比特幣 [BTC] 主導下降，暗示 2024 年 12 月可能會出現山寨幣季節

比特幣 [BTC] 投資者已經等待很長時間才能看到這個王幣達到 10 萬美元，但這需要太多時間。這還能再等多久嗎？好吧，最近的一些更新可能會將 BTC 推到後座，並讓山寨幣在 2024 年 12 月大放異彩。

Bitcoin [BTC] investors have been eagerly awaiting the day when the king coin finally breaches the $100k mark, but the anticipation is proving to be a test of patience. Could this wait be extended any further? Well, a few recent updates might push BTC to the backseat and allow altcoins to have their moment of glory in December 2024.

比特幣 [BTC] 投資者一直在熱切地等待這一王幣最終突破 10 萬美元大關的那一天，但事實證明，這種預期是對耐心的考驗。這個等待還能再延長嗎？好吧，最近的一些更新可能會將 BTC 推到後座，並讓山寨幣在 2024 年 12 月迎來輝煌時刻。

Does this herald the arrival of a fresh altcoin season?

這是否預示著新的山寨幣季節的到來？

Bitcoin’s dominance is waning

比特幣的主導地位正在減弱

Over the last few days, Bitcoin has been seen consolidating close to the $96k price range. This has led to a massive drop in the king coin’s volatility. This decrease in volatility has paved the way for another major development.

過去幾天，比特幣價格一直在 9.6 萬美元附近盤整。這導致王幣波動性大幅下降。波動性的降低為另一項重大發展鋪平了道路。

Captain Faibik, a well-known crypto analyst, recently took to Twitter to highlight this occurrence. According to his observation, Bitcoin’s dominance has been charting a rising wedge pattern since the beginning of 2022.

著名加密貨幣分析師 Captain Faibik 最近在 Twitter 上強調了這一事件。根據他的觀察，自 2022 年初以來，比特幣的主導地位一直呈現上升楔形模式。

Recently, the chart broke out of this pattern but to the south, hinting at a rise for altcoins. In fact, Captain Faibik went on to mention a 2024-2025 altcoin season in the tweet.

最近，圖表突破了這一模式，但向南，暗示山寨幣上漲。事實上，Faibik 隊長在推文中接著提到了 2024-2025 年的山寨幣季節。

Source: X

來源：X

Is an altcoin season really upon us?

山寨幣季節真的來臨了嗎？

The decline in BTC’s dominance is, in fact, helping altcoins increase their own market share. As previously reported by AMBCrypto, many are speculating that a fresh altcoin season might be on the horizon. While the odds do favor its occurrence in 2025, recent events suggest that it might arrive sooner than anticipated.

事實上，比特幣主導地位的下降正在幫助山寨幣增加自己的市場份額。正如 AMBCrypto 之前報導的那樣，許多人猜測新的山寨幣季節可能即將到來。雖然它確實有可能在 2025 年發生，但最近的事件表明它可能會比預期更早到來。

Or, it might have already begun. For instance, Ethereum [ETH], the king of altcoins, remained bullish over the last 24 hours as bulls pushed its price up by more than 3%. Other alts with large market capitalizations also saw promising performances.

或者，它可能已經開始了。例如，山寨幣之王以太幣 (ETH) 在過去 24 小時內仍然看漲，多頭將其價格推高了 3% 以上。其他市值較大的替代品也表現出色。

Leading the pack was XRP, with gains of over 12% in the last 24 hours alone.

領先的是 XRP，光在過去 24 小時內就上漲了 12% 以上。

Furthermore, AMBCrypto’s analysis revealed that the altcoin season index registered a sharp uptick and reached 67, at press time. For perspective, a value closer to 75 indicates an altcoin season.

此外，AMBCrypto 的分析顯示，截至發稿時，山寨幣季節指數大幅上漲，達到 67。從角度來看，接近 75 的值表明山寨幣季節到來。

Source: Blockchaincenter

來源：區塊鏈中心

Considering that Ethereum is the market’s top altcoin, AMBCrypto aimed to examine it to determine whether its on-chain data hinted at a sustained bull rally. An assessment of the same could help pinpoint the upcoming altcoin season.

考慮到以太坊是市場上排名第一的山寨幣，AMBCrypto 旨在對其進行檢查，以確定其鏈上數據是否暗示了持續的牛市反彈。對此進行評估可能有助於確定即將到來的山寨幣季節。

Well, despite its recent price increase, ETH’s NVT ratio remained at lower levels. A decline in this metric suggests that an asset is undervalued, hinting at a sustained price hike.

好吧，儘管最近價格有所上漲，但 ETH 的 NVT 比率仍處於較低水平。此指標的下降表示資產被低估，暗示價格持續上漲。

Source: Glassnode

來源：Glassnode

According to the altcoin’s daily chart, it was testing its resistance at press time. However, the concern was that its Relative Strength Index (RSI) was on the verge of entering the overbought zone. This could trigger a selling spree and restrict the token from moving further up the charts.

根據山寨幣的日線圖，截至發稿時它正在測試其阻力。然而，令人擔憂的是其相對強度指數（RSI）正處於進入超買區的邊緣。這可能會引發拋售熱潮並限制代幣在圖表中的進一步上升。

Read Ethereum [ETH] Price Prediction 2024-2025

閱讀以太坊 [ETH] 價格預測 2024-2025

Hence, while most metrics and market conditions hint at an altcoin season, it still remains to be seen whether it will occur in the short-term.

因此，儘管大多數指標和市場狀況都暗示山寨幣季節即將到來，但短期內是否會出現仍有待觀察。

Source: TradingView

來源：TradingView