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儘管比特幣 (BTC) 價格在過去 24 小時內上漲,但關鍵市場指標卻顯得謹慎,這表明該貨幣在觸及 7 萬美元大關時可能面臨重大障礙。
Bitcoin (BTC) price showed signs of slowing down in the last 24 hours, and key market indicators are flashing caution. This development comes as the coin faces significant hurdles in reaching the $70,000 mark, despite investors’ expectations for the coin this month.
比特幣(BTC)價格在過去 24 小時內顯示出放緩跡象,關鍵市場指標閃爍著謹慎的光芒。儘管投資者本月對該代幣抱有期望,但這一發展正值該代幣在達到 7 萬美元大關方面面臨重大障礙之際。
While BTC’s price has managed to cross the $63,000 level again, our analysis reveals the reasons why these warning signs should be taken into account.
雖然 BTC 的價格再次突破 63,000 美元的水平,但我們的分析揭示了應考慮這些警告信號的原因。
On-Chain Metrics Flash Warning Signs for Bitcoin
比特幣的鏈上指標閃爍警告訊號
One key metric that supports a Bitcoin price retracement is the Network Value to Transactions (NVT) ratio. The NVT ratio shows whether the market cap is growing faster than a cryptocurrency’s transaction volume.
支持比特幣價格回檔的關鍵指標是網路價值與交易量(NVT)比率。 NVT 比率顯示市值的成長是否快於加密貨幣的成交量。
When the NVT ratio decreases, transaction volume is growing higher than the market cap. In most cases, this is bullish for the price. On the other hand, a rising NVTV ratio indicates that the Bitcoin network is overhead as the market cap outpaces the volume.
當 NVT 比率下降時,交易量的成長高於市值。在大多數情況下,這對價格來說是看漲的。另一方面,不斷上升的 NVTV 比率表明,隨著市值超過交易量,比特幣網路出現了開銷。
At the time of writing, Glassnode data shows that the ratio has been increasing recently. This suggests potential overvaluation, indicating a possible short-term Bitcoin price correction.
截至撰寫本文時,Glassnode 數據顯示該比例最近一直在增加。這表明潛在的高估,表明比特幣價格可能出現短期調整。
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This outlook is enhanced by the Short-Term Holder-Spent Output Profit Ratio (STH-SOPR). This metric measures the behavior of short-term investors, indicating whether they are selling at a profit or a loss.
短期持有者支出產出利潤率 (STH-SOPR) 增強了這一前景。此指標衡量短期投資者的行為,顯示他們的賣出是獲利還是虧損。
When the STH-SOPR is below 1, investors are selling at a loss. On the other hand, when the metric is below 1, investors are selling at a profit. However, as of this writing, the ratio is exactly 1, suggesting that the volume sold at a loss and in profit matched one another.
當 STH-SOPR 低於 1 時,投資者虧損出售。另一方面,當該指標低於 1 時,投資者賣出並獲利。然而,截至撰寫本文時,該比率恰好為 1,顯示虧損銷售量和獲利量相互匹配。
Considering the impact on Bitcoin’s price, this development implies that the coin could keep swinging sideways. However, a potential Bitcoin rally toward $70,000 could be implausible.
考慮到對比特幣價格的影響,這一發展意味著比特幣可能會繼續橫向波動。然而,比特幣上漲至 7 萬美元的可能性可能不大。
BTC Price Prediction: Coin Could Go Below $60,000
BTC 價格預測:硬幣可能跌破 6 萬美元
On the daily chart, Bitcoin’s price is currently $62,856, an increase from 24 hours ago. However, the Money Flow Index (MFI) shows that capital flowing into the cryptocurrency has decreased.
日線圖上,比特幣價格目前為 62,856 美元,較 24 小時前上漲。然而,資金流向指數(MFI)顯示,流入加密貨幣的資本減少。
The MFI is a technical indicator that uses price and volume to check the level of buying and selling pressure in the market. When the MFI increases, more liquidity is flowing, and the price can increase.
MFI 是一種利用價格和成交量來檢查市場買賣壓力水平的技術指標。當 MFI 增加時,流動性就會增加,價格就會上漲。
Since the indicator’s reading dropped, it implies that investors are cashing out on recent gains, which could halt the price increase. If this remains the same, BTC’s price might decrease to $59,978.
由於該指標讀數下降,這意味著投資者正在兌現近期收益,這可能會阻止價格上漲。如果保持不變,BTC 的價格可能會降至 59,978 美元。
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However, if investors stop distributing and start accumulating in large numbers, the coin might appreciate toward $66,527 and eventually $70,000.
然而,如果投資者停止分配並開始大量積累,該代幣可能會升值至 66,527 美元,最終升至 70,000 美元。
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