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Polymarket用戶在今年3月底之前下注,比特幣將降至75,000美元。這反映了一種盛行的悲觀情緒。
A significant proportion of users on Polymarket are wagering that Bitcoin will decline to $75K by the end of March this year. This reflects a prevailing pessimistic sentiment.
在今年3月底之前,在Polymarket上的用戶很大一部分都在下注,比特幣將降至75K美元。這反映了一種盛行的悲觀情緒。
It is relatively understandable why many individuals are concerned about the less-than-optimistic outlook for Bitcoin and the broader market this year.
為什麼許多人關心比特幣和今年更廣泛的市場的觀點不那麼令人愉悅的看法是相對理解的。
The market is currently exhibiting extreme unpredictability, with major cryptocurrencies demonstrating sluggish momentum, while mid-cap and lower market capitalization coins are increasingly vulnerable due to the escalating fragmentation of market liquidity.
該市場目前表現出極端的不可預測性,主要的加密貨幣表明勢頭較差,而由於市場流動性的分散分散,中型和較低的市值硬幣越來越脆弱。
The Fear & Greed Index, a metric used to gauge market sentiment, is currently registering in the ‘Fear’ zone, indicating widespread apprehension that the cryptocurrency market may be susceptible to further significant downturns.
恐懼與貪婪指數是一種用於衡量市場情緒的指標,目前正在“恐懼”區域註冊,這表明人們普遍擔心加密貨幣市場可能容易受到進一步的大量低迷的影響。
Source: CoinMarketCap
資料來源:CoinMarketCap
On Polymarket, a platform that enables users to bet on the outcomes of various events, a substantial portion of participants are betting on Bitcoin falling below $75,000 by the end of March. Furthermore, only 9% of bettors anticipate positive growth for BTC in the first quarter of 2025.
在Polymarket上,一個使用戶能夠押注各種活動結果的平台,大部分參與者在3月底之前押注比特幣低於75,000美元的比特幣。此外,只有9%的投注者預計2025年第一季度BTC的正增長。
Notably, a significant 67% of Polymarket bettors believe that Bitcoin will only reach the $70,000 mark by the end of 2025.
值得注意的是,有67%的Polmoarket Bettors認為,到2025年底,比特幣只能達到70,000美元。
Source: Polymarket
資料來源:Polymarket
It is crucial to emphasize that Polymarket serves as a reflection of general speculative sentiment within the community, rather than a reliable indicator for investment decisions.
至關重要的是要強調,多聚市場是社區內普遍投機情緒的反映,而不是投資決策的可靠指標。
About Polymarket
關於多聚市場
Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market platform that allows users to bet on the outcomes of real-world events using cryptocurrency. It operates on the Polygon blockchain, a Layer-2 scaling solution for Ethereum, which ensures fast, low-cost, and transparent transactions.
Polymarket是一個分散的預測市場平台,可讓用戶使用加密貨幣賭注現實事件的結果。它在多邊形區塊鏈上運行,這是一種用於以太坊的2層縮放解決方案,可確保快速,低成本和透明的交易。
These shares are priced between $0.01 and $1.00 in USDC (a stablecoin pegged to the U.S. dollar), and if the predicted outcome occurs, the shares pay out at $1 each; otherwise, they become worthless.
這些股票的價格在0.01美元至1.00美元之間(固定在美元匯率上),如果發生預測的結果,則股票的支付為1美元;否則,它們將變得毫無價值。
The platform is designed to aggregate collective knowledge, often claiming to provide more accurate forecasts than traditional polls by reflecting what people are willing to stake money on. Users can buy, sell, or hold shares based on their confidence in an outcome, and the market prices dynamically adjust to reflect the crowd’s perception of probability.
該平台旨在匯總集體知識,通常聲稱與傳統民意調查相比,通過反映人們願意利用的資金來提供更準確的預測。用戶可以根據對結果的信心購買,出售或持有股票,市場價格動態調整以反映人群對概率的看法。
Polymarket does not hold user funds directly (it’s non-custodial), relying instead on smart contracts to automate trades and payouts, enhancing security and trust.
Polymarket並非直接持有用戶資金(非監測),而是依靠智能合約來自動交易和支出,從而增強安全性和信任。
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