渣打银行表示，比特币（BTC）可能跌至 80,000 美元低点，但这是一个“绝佳的中期买入机会”

这一分析是在人们对宏观风险的担忧以及对即将上任的特朗普政府的高期望的背景下做出的，这导致了数字资产市场的潜在波动。

Standard Chartered’s Geoffrey Kendrick has stated that Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) could potentially fall to the low $80,000s if it breaks decisively below $90,000, presenting an “excellent medium-term buying opportunity.”

渣打银行 (Standard Chartered) 的杰弗里·肯德里克 (Geoffrey Kendrick) 表示，如果比特币 (CRYPTO: BTC) 果断跌破 90,000 美元，它可能会跌至 80,000 美元的低点，这提供了“绝佳的中期买入机会”。

This analysis comes amid concerns over macro risks and high expectations regarding the incoming Trump administration, leading to potential volatility in the digital asset market.

这一分析是在人们对宏观风险的担忧以及对即将上任的特朗普政府的高期望的背景下做出的，这导致了数字资产市场的潜在波动。

According to Standard Chartered's report, the average Bitcoin purchase price of spot ETFs and MicroStrategy (NASDAQ:MSTR) since the U.S. election hovers around $94,000.

根据渣打银行的报告，自美国大选以来现货 ETF 和 MicroStrategy (NASDAQ:MSTR) 的比特币平均购买价格徘徊在 94,000 美元左右。

This means that these major Bitcoin holders are only breaking even, which carries the risk of “forced or panic selling” if Bitcoin's price falls below the $90,000 mark.

这意味着这些主要的比特币持有者只是收支平衡，如果比特币价格跌破 90,000 美元大关，就会面临“被迫或恐慌性抛售”的风险。

Standard Chartered noted that Bitcoin's price briefly dropped to around $90,000 on January 13, adding to the current market pressures.

渣打银行指出，1 月 13 日，比特币价格短暂跌至 9 万美元左右，加剧了当前的市场压力。

Standard Chartered’s report also highlights the risk of a self-fulfilling sell-off, driven by ongoing macro concerns, including upcoming US CPI data and market anticipation around the Trump inauguration.

渣打银行的报告还强调了由持续的宏观担忧驱动的自我实现抛售的风险，包括即将公布的美国消费者物价指数数据和围绕特朗普就职的市场预期。

While the report does not predict whether Bitcoin will necessarily fall below $90,000, it does warn of "convexity risks associated with a proper break below" this key level.

虽然该报告没有预测比特币是否一定会跌破 90,000 美元，但它确实警告“适当跌破”这一关键水平会带来凸性风险。

Kendrick states that a clean break below $90,000 for BTC would open up 10% of further downside near-term, to the low $80,000s."

Kendrick 表示，如果 BTC 彻底突破 90,000 美元，短期内将进一步下跌 10%，跌至 80,000 美元低点。

He emphasizes however, that such a retracement should be seen as an opportunity and that investors should again begin accumulating long positions after this potential downturn has run its course.

但他强调，这种回调应被视为一次机会，在潜在的低迷结束后，投资者应再次开始积累多头头寸。

Standard Chartered maintains its long-term bullish outlook, re-iterating its target of $200,000 by the end of 2025, assuming that institutional inflows will resume under the Trump administration.

渣打银行维持长期看涨前景，重申其到 2025 年底达到 20 万美元的目标，假设机构资金流入将在特朗普政府领导下恢复。