Binance Coin（BNB）市場優勢飆升，價格會漲到618美元嗎？

Binance是世界上最大的加密貨幣交易所，在過去的幾個月中，其市場占主導地位飆升，其現貨交易量超過了所有其他交易所的總和。

Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange, has seen its market dominance soar in recent times, with its spot trading volume surpassing all other exchanges combined. In January 2024, Bitcoin’s price surged from $42,000 to $73,000, while Binance Coin (BNB) also saw an impressive price increase from $335 to $645.

Binance是世界上最大的加密貨幣交易所，近來已經看到其市場優勢飆升，其現貨交易量超過了所有其他交易所的總和。 2024年1月，比特幣的價格從42,000美元飆升至73,000美元，而Binance Coin（BNB）的價格也從335美元上漲至645美元。

However, despite Binance’s growing influence, major BNB holders are displaying bearish sentiment, and the futures market is also reflecting a lack of confidence in the token.

然而，儘管Binance的影響力增長，但BNB的主要持有人仍表現出看跌的情緒，期貨市場也反映出對代幣的信心不足。

Binance’s Surging Market Dominance

Binance的市場占主導地位

Binance’s spot trading volume is 8 times larger than Coinbase’s, showcasing its unparalleled market share. Even though the spot volume has seen a decline across most exchanges in recent months, Binance’s dominance remains on an upward trajectory.

Binance的現貨交易量是Coinbase的8倍，展示了其無與倫比的市場份額。即使近幾個月來大多數交流的現貨量都在下降，但二元的統治地位仍處於向上的軌跡。

In January 2024, Binance’s trading volume exceeded that of all other exchanges combined, having a significant impact on the entire crypto market.

2024年1月，Binance的交易量超過了所有其他交易所的交易量，對整個加密市場產生了重大影響。

Historically, Binance’s dominance in spot trading volume has often signaled bullish market trends, with the exchange’s performance acting as a precursor for upward momentum in the crypto market.

從歷史上看，Binance在現貨交易量中的主導地位通常標誌著看漲的市場趨勢，該交易所的績效是加密市場上向上勢頭的前身。

The Binance vs. Other Exchanges BTC Spot Volume Delta indicator is currently positive, which suggests a potential bullish outlook for the broader market in the coming months, despite a general decline in spot trading volumes across exchanges.

BNANCE與其他交易所BTC現貨數量達爾塔指標目前為正面，這表明在未來幾個月中，在接下來的幾個月中，可能對更廣泛的市場的看法，儘管交易所之間的現貨交易量普遍下降。

The Bearish Sentiment for BNB

BNB的看跌情緒

Despite Binance’s growing market dominance, BNB has yet to experience a bullish breakout. On-chain data reveals that large BNB holders are currently bearish.

儘管Binance的市場統治地位不斷增長，但BNB尚未經歷看漲的突破。鏈上數據表明，大型BNB持有人目前是看跌的。

For example, the sale of 10,850 BNB tokens, valued at $6.51 million, by Gnomelabs highlights the lack of confidence among some investors.

例如，Gnomelabs的10,850 BNB代幣價值為651萬美元，重點介紹了一些投資者之間缺乏信心。

Gnomelabs has deposited 76.37 million USDC into Binance and Bybit, signaling that major holders are preparing to sell rather than hold.

GNOMELABS已將7637萬美元存入了Binance和Bybit，這表明主要持有人準備出售而不是持有。

Moreover, the futures market also reflects the bearish sentiment toward BNB. A negative futures basis suggests that traders expect BNB’s price to decline further in the coming months.

此外，期貨市場還反映了對BNB的看跌情感。負值基礎表明，交易者預計BNB的價格在未來幾個月內會進一步下降。

The Aggregated Funding Rate for BNB has remained in negative territory, indicating that more traders are taking short positions, betting on the price of BNB to drop. As a result, shorts are paying longs, further highlighting the negative outlook for the token.

BNB的總資金率仍然存在於負地區，這表明越來越多的交易者處於短股份，押注BNB的價格下降。結果，短褲付出了渴望，進一步強調了令牌的負面前景。

Potential for a Price Recovery

價格恢復的潛力

If the current bearish sentiment persists, BNB could drop below the $600 mark, potentially reaching as low as $576.

如果目前的看跌情緒持續存在，BNB可能會跌至600美元以下，可能低至576美元。

However, history suggests that Binance’s dominance can be a major catalyst for a price recovery in its native coin. In previous cycles, when Binance’s market share increased, the price of BNB followed suit, reaching new highs.

但是，歷史表明，二元統治可能是其本地硬幣價格恢復的主要催化劑。在以前的周期中，當二元公司的市場份額增加時，BNB的價格也隨之而來，達到了新的高點。

If this pattern repeats itself, BNB could recover towards $618, which is a key resistance level. A breakout past this level could lead to a further rally, potentially pushing BNB to $638.

如果這種模式重複出現，BNB可以恢復到618美元，這是關鍵阻力水平。超過此水平的突破可能會導致進一步的集會，並可能將BNB提高到638美元。

As Binance continues to dominate the spot trading market, its influence on BNB’s price could grow, driving the token higher as market conditions align.

隨著Binance繼續統治現貨市場，其對BNB價格的影響可能會增長，隨著市場條件的一致性，使代幣更高。