Avalanche (AVAX) 2023 年价格预测：本周期 AVAX 会达到 300 美元吗？

Avalanche (AVAX) 11 月份的表现好坏参半，在本月最高水平 37.76 美元处遇到阻力。截至发稿时 AVAX 交易价格为 34.05 美元

Avalanche (CRYPTO: AVAX) encountered resistance at $37.76, its highest level for the month. At press time, AVAX was trading at $34.05, reflecting a 1.40% decline in the past 24 hours and a 2.25% drop over the last seven days.

Avalanche (CRYPTO: AVAX) 在 37.76 美元处遇到阻力，这是本月的最高水平。截至发稿，AVAX 交易价格为 34.05 美元，过去 24 小时下跌 1.40%，过去 7 天下跌 2.25%。

With a circulating supply of 410 million tokens, AVAX currently had a market capitalization of $13.9 billion. Despite the recent decline, optimism remained among analysts and traders regarding its long-term performance. Some analysts anticipated the price could reach as high as $300.

AVAX 的流通量为 4.1 亿枚，目前市值为 139 亿美元。尽管最近出现下跌，但分析师和交易员对其长期表现仍持乐观态度。一些分析师预计价格可能高达 300 美元。

This optimism followed a strong bullish rally, which placed the token near the upper Bollinger Band of its ascending regression channel. The channel, which had guided AVAX’s price movements for months, continued to indicate support at lower levels, such as $120, with resistance around $300.

这种乐观情绪是在强劲的看涨反弹之后出现的，这使得该代币接近其上升回归通道的布林线上限。该通道几个月来引导 AVAX 的价格走势，继续在较低水平（例如 120 美元）显示支撑，阻力位在 300 美元左右。

Several crypto analysts expressed confidence in AVAX’s potential to rise significantly in the current market cycle. Grronk, a crypto analyst stated in an X post that AVAX could climb to $130 in the coming months, with a best-case scenario target of $200. If these predictions materialized, AVAX could gain between 271% and 417% from its current price.

几位加密货币分析师对 AVAX 在当前市场周期中大幅上涨的潜力表示信心。加密货币分析师 Grronk 在 X 帖子中表示，AVAX 可能在未来几个月内攀升至 130 美元，最好情况下的目标为 200 美元。如果这些预测成为现实，AVAX 的股价可能比当前价格上涨 271% 至 417%。

Another analyst, Beastlorion, anticipated even higher price levels, citing the asset’s long-term ascending channel. According to his analysis, the coin was bouncing from the lower boundary of the channel and could potentially reach $300, aligning with the upper boundary of this trend. Beastlorion’s projections were rooted in historical patterns and the current bullish momentum within the broader cryptocurrency market.

另一位分析师 Beastlorion 预计价格水平会更高，理由是该资产的长期上升通道。根据他的分析，代币从通道的下边界反弹，有可能达到 300 美元，与这一趋势的上边界一致。 Beastlorion 的预测植根于历史模式和当前更广泛的加密货币市场的看涨势头。

Next bull target for $AVAX $300? pic.twitter.com/NOu7ecEQdR

$AVAX 的下一个牛市目标是 300 美元？ pic.twitter.com/NOu7ecEQdR

Technical Indicators Show Mixed Signals

技术指标显示混合信号

AVAX’s technical indicators presented a blend of bullish and cautionary signals. The Bollinger Bands were widening, indicating increased price volatility, while the price remained close to the upper band.

AVAX 的技术指标呈现出看涨和谨慎信号的混合体。布林线正在扩大，表明价格波动加剧，而价格仍接近布林线上限。

This positioning suggested the asset may be overbought in the short term, which could lead to a potential correction. However, the 20-day moving average, currently serving as a dynamic support level, showed that the broader bullish trend was still intact.

这种定位表明该资产可能在短期内超买，这可能导致潜在的调整。然而，目前作为动态支撑位的20日移动平均线表明，更广泛的看涨趋势仍然完好无损。

The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) was beginning to display signs of weakening momentum. The histogram bars had started to shrink, and the MACD line appeared to be curving toward the signal line. If a bearish crossover occurred, this could signal a potential reversal unless buying pressure increased.

MACD（移动平均线趋同分歧）开始显示动能减弱的迹象。柱状图开始收缩，MACD 线似乎向信号线弯曲。如果出现看跌交叉，这可能预示着潜在的逆转，除非购买压力增加。

Meanwhile, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) sat at 61, suggesting that while the asset remained in bullish territory, it was nearing overbought levels. A drop below 50 could indicate further weakening in demand.

与此同时，RSI（相对强度指数）为 61，表明虽然该资产仍处于看涨区域，但已接近超买水平。跌破 50 可能表明需求进一步疲软。

Futures and Netflow Data Suggest Accumulation

期货和净流量数据表明吸纳

According to Coinglass data, the open interest for AVAX futures stood at $366.20 million, reflecting a slight 1.29% decline in the past session. While this dip may indicate profit-taking or reduced trader participation, the overall high open interest underscored sustained engagement in the market.

Coinglass 数据显示，AVAX 期货未平仓合约为 3.662 亿美元，较上一交易日微跌 1.29%。虽然这种下跌可能表明获利了结或交易者参与度减少，但总体较高的未平仓合约强调了市场的持续参与。

Moreover, the 24-hour trading volume had also increased by 9.64%, reaching $810.28 million, pointing to continued investor interest.

此外，24小时交易量也增长了9.64%，达到8.1028亿美元，表明投资者的兴趣持续存在。

Spot netflow data revealed an outflow of $3.12 million in the last session, indicating more AVAX tokens were leaving exchanges than entering. Such outflows often suggest accumulation, as investors move assets to private wallets, potentially reducing immediate selling pressure. If outflows persist and demand continues to rise, this trend could provide further upward momentum for the AVAX price in the coming weeks.

现货净流数据显示，上一交易日流出 312 万美元，表明流出交易所的 AVAX 代币多于进入交易所的 AVAX 代币。这种资金外流通常意味着积累，因为投资者将资产转移到私人钱包，可能会减少直接的抛售压力。如果资金外流持续存在且需求继续上升，这一趋势可能会在未来几周内为 AVAX 价格提供进一步上涨的动力。

The price of Avalanche remained within a well-defined ascending channel, which has acted as a reliable framework for its movements. Support levels near $120 and resistance around $300 will likely play crucial roles in determining the asset’s next significant move.

Avalanche 的价格仍处于明确的上升通道内，这为其走势提供了可靠的框架。 120 美元附近的支撑位和 300 美元附近的阻力位可能在决定该资产的下一个重大走势方面发挥关键作用。

While short-term technical indicators point to the possibility of a retracement, ongoing accumulation and strong engagement in futures markets may support the bullish case for AVAX.

虽然短期技术指标表明可能出现回调，但持续的积累和期货市场的强劲参与可能会支持 AVAX 的看涨理由。