买卖压力水平的技术指标。当 MFI 增加时,流动性就会增加,价格就会上涨。
Since the indicator’s reading dropped, it implies that investors are cashing out on recent gains, which could halt the price increase. If this remains the same, BTC’s price might decrease to $59,978.
由于该指标读数下降,这意味着投资者正在兑现近期收益,这可能会阻止价格上涨。如果保持不变,BTC 的价格可能会降至 59,978 美元。
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However, if investors stop distributing and start accumulating in large numbers, the coin might appreciate toward $66,527 and eventually $70,000.
然而,如果投资者停止分配并开始大量积累,该代币可能会升值至 66,527 美元,最终升至 70,000 美元。
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