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由於加密貨幣投資者等待美國通膨數據,比特幣和卡爾達諾、BNB 和 Solana 等其他山寨幣週一上午仍維持在窄幅區間內
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, including Cardano, BNB, and Solana, showed little price action on Monday morning as investors awaited key US inflation data and the inauguration of Donald Trump.
由於投資者等待美國關鍵通膨數據和唐納德·川普就職典禮,比特幣和包括卡爾達諾、BNB 和 Solana 在內的其他加密貨幣週一上午幾乎沒有表現出價格走勢。
Bitcoin price was trading below $95,000, while the prices of the mentioned altcoins—except BNB—had entered a bear market, dropping over 20% from their December highs.
比特幣價格低於 95,000 美元,而上述山寨幣(BNB 除外)的價格已進入熊市,較 12 月高點下跌超過 20%。
The weakness in the crypto space follows that of the stock market. For instance, on Friday, the Dow Jones and Nasdaq 100 indices closed down by over 300 points after the red-hot December nonfarm payroll (NFP) data.
加密貨幣領域的疲軟緊接在股市之後。例如,週五,在炙手可熱的 12 月非農就業數據 (NFP) 公佈後,道瓊斯指數和納斯達克 100 指數收盤下跌超過 300 點。
The decline was mainly driven by the rising US dollar and US government bond yields as the Federal Reserve is seen maintaining a hawkish stance. The US dollar index (DXY) soared to $110, the highest level in two years. Similarly, the 30-year and 5-year government bond yields also rose.
下跌主要是由於聯準會維持鷹派立場,美元和美國公債殖利率上升。美元指數(DXY)飆升至110美元,創兩年來最高。同樣,30年期和5年期公債殖利率也有所上升。
Hence, the upcoming US inflation data will be closely watched as the Fed has stated that it is focusing on the report. Minutes released on Wednesday showed that most officials were concerned that inflation had become sticky and entrenched in the economy.
因此,即將公佈的美國通膨數據將受到密切關注,而聯準會已表示正在關注該報告。週三公佈的會議紀錄顯示,大多數官員擔心通膨已變得黏性並在經濟中根深蒂固。
Economists expect the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) to rise from 2.7% in November to 2.9% in December. Core inflation is also seen remaining above 3.3%.
經濟學家預計整體消費者物價指數 (CPI) 將從 11 月的 2.7% 升至 12 月的 2.9%。核心通膨率也預計維持在 3.3% 以上。
Most officials have indicated that they will be more hawkish this year. The bond market is now pricing in only two rate cuts, with the first expected in July.
大多數官員都表示,今年他們將更加強硬。債券市場目前只消化了兩次降息,第一次預計在 7 月。
Bitcoin and altcoins like Cardano, Solana, and BNB have tended to perform well when the Fed is dovish. In fact, Mark Zandi, the chief economist at Moody’s, warned that the rising bond yields could crash the stock and crypto markets this year.
當聯準會鴿派立場時,比特幣和 Cardano、Solana 和 BNB 等山寨幣往往表現良好。事實上,穆迪首席經濟學家馬克贊迪警告稱,債券殖利率上升可能會導致今年股市和加密貨幣市場崩潰。
I’ve argued that most asset markets appear overvalued, bordering on frothy. Stocks, corporate bonds, single family housing, crypto and gold, quickly come to mind. But what could be the catalyst for them to selloff? How about a meaningful correction in the Treasury bond market.
我認為大多數資產市場似乎都被高估,接近泡沫。人們很快就會想到股票、公司債券、單戶住宅、加密貨幣和黃金。但什麼可能是他們拋售的催化劑呢?國債市場是否會出現有意義的調整?
Donald Trump inauguration up ahead
唐納德·特朗普即將就職
The week will also be crucial for Bitcoin and other altcoins ahead of the Donald Trump inauguration, which will take place on January 20. Some crypto analysts expect the coins to rally into the inauguration and the eventual Gary Gensler resignation.
在1 月20 日唐納德·川普就職典禮之前,本週對於比特幣和其他山寨幣來說也至關重要。 ·詹斯勒(Gary Gensler) 辭職期間反彈。
Trump has promised to be a more crypto-friendly president. According to Arkham data, his crypto portfolio is valued at nearly $20 million. He has also launched World Liberty Financial, which has raised millions of dollars.
川普承諾成為一位對加密貨幣更友善的總統。根據 Arkham 數據,他的加密貨幣投資組合價值近 2,000 萬美元。他還創辦了世界自由金融公司,籌集了數百萬美元。
Moreover, there are suggestions that he will sign a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve as he aims to make the US the crypto capital of the world. Hence, Bitcoin and other altcoins could see some volatility ahead of the inauguration.
此外,有建議他將簽署戰略比特幣儲備,因為他的目標是使美國成為世界加密貨幣之都。因此,比特幣和其他山寨幣在就職典禮之前可能會出現一些波動。
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