到3月底，比特币（BTC）将降至7.5万美元，Polmoarket用户下注

Polymarket用户在今年3月底之前下注，比特币将降至75,000美元。这反映了一种盛行的悲观情绪。

A significant proportion of users on Polymarket are wagering that Bitcoin will decline to $75K by the end of March this year. This reflects a prevailing pessimistic sentiment.

在今年3月底之前，在Polymarket上的用户很大一部分都在下注，比特币将降至75K美元。这反映了一种盛行的悲观情绪。

It is relatively understandable why many individuals are concerned about the less-than-optimistic outlook for Bitcoin and the broader market this year.

为什么许多人关心比特币和今年更广泛的市场的观点不那么令人愉悦的看法是相对理解的。

The market is currently exhibiting extreme unpredictability, with major cryptocurrencies demonstrating sluggish momentum, while mid-cap and lower market capitalization coins are increasingly vulnerable due to the escalating fragmentation of market liquidity.

该市场目前表现出极端的不可预测性，主要的加密货币表明势头较差，而由于市场流动性的分散分散，中型和较低的市值硬币越来越脆弱。

The Fear & Greed Index, a metric used to gauge market sentiment, is currently registering in the ‘Fear’ zone, indicating widespread apprehension that the cryptocurrency market may be susceptible to further significant downturns.

恐惧与贪婪指数是一种用于衡量市场情绪的指标，目前正在“恐惧”区域注册，这表明人们普遍担心加密货币市场可能容易受到进一步的大量低迷的影响。

Source: CoinMarketCap

资料来源：CoinMarketCap

On Polymarket, a platform that enables users to bet on the outcomes of various events, a substantial portion of participants are betting on Bitcoin falling below $75,000 by the end of March. Furthermore, only 9% of bettors anticipate positive growth for BTC in the first quarter of 2025.

在Polymarket上，一个使用户能够押注各种活动结果的平台，大部分参与者在3月底之前押注比特币低于75,000美元的比特币。此外，只有9％的投注者预计2025年第一季度BTC的正增长。

Notably, a significant 67% of Polymarket bettors believe that Bitcoin will only reach the $70,000 mark by the end of 2025.

值得注意的是，有67％的Polmoarket Bettors认为，到2025年底，比特币只能达到70,000美元。

Source: Polymarket

资料来源：Polymarket

It is crucial to emphasize that Polymarket serves as a reflection of general speculative sentiment within the community, rather than a reliable indicator for investment decisions.

至关重要的是要强调，多聚市场是社区内普遍投机情绪的反映，而不是投资决策的可靠指标。

About Polymarket

关于多聚市场

Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market platform that allows users to bet on the outcomes of real-world events using cryptocurrency. It operates on the Polygon blockchain, a Layer-2 scaling solution for Ethereum, which ensures fast, low-cost, and transparent transactions.

Polymarket是一个分散的预测市场平台，可让用户使用加密货币赌注现实事件的结果。它在多边形区块链上运行，这是一种用于以太坊的2层缩放解决方案，可确保快速，低成本和透明的交易。

These shares are priced between $0.01 and $1.00 in USDC (a stablecoin pegged to the U.S. dollar), and if the predicted outcome occurs, the shares pay out at $1 each; otherwise, they become worthless.

这些股票的价格在0.01美元至1.00美元之间（固定在美元汇率上），如果发生预测的结果，则股票的支付为1美元；否则，它们将变得毫无价值。

The platform is designed to aggregate collective knowledge, often claiming to provide more accurate forecasts than traditional polls by reflecting what people are willing to stake money on. Users can buy, sell, or hold shares based on their confidence in an outcome, and the market prices dynamically adjust to reflect the crowd’s perception of probability.

该平台旨在汇总集体知识，通常声称与传统民意调查相比，通过反映人们愿意利用的资金来提供更准确的预测。用户可以根据对结果的信心购买，出售或持有股票，市场价格动态调整以反映人群对概率的看法。

Polymarket does not hold user funds directly (it’s non-custodial), relying instead on smart contracts to automate trades and payouts, enhancing security and trust.

Polymarket并非直接持有用户资金（非监测），而是依靠智能合约来自动交易和支出，从而增强安全性和信任。