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New Research說,比特幣(BTC)交流正在獲得一個關鍵的“去槓桿化事件”,這應該塑造未來的收益。
CryptoQuant researchers are examining the implications of a “deleveraging event” which hit Bitcoin (BTC) exchanges last month.
加密的研究人員正在研究上個月打擊比特幣(BTC)交流的“去槓桿化事件”的含義。
In one of its “Quicktake” blog posts on March 17, onchain analytics platform CryptoQuant revealed a $10 billion capitulation on Bitcoin futures markets.
在3月17日的“ QuickTake”博客文章之一中,OnChain Analytics平台CryptoQuant透露了比特幣期貨市場的100億美元投降。
Bitcoin sees ‘essential’ event for BTC price rebound
比特幣看到BTC價格反彈的“基本”事件
Bitcoin derivatives traders flipped firmly risk-off after BTC/USD hit its current all-time highs in mid-January.
BTC/USD在1月中旬達到了目前的歷史最高點之後,比特幣衍生品交易員會牢固地冒險。
CryptoQuant, which uses data from various major crypto exchanges, calculates that aggregate open interest (OI) fell by $10 billion in just three weeks from Feb. 20 through March 4.
使用來自各種主要加密交易所的數據的CryptoQuant計算出,從2月20日到3月4日,在短短三週內,開放利息(OI)匯總了100億美元。
“On January 17th, Bitcoin’s open interest reached an all-time high of over $33B, indicating that leverage in the market had never been this high,” contributor Darkfost writes.
撰稿人Darkfost寫道:“ 1月17日,比特幣的開放興趣達到了33B美元以上的歷史最高點,這表明市場上的槓桿率從未如此之高。”
The drop, he argues, “can be considered as a natural market reset, an essential phase for sustaining a bullish continuation.”
他認為,“可以被視為自然市場的重置,這是維持看漲持續的重要階段。”
Bitcoin futures OI data for top exchanges. Source: CryptoQuant
比特幣期貨oi數據用於頂級交換。資料來源:加密
An accompanying chart shows the 90-day rolling change in aggregate OI, highlighting the severity of the market’s U-turn following the all-time highs.
隨附的圖表顯示了總OI的90天滾動變化,強調了在歷史高潮之後市場掉頭的嚴重性。
“Currently, the 90-day change in Bitcoin futures open interest has dropped sharply and now sitting at -14%,” Darkfost concludes.
Darkfost總結說:“目前,比特幣期貨的90天變化開放興趣急劇下降,現在佔-14%。”
Crypto ‘demand crisis’ emerges
加密“需求危機”出現
Continuing, fellow CryptoQuant contributor Kriptolik eyed increasingly active derivatives markets overall since November 2024.
自2024年11月以來,持續的加密貢獻者Kriptolik的總體衍生品市場越來越活躍。
Related: Peak ‘FUD’ hints at $70K floor — 5 Things to know in Bitcoin this week
相關:高峰“ FUD”提示為$ 70K的樓層 - 本週在比特幣中知道的5件事
Stablecoin reserves across derivatives exchanges are increasing, he revealed this week, even surpassing spot markets. This, however, is no recipe for price upside.
他本週透露,跨衍生品交易所之間的Stablecoin儲備在增加,甚至超過現貨市場。但是,這不是價格上漲的秘訣。
“When we analyze the volume and circulation of stablecoins, which act as fuel in the market, we see that despite a rapid increase in total stablecoin supply since November 2024, this has not necessarily benefited the market or investors significantly,” another blog post explains.
另一位博客文章解釋說:“當我們分析穩定劑的數量和流通(在市場上充當燃料)時,我們看到,儘管自2024年11月以來,穩定的穩態供應量迅速增加,但這並不一定使市場或投資者受益匪淺。”
Kriptolik described spot markets as suffering a “demand crisis.”
克里普托里克(Kriptolik)將現場市場描述為“需求危機”。
“Until this distribution normalizes, avoiding high-leverage (high-risk) trades may be the most prudent approach,” he added.
他補充說:“直到這種分配正常化為止,避免高槓桿(高風險)交易可能是最謹慎的方法。”
Exchange stablecoin reserves (screenshot). Source: CryptoQuant
Exchange stablecoin儲備金(屏幕快照)。資料來源:加密
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
本文不包含投資建議或建議。每個投資和交易舉動都涉及風險,讀者在做出決定時應進行自己的研究。
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