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加密货币新闻

New Research说,比特币(BTC)交流正在获得一个关键的“去杠杆化事件”,这应该塑造未来的收益。

2025/03/19 14:20

New Research说,比特币(BTC)交流正在获得一个关键的“去杠杆化事件”,这应该塑造未来的收益。

CryptoQuant researchers are examining the implications of a “deleveraging event” which hit Bitcoin (BTC) exchanges last month.

加密的研究人员正在研究上个月打击比特币(BTC)交流的“去杠杆化事件”的含义。

In one of its “Quicktake” blog posts on March 17, onchain analytics platform CryptoQuant revealed a $10 billion capitulation on Bitcoin futures markets.

在3月17日的“ QuickTake”博客文章之一中,OnChain Analytics平台CryptoQuant透露了比特币期货市场的100亿美元投降。

Bitcoin sees ‘essential’ event for BTC price rebound

比特币看到BTC价格反弹的“基本”事件

Bitcoin derivatives traders flipped firmly risk-off after BTC/USD hit its current all-time highs in mid-January.

BTC/USD在1月中旬达到了目前的历史最高点之后,比特币衍生品交易员会牢固地冒险。

CryptoQuant, which uses data from various major crypto exchanges, calculates that aggregate open interest (OI) fell by $10 billion in just three weeks from Feb. 20 through March 4.

使用来自各种主要加密交易所的数据的CryptoQuant计算出,从2月20日到3月4日,在短短三周内,开放利息(OI)汇总了100亿美元。

“On January 17th, Bitcoin’s open interest reached an all-time high of over $33B, indicating that leverage in the market had never been this high,” contributor Darkfost writes.

撰稿人Darkfost写道:“ 1月17日,比特币的开放兴趣达到了33B美元以上的历史最高点,这表明市场上的杠杆率从未如此之高。”

The drop, he argues, “can be considered as a natural market reset, an essential phase for sustaining a bullish continuation.”

他认为,“可以被视为自然市场的重置,这是维持看涨持续的重要阶段。”

Bitcoin futures OI data for top exchanges. Source: CryptoQuant

比特币期货oi数据用于顶级交换。资料来源:加密

An accompanying chart shows the 90-day rolling change in aggregate OI, highlighting the severity of the market’s U-turn following the all-time highs.

随附的图表显示了总OI的90天滚动变化,强调了在历史高潮之后市场掉头的严重性。

“Currently, the 90-day change in Bitcoin futures open interest has dropped sharply and now sitting at -14%,” Darkfost concludes.

Darkfost总结说:“目前,比特币期货的90天变化开放兴趣急剧下降,现在占-14%。”

Crypto ‘demand crisis’ emerges

加密“需求危机”出现

Continuing, fellow CryptoQuant contributor Kriptolik eyed increasingly active derivatives markets overall since November 2024.

自2024年11月以来,持续的加密贡献者Kriptolik的总体衍生品市场越来越活跃。

Related: Peak ‘FUD’ hints at $70K floor — 5 Things to know in Bitcoin this week

相关:高峰“ FUD”提示为$ 70K的楼层 - 本周在比特币中知道的5件事

Stablecoin reserves across derivatives exchanges are increasing, he revealed this week, even surpassing spot markets. This, however, is no recipe for price upside.

他本周透露,跨衍生品交易所之间的Stablecoin储备在增加,甚至超过现货市场。但是,这不是价格上涨的秘诀。

“When we analyze the volume and circulation of stablecoins, which act as fuel in the market, we see that despite a rapid increase in total stablecoin supply since November 2024, this has not necessarily benefited the market or investors significantly,” another blog post explains.

另一位博客文章解释说:“当我们分析稳定剂的数量和流通(在市场上充当燃料)时,我们看到,尽管自2024年11月以来,稳定的稳态供应量迅速增加,但这并不一定使市场或投资者受益匪浅。”

Kriptolik described spot markets as suffering a “demand crisis.”

克里普托里克(Kriptolik)将现场市场描述为“需求危机”。

“Until this distribution normalizes, avoiding high-leverage (high-risk) trades may be the most prudent approach,” he added.

他补充说:“直到这种分配正常化为止,避免高杠杆(高风险)交易可能是最谨慎的方法。”

Exchange stablecoin reserves (screenshot). Source: CryptoQuant

Exchange stablecoin储备金(屏幕快照)。资料来源:加密

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

本文不包含投资建议或建议。每个投资和交易举动都涉及风险,读者在做出决定时应进行自己的研究。

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