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由于加密货币投资者等待美国通胀数据,比特币和卡尔达诺、BNB 和 Solana 等其他山寨币周一上午仍维持在窄幅区间内
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, including Cardano, BNB, and Solana, showed little price action on Monday morning as investors awaited key US inflation data and the inauguration of Donald Trump.
由于投资者等待美国关键通胀数据和唐纳德·特朗普就职典礼,比特币和包括卡尔达诺、BNB 和 Solana 在内的其他加密货币周一上午几乎没有表现出价格走势。
Bitcoin price was trading below $95,000, while the prices of the mentioned altcoins—except BNB—had entered a bear market, dropping over 20% from their December highs.
比特币价格低于 95,000 美元,而上述山寨币(BNB 除外)的价格已进入熊市,较 12 月高点下跌超过 20%。
The weakness in the crypto space follows that of the stock market. For instance, on Friday, the Dow Jones and Nasdaq 100 indices closed down by over 300 points after the red-hot December nonfarm payroll (NFP) data.
加密货币领域的疲软紧随股市之后。例如,周五,在炙手可热的 12 月非农就业数据 (NFP) 公布后,道琼斯指数和纳斯达克 100 指数收盘下跌超过 300 点。
The decline was mainly driven by the rising US dollar and US government bond yields as the Federal Reserve is seen maintaining a hawkish stance. The US dollar index (DXY) soared to $110, the highest level in two years. Similarly, the 30-year and 5-year government bond yields also rose.
下跌主要是由于美联储维持鹰派立场,美元和美国政府债券收益率上升。美元指数(DXY)飙升至110美元,创两年来最高水平。同样,30年期和5年期国债收益率也有所上升。
Hence, the upcoming US inflation data will be closely watched as the Fed has stated that it is focusing on the report. Minutes released on Wednesday showed that most officials were concerned that inflation had become sticky and entrenched in the economy.
因此,即将公布的美国通胀数据将受到密切关注,美联储已表示正在关注该报告。周三公布的会议纪要显示,大多数官员担心通胀已变得粘性并在经济中根深蒂固。
Economists expect the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) to rise from 2.7% in November to 2.9% in December. Core inflation is also seen remaining above 3.3%.
经济学家预计总体消费者价格指数 (CPI) 将从 11 月的 2.7% 升至 12 月的 2.9%。核心通胀率也预计保持在 3.3% 以上。
Most officials have indicated that they will be more hawkish this year. The bond market is now pricing in only two rate cuts, with the first expected in July.
大多数官员都表示,今年他们将更加加强硬。债券市场目前只消化了两次降息,第一次预计在 7 月份。
Bitcoin and altcoins like Cardano, Solana, and BNB have tended to perform well when the Fed is dovish. In fact, Mark Zandi, the chief economist at Moody’s, warned that the rising bond yields could crash the stock and crypto markets this year.
当美联储鸽派立场时,比特币和 Cardano、Solana 和 BNB 等山寨币往往表现良好。事实上,穆迪首席经济学家马克赞迪警告称,债券收益率上升可能会导致今年股市和加密货币市场崩溃。
I’ve argued that most asset markets appear overvalued, bordering on frothy. Stocks, corporate bonds, single family housing, crypto and gold, quickly come to mind. But what could be the catalyst for them to selloff? How about a meaningful correction in the Treasury bond market.
我认为大多数资产市场似乎都被高估,接近泡沫。人们很快就会想到股票、公司债券、单户住宅、加密货币和黄金。但什么可能是他们抛售的催化剂呢?国债市场是否会出现有意义的调整?
Donald Trump inauguration up ahead
唐纳德·特朗普即将就职
The week will also be crucial for Bitcoin and other altcoins ahead of the Donald Trump inauguration, which will take place on January 20. Some crypto analysts expect the coins to rally into the inauguration and the eventual Gary Gensler resignation.
在 1 月 20 日唐纳德·特朗普就职典礼之前,本周对于比特币和其他山寨币来说也至关重要。一些加密货币分析师预计,比特币和其他山寨币将在就职典礼和最终加里·詹斯勒 (Gary Gensler) 辞职期间反弹。
Trump has promised to be a more crypto-friendly president. According to Arkham data, his crypto portfolio is valued at nearly $20 million. He has also launched World Liberty Financial, which has raised millions of dollars.
特朗普承诺成为一位对加密货币更加友好的总统。根据 Arkham 数据,他的加密货币投资组合价值近 2000 万美元。他还创办了世界自由金融公司,筹集了数百万美元。
Moreover, there are suggestions that he will sign a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve as he aims to make the US the crypto capital of the world. Hence, Bitcoin and other altcoins could see some volatility ahead of the inauguration.
此外,有建议称他将签署战略比特币储备,因为他的目标是使美国成为世界加密货币之都。因此,比特币和其他山寨币在就职典礼之前可能会出现一些波动。
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