Binance Coin（BNB）市场优势飙升，价格会涨到618美元吗？

Binance是世界上最大的加密货币交易所，在过去的几个月中，其市场占主导地位飙升，其现货交易量超过了所有其他交易所的总和。

Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange, has seen its market dominance soar in recent times, with its spot trading volume surpassing all other exchanges combined. In January 2024, Bitcoin’s price surged from $42,000 to $73,000, while Binance Coin (BNB) also saw an impressive price increase from $335 to $645.

Binance是世界上最大的加密货币交易所，近来已经看到其市场优势飙升，其现货交易量超过了所有其他交易所的总和。 2024年1月，比特币的价格从42,000美元飙升至73,000美元，而Binance Coin（BNB）的价格也从335美元上涨至645美元。

However, despite Binance’s growing influence, major BNB holders are displaying bearish sentiment, and the futures market is also reflecting a lack of confidence in the token.

然而，尽管Binance的影响力增长，但BNB的主要持有人仍表现出看跌的情绪，期货市场也反映出对代币的信心不足。

Binance’s Surging Market Dominance

Binance的市场占主导地位

Binance’s spot trading volume is 8 times larger than Coinbase’s, showcasing its unparalleled market share. Even though the spot volume has seen a decline across most exchanges in recent months, Binance’s dominance remains on an upward trajectory.

Binance的现货交易量是Coinbase的8倍，展示了其无与伦比的市场份额。即使近几个月来大多数交流的现货量都在下降，但二元的统治地位仍处于向上的轨迹。

In January 2024, Binance’s trading volume exceeded that of all other exchanges combined, having a significant impact on the entire crypto market.

2024年1月，Binance的交易量超过了所有其他交易所的交易量，对整个加密市场产生了重大影响。

Historically, Binance’s dominance in spot trading volume has often signaled bullish market trends, with the exchange’s performance acting as a precursor for upward momentum in the crypto market.

从历史上看，Binance在现货交易量中的主导地位通常标志着看涨的市场趋势，该交易所的绩效是加密市场上向上势头的前身。

The Binance vs. Other Exchanges BTC Spot Volume Delta indicator is currently positive, which suggests a potential bullish outlook for the broader market in the coming months, despite a general decline in spot trading volumes across exchanges.

BNANCE与其他交易所BTC现货数量达尔塔指标目前为正面，这表明在未来几个月中，在接下来的几个月中，可能对更广泛的市场的看法，尽管交易所之间的现货交易量普遍下降。

The Bearish Sentiment for BNB

BNB的看跌情绪

Despite Binance’s growing market dominance, BNB has yet to experience a bullish breakout. On-chain data reveals that large BNB holders are currently bearish.

尽管Binance的市场统治地位不断增长，但BNB尚未经历看涨的突破。链上数据表明，大型BNB持有人目前是看跌的。

For example, the sale of 10,850 BNB tokens, valued at $6.51 million, by Gnomelabs highlights the lack of confidence among some investors.

例如，Gnomelabs的10,850 BNB代币价值为651万美元，重点介绍了一些投资者之间缺乏信心。

Gnomelabs has deposited 76.37 million USDC into Binance and Bybit, signaling that major holders are preparing to sell rather than hold.

GNOMELABS已将7637万美元存入了Binance和Bybit，这表明主要持有人准备出售而不是持有。

Moreover, the futures market also reflects the bearish sentiment toward BNB. A negative futures basis suggests that traders expect BNB’s price to decline further in the coming months.

此外，期货市场还反映了对BNB的看跌情感。负值基础表明，交易者预计BNB的价格在未来几个月内会进一步下降。

The Aggregated Funding Rate for BNB has remained in negative territory, indicating that more traders are taking short positions, betting on the price of BNB to drop. As a result, shorts are paying longs, further highlighting the negative outlook for the token.

BNB的总资金率仍然存在于负地区，这表明越来越多的交易者处于短股份，押注BNB的价格下降。结果，短裤付出了渴望，进一步强调了令牌的负面前景。

Potential for a Price Recovery

价格恢复的潜力

If the current bearish sentiment persists, BNB could drop below the $600 mark, potentially reaching as low as $576.

如果目前的看跌情绪持续存在，BNB可能会跌至600美元以下，可能低至576美元。

However, history suggests that Binance’s dominance can be a major catalyst for a price recovery in its native coin. In previous cycles, when Binance’s market share increased, the price of BNB followed suit, reaching new highs.

但是，历史表明，二元统治可能是其本地硬币价格恢复的主要催化剂。在以前的周期中，当二元公司的市场份额增加时，BNB的价格也随之而来，达到了新的高点。

If this pattern repeats itself, BNB could recover towards $618, which is a key resistance level. A breakout past this level could lead to a further rally, potentially pushing BNB to $638.

如果这种模式重复出现，BNB可以恢复到618美元，这是关键阻力水平。超过此水平的突破可能会导致进一步的集会，并可能将BNB提高到638美元。

As Binance continues to dominate the spot trading market, its influence on BNB’s price could grow, driving the token higher as market conditions align.

随着Binance继续统治现货市场，其对BNB价格的影响可能会增长，随着市场条件的一致性，使代币更高。