尽管市场情绪看涨，但 Avalanche (AVAX) 仍面临严峻挑战，死亡十字迫在眉睫

Avalanche (AVAX) 一直是加密货币市场中表现出色的公司之一，最近达到了新的高度，并跻身前 15 名加密货币行列。尽管市场情绪总体积极且围绕 AVAX 的看涨情绪日益浓厚，但该代币仍面临着严峻的挑战，可能会阻止其价格进一步突破。

Despite being one of the top performers in the cryptocurrency market, with a recent entry into the top 15 cryptocurrencies and reaching new price heights, Avalanche (AVAX) faces critical challenges that could prevent its price from breaking out further.

尽管 Avalanche (AVAX) 是加密货币市场表现最好的加密货币之一，最近进入了前 15 名加密货币并达到了新的价格高度，但它面临着严峻的挑战，可能会阻止其价格进一步突破。

While the overall market sentiment remains positive and bullish for AVAX, there are increasing signs of bearish pressure that could stall the rally and cause the price to retrace before continuing its upward movement.

虽然整体市场情绪对 AVAX 来说仍然积极和看涨，但看跌压力的迹象越来越多，这可能会阻碍涨势并导致价格在继续上涨之前回调。

Strong Bullish Momentum Meets Resistance

强劲看涨势头遇到阻力

After bouncing back from its lows in November, Avalanche has shown a consistent uptrend. The price has been testing the upper resistance of a rising parallel channel that has supported its price action over the last few weeks. This is a positive sign as it shows that the bulls are actively pushing the price higher. However, there has been a consistent failure to break above this resistance, which has raised concerns that the bullish momentum could be running out of steam.

从 11 月份的低点反弹后，Avalanche 呈现出持续的上升趋势。价格一直在测试上升平行通道的上方阻力，该通道在过去几周支撑了价格走势。这是一个积极的信号，因为它表明多头正在积极推高价格。然而，一直未能突破这一阻力位，这引发了人们对看涨势头可能失去动力的担忧。

The inability to break through this resistance, combined with an increase in bearish presence, suggests that the market may be at a critical juncture. If AVAX fails to stay above key support levels, we could see a pullback that would invalidate this rally. A break below these support levels would confirm the onset of a bearish trend and could lead to a significant price drop.

无法突破这一阻力，加上看跌情绪增加，表明市场可能正处于关键时刻。如果 AVAX 未能保持在关键支撑位之上，我们可能会看到回调，从而使本轮反弹无效。跌破这些支撑位将确认看跌趋势的开始，并可能导致价格大幅下跌。

Technical Indicators Raise Concerns

技术指标引发担忧

While AVAX’s price action on the medium-term time frame remains generally bullish, there are several bearish indicators that could spell trouble. One of the most concerning signals is the drop in trading volume. After hitting yearly highs around $37.50, we can see that the price action is accompanied by a noticeable decrease in trading activity, signaling that traders may have taken their profits and are now waiting for a better entry point to trade. This reduced volume often leads to diminished liquidity, which can prevent the price from sustaining its upward movement.

虽然 AVAX 在中期时间范围内的价格走势总体上仍然看涨，但有一些看跌指标可能会带来麻烦。最令人担忧的信号之一是交易量下降。在触及 37.50 美元左右的年度高点后，我们可以看到价格走势伴随着交易活动的明显减少，这表明交易者可能已经获利了结，现在正在等待更好的交易切入点。成交量减少通常会导致流动性减少，从而阻止价格维持上涨趋势。

Moreover, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has shown a significant decline in buying pressure. The MACD is a critical tool for gauging momentum, and the recent bearish crossover on the weekly time frame indicates a weakening of the bullish trend. As a result, this could trigger increased selling activity, pushing the price lower.

此外，移动平均线趋同分歧（MACD）显示买压显着下降。 MACD 是衡量动能的重要工具，最近周时间框架上的看跌交叉表明看涨趋势减弱。因此，这可能会引发销售活动增加，从而推低价格。

Additionally, the On-Balance Volume (OBV) has shown a bearish divergence, which is another sign that this rally may be losing strength. The OBV tracks buying and selling pressure, and this divergence suggests that the bears are gaining more control over the price action. This could lead to a continuation of the downtrend, especially if other indicators line up to confirm this bearish momentum.

此外，平衡成交量（OBV）显示出看跌背离，这是本轮反弹可能正在失去力量的另一个迹象。 OBV 追踪买卖压力，这种差异表明空头对价格走势获得了更多控制权。这可能会导致下跌趋势持续，特别是如果其他指标一致证实这种看跌势头的话。

Death Cross Looms on Weekly Chart

周线图上出现死亡十字

One of the most significant bearish signals for AVAX is the potential formation of a ‘Death Cross’ on the weekly chart. The Death Cross occurs when the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day moving average, signaling a shift from bullish to bearish momentum.

AVAX 最重要的看跌信号之一是周线图上可能形成“死亡交叉”。当 50 日移动平均线低于 200 日移动平均线时，就会出现死亡交叉，标志着从看涨势头转向看跌势头。

Recently, the AVAX price had crossed over to form a ‘Golden Cross,’ which brought optimism to the market. However, without a significant bullish breakout, the 50-day and 200-day moving averages are now on the verge of crossing, signaling that a pullback could occur.

最近，AVAX价格交叉形成“金十字”，给市场带来了乐观情绪。然而，如果没有显着的看涨突破，50 日和 200 日移动均线目前正处于交叉边缘，表明可能会出现回调。

This pullback could potentially bring AVAX’s price to around $30 before any consolidation or recovery takes place. However, despite the potential for a short-term downturn, the broader market sentiment remains bullish. If AVAX can consolidate and hold above key support levels, it may set the stage for a fresh rally, and the price could push higher again in the coming months.

在任何整合或复苏发生之前，这种回调可能会将 AVAX 的价格推至 30 美元左右。然而，尽管有可能出现短期低迷，但整体市场情绪仍然看涨。如果 AVAX 能够巩固并保持在关键支撑位上方，则可能为新一轮反弹奠定基础，并且价格可能在未来几个月内再次走高。

Conclusion

结论

In conclusion, while the bullish sentiment around Avalanche remains strong, the price faces multiple bearish signals that could hinder its immediate progress. The inability to break resistance, coupled with a decline in volume and weakening momentum indicators, suggests that a short-term pullback is possible. However, if AVAX can consolidate above key support levels and the broader cryptocurrency market continues its bullish trend, the token may still see further upside in the future. Investors will need to closely monitor the price action to determine whether the bears can maintain control or if the bulls will manage to push through resistance for a breakout.

总之，虽然雪崩的看涨情绪依然强劲，但价格面临多个看跌信号，可能会阻碍其立即进展。无法突破阻力位，加上成交量下降和动能指标减弱，表明短期回调是可能的。然而，如果 AVAX 能够巩固在关键支撑位之上，并且更广泛的加密货币市场继续其看涨趋势，那么该代币未来可能仍会进一步上涨。投资者需要密切关注价格走势，以确定空头是否能够保持控制，或者多头是否能够突破阻力位。