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加密市场在雄心勃勃的预测中从未如此谦虚,但是新的技术分析激起了投资者的热情。据说一种被称为“扩音器模式”的罕见图表模式被比特币违反了,到2025年,潜在的上升至30万美元。
The cryptocurrency market has never been lacking in bold predictions, but a new technical analysis has got investors excited. A rare chart formation, known as the "megaphone pattern", has reportedly been broken by bitcoin, suggesting a potential rally to $300,000 by 2025. As crypto continues to evolve in a landscape marked by growing institutional adoption, some experts are drawing parallels between bitcoin and gold, setting the stage for aをめざす道のりで交差するBTCと金400,000ドル予想に institutional adoption that could propel the coin to new heights.
加密货币市场从未缺乏大胆的预测,但是新的技术分析使投资者兴奋不已,据报道,比特币被称为“扩音器模式”。随着加密货币的发展景观不断发展,以制度采用不断增长,一些专家正在比特币和黄金之间取得相似之处,这为机构采用奠定了基础,该机构采用可能将硬币推向新的高度。
A megaphone pattern fueling bullish frenzy
扩音器模式,助长看涨的疯狂
The megaphone pattern, or broadening wedge, is a technical formation characterized by a series of successively higher highs and lower lows, creating an expanding cone. According to analyst Gert van Lagen, bitcoin supposedly broke through the upper resistance of this pattern last November, a bullish signal indicating an upcoming acceleration in the bull market.
扩音器模式或扩展的楔形物是一种技术形式,其特征是一系列较高的高高和低低的高低,创造了扩展的锥体。根据分析师格特·范·拉根(Gert Van Lagen)的说法,据说比特币在去年11月的这种模式中爆发了这种模式的上限,看涨信号表明牛市即将加速。
Lagen also uses Elliott wave theory to refine his projection, suggesting that bitcoin is currently in wave 5, which is typically the most parabolic part of the bull cycle. "Using Fibonacci extensions, we get an extension of 1.618 - 2.0x the length of the previous wave, putting a price target of $270,000 - $300,000 by the end of 2025," he explained in a post on platform X (formerly Twitter) on February 15, 2023. The analysis assumes a progressive accumulation base, which would establish a solid floor price ahead of the next leg up.
Lagen还使用Elliott Wave理论来完善他的投影,这表明比特币目前在第5波中,这通常是Bull循环中最抛物线的部分。他在2月在平台X(以前是Twitter)上的帖子中解释说:“使用斐波那契扩展名,我们的延伸时间为1.618-2.0x上一波的长度,到2025年底,目标目标是270,000美元至30万美元。” 15,2023。该分析假设了一个渐进式的积累基地,这将在下一个领先地位之前建立稳定的地板价格。
While this technical approach may appeal to fans of chart analysis, it also raises questions about its applicability in a market influenced by multiple macroeconomic and geopolitical factors.
尽管这种技术方法可能吸引了图表分析的粉丝,但它还提出了有关其在受多个宏观经济和地缘政治因素影响的市场中的适用性的问题。
Bitcoin and gold: a common path towards $400,000?
比特币和黄金:通往40万美元的常见路径?
Beyond technical analysis, some observers are comparing bitcoin's trajectory to that of gold, using a model of normalized capitalization to suggest that if bitcoin follows gold's path, its valuation could reach $400,000 in the medium term.
除技术分析外,一些观察者还使用标准化大写模型将比特币的轨迹比较了黄金,表明如果比特币遵循黄金的路径,其估值在中期可能会达到40万美元。
This argument is bolstered by institutional adoption, with major banks like Intesa Sanpaolo beginning to integrate bitcoin into their portfolios and political figures like Donald Trump considering the creation of strategic BTC reserves. This marks a paradigm shift, as bitcoin is increasingly being considered a reserve asset, similar to gold in the past.
这一论点是由机构采用的支持,例如Intesa Sanpaolo之类的主要银行开始将比特币纳入其投资组合和唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)等政治人物中,考虑到创建战略性BTC储备。这标志着范式的转变,因为比特币越来越被视为储备资产,与过去类似。
However, this comparison has its limitations. Unlike gold, bitcoin is still subject to extreme volatility and regulatory uncertainty, especially in the US and Europe. The question remains whether bitcoin can truly become a long-term safe haven asset.
但是,这种比较有其局限性。与黄金不同,比特币仍具有极端的波动性和监管不确定性,尤其是在美国和欧洲。问题仍然是比特币是否可以真正成为长期的避风港资产。
This technical analysis and historical comparison paint a bullish picture for bitcoin, but the path to $300,000 is still littered with challenges. Institutional adoption could be the key factor in this ascent, if regulation and macroeconomic conditions do not disrupt the momentum. If the megaphone pattern theory holds true, the coming months will be crucial in confirming or refuting this scenario.
这种技术分析和历史比较描绘了比特币的看涨图片,但是30万美元的道路仍然充满了挑战。如果监管和宏观经济条件不会破坏势头,机构采用可能是这一上升的关键因素。如果扩音器模式理论成立,那么未来几个月对于确认或反驳这种情况至关重要。
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A Sciences Po Toulouse graduate and holder of a blockchain consultant certification from Alyra, I joined the Cointribune adventure in 2019. Convinced of blockchain's potential to transform many sectors of the economy, I am committed to educating and informing the general public about this constantly evolving ecosystem. My goal is to help everyone better understand blockchain and seize the opportunities it offers. I strive daily to provide an objective analysis of the news, decipher market trends, relay the latest technological innovations, and put the economic and societal stakes of this unfolding revolution into perspective.
我是Alyra的科学毕业生和区块链顾问认证的持有人,我于2019年加入了Cointribune冒险。坚信区块链有可能改变经济的许多部门,我致力于教育并告知这一不断发展的生态系统的公众。我的目标是帮助每个人更好地了解区块链并抓住其提供的机会。我每天都在努力对新闻,破译市场趋势,传递最新技术创新的客观分析,并将这种不断发展的革命的经济和社会利益置于视角。
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