比特币 [BTC] 主导地位下降，暗示 2024 年 12 月可能会出现山寨币季节

比特币 [BTC] 投资者已经等待很长时间才能看到这个王币达到 10 万美元，但这需要太多时间。这还能再等多久吗？好吧，最近的一些更新可能会将 BTC 推到后座，并让山寨币在 2024 年 12 月大放异彩。

Bitcoin [BTC] investors have been eagerly awaiting the day when the king coin finally breaches the $100k mark, but the anticipation is proving to be a test of patience. Could this wait be extended any further? Well, a few recent updates might push BTC to the backseat and allow altcoins to have their moment of glory in December 2024.

比特币 [BTC] 投资者一直在热切地等待这一王币最终突破 10 万美元大关的那一天，但事实证明，这种预期是对耐心的考验。这个等待还能再延长吗？好吧，最近的一些更新可能会将 BTC 推到后座，并让山寨币在 2024 年 12 月迎来辉煌时刻。

Does this herald the arrival of a fresh altcoin season?

这是否预示着新的山寨币季节的到来？

Bitcoin’s dominance is waning

比特币的主导地位正在减弱

Over the last few days, Bitcoin has been seen consolidating close to the $96k price range. This has led to a massive drop in the king coin’s volatility. This decrease in volatility has paved the way for another major development.

过去几天，比特币价格一直在 9.6 万美元附近盘整。这导致王币波动性大幅下降。波动性的降低为另一项重大发展铺平了道路。

Captain Faibik, a well-known crypto analyst, recently took to Twitter to highlight this occurrence. According to his observation, Bitcoin’s dominance has been charting a rising wedge pattern since the beginning of 2022.

著名加密货币分析师 Captain Faibik 最近在 Twitter 上强调了这一事件。根据他的观察，自 2022 年初以来，比特币的主导地位一直呈现出上升楔形模式。

Recently, the chart broke out of this pattern but to the south, hinting at a rise for altcoins. In fact, Captain Faibik went on to mention a 2024-2025 altcoin season in the tweet.

最近，图表突破了这一模式，但向南，暗示山寨币上涨。事实上，Faibik 队长在推文中接着提到了 2024-2025 年的山寨币季节。

Source: X

来源：X

Is an altcoin season really upon us?

山寨币季节真的来临了吗？

The decline in BTC’s dominance is, in fact, helping altcoins increase their own market share. As previously reported by AMBCrypto, many are speculating that a fresh altcoin season might be on the horizon. While the odds do favor its occurrence in 2025, recent events suggest that it might arrive sooner than anticipated.

事实上，比特币主导地位的下降正在帮助山寨币增加自己的市场份额。正如 AMBCrypto 之前报道的那样，许多人猜测新的山寨币季节可能即将到来。虽然它确实有可能在 2025 年发生，但最近发生的事件表明它可能会比预期更早到来。

Or, it might have already begun. For instance, Ethereum [ETH], the king of altcoins, remained bullish over the last 24 hours as bulls pushed its price up by more than 3%. Other alts with large market capitalizations also saw promising performances.

或者，它可能已经开始了。例如，山寨币之王以太坊 (ETH) 在过去 24 小时内仍然看涨，多头将其价格推高了 3% 以上。其他市值较大的替代品也表现出色。

Leading the pack was XRP, with gains of over 12% in the last 24 hours alone.

领先的是 XRP，仅在过去 24 小时内就上涨了 12% 以上。

Furthermore, AMBCrypto’s analysis revealed that the altcoin season index registered a sharp uptick and reached 67, at press time. For perspective, a value closer to 75 indicates an altcoin season.

此外，AMBCrypto 的分析显示，截至发稿时，山寨币季节指数大幅上涨，达到 67。从角度来看，接近 75 的值表明山寨币季节到来。

Source: Blockchaincenter

来源：区块链中心

Considering that Ethereum is the market’s top altcoin, AMBCrypto aimed to examine it to determine whether its on-chain data hinted at a sustained bull rally. An assessment of the same could help pinpoint the upcoming altcoin season.

考虑到以太坊是市场上排名第一的山寨币，AMBCrypto 旨在对其进行检查，以确定其链上数据是否暗示了持续的牛市反弹。对此进行评估可能有助于确定即将到来的山寨币季节。

Well, despite its recent price increase, ETH’s NVT ratio remained at lower levels. A decline in this metric suggests that an asset is undervalued, hinting at a sustained price hike.

尽管最近价格有所上涨，但 ETH 的 NVT 比率仍处于较低水平。该指标的下降表明资产被低估，暗示价格持续上涨。

Source: Glassnode

来源：Glassnode

According to the altcoin’s daily chart, it was testing its resistance at press time. However, the concern was that its Relative Strength Index (RSI) was on the verge of entering the overbought zone. This could trigger a selling spree and restrict the token from moving further up the charts.

根据山寨币的日线图，截至发稿时它正在测试其阻力。然而，令人担忧的是其相对强弱指数（RSI）正处于进入超买区的边缘。这可能会引发抛售热潮并限制代币在图表中的进一步上升。

Read Ethereum [ETH] Price Prediction 2024-2025

阅读以太坊 [ETH] 价格预测 2024-2025

Hence, while most metrics and market conditions hint at an altcoin season, it still remains to be seen whether it will occur in the short-term.

因此，尽管大多数指标和市场状况都暗示山寨币季节即将到来，但短期内是否会出现仍有待观察。

Source: TradingView

来源：TradingView