本文分析了15个常用指标用于逃脱顶部，并发现指标的五分之一已经在2024年达到顶峰。

作者：Biteye核心贡献者Viee每个牛市不仅创造财富，而且还产生了无数的财富幻想。当市场感到兴奋时，很少有人能保持清醒并优雅地“逃脱”。

This article analyzes 15 commonly used indicators for escaping tops and finds that one-fifth of the indicators have already peaked in 2024.

本文分析了15个常用指标用于逃脱顶部，并发现指标的五分之一已经在2024年达到顶峰。

Author: Biteye core contributor Viee

作者：Biteye核心贡献者Viee

Each bull market not only creates wealth, but also creates countless illusions of wealth. When the market is excited, few people can stay sober and "escape" gracefully. In the face of a market that soars and plummets, how to exit the market in a timely manner near the high point and avoid asset shrinkage caused by a deep correction requires us to comprehensively analyze multiple market indicators.

每个牛市不仅创造财富，而且还产生了无数的财富幻想。当市场感到兴奋时，很少有人能保持清醒并优雅地“逃脱”。面对一个飙升和下跌的市场，如何及时离开高点附近的市场并避免由深度纠正引起的资产收缩，这需要我们全面分析多个市场指标。

In this article, Biteye analyzed 15 commonly used escape indicators and found that one-fifth of the indicators have reached the escape range in 24 years, namely: Bitcoin Rhodl ratio, USDT current account management, and altcoin seasonal index. In this case, how should we deal with the subsequent development of the market?

在本文中，Biteye分析了15个常用的逃生指标，发现其中五分之一的指标已在24年内达到逃生范围，即：比特币Rhodl比率，USDT当前帐户管理和AltCoin季节性指数。在这种情况下，我们应该如何应对后续市场的发展？

1. Introduction to indicators

1。指标简介

1. AHR999 Hoarding Index

1。AHR999ho积指数

This indicator was created by Weibo user ahr999 to assist Bitcoin fixed investment users in making investment decisions based on timing strategies. This indicator implies the rate of return of short-term Bitcoin fixed investment and the deviation of Bitcoin price from expected valuation.

该指标是由微博用户AHR999创建的，以帮助比特币固定的投资用户根据计时策略做出投资决策。该指标意味着短期比特币固定投资的回报率以及比特币价格与预期估值的偏差。

Index range:

索引范围：

>4: It is recommended to significantly reduce the position

> 4：建议显着降低位置

1.2-4: Wait and see area, stay alert

1.2-4：等待并查看区域，保持警惕

0.45-1.2: Fixed investment area, you can gradually build positions

0.45-1.2：固定的投资领域，您可以逐渐建立职位

<0.45: Strong bottom-fishing area

<0.45：强大的底钓区域

🔥 Current status: The indicator value is 1.21, which has not yet reached the top and is in a wait-and-see range. It is recommended to remain cautious.

🔥当前状态：指示器值为1.21，尚未达到顶部并且在等待范围内。建议保持谨慎。

Link: https://www.coinglass.com/zh/pro/i/ahr999

链接：https：//www.coinglass.com/zh/pro/i/ahr999

2. AHR999 escape top indicator

2。AHR999逃生顶部指示器

The AHR999 escape top indicator is a sister indicator of the HODL indicator, which is specifically used to identify the market top area. This indicator determines whether the market is overheated by observing the degree of price deviation from the long-term trend line. It gave accurate early warning signals at the top of the two major bull markets in 2017 and 2021, and is an important tool to avoid chasing highs.

AHR999逃生顶部指标是HODL指标的姐妹指标，该指标专门用于识别市场顶部区域。该指标通过观察长期趋势线的价格偏差程度来确定市场是否过热。它在2017年和2021年在两个主要牛市的顶部提供了准确的预警信号，并且是避免追逐高点的重要工具。

Index range:

索引范围：

<=0.45: Severe overheating, consider escaping

<= 0.45：严重的过热，考虑逃脱

🔥 Current status: The indicator value is 2.48, and no peak signal has appeared in this period.

🔥当前状态：指示器值为2.48，在此期间没有出现峰信号。

Link: https://www.coinglass.com/zh/pro/i/ahr999-escape

链接：https：//www.coinglass.com/zh/pro/i/ahr999-escape

3. Pi cycle top indicator

3。pi循环顶部指示器

The Pi Cycle Top indicator predicts potential market tops by comparing the relationship between the 111-day moving average and the 350-day moving average. Historically, when the moving averages cross, Bitcoin's price is usually close to a cycle top, indicating a potential market reversal.

PI周期顶部指标通过比较111天移动平均线与350天移动平均线之间的关系来预测潜在的市场顶部。从历史上看，当移动平均值交叉时，比特币的价格通常接近周期顶部，表明潜在的市场逆转。

Signal characteristics:

信号特征：

Two-line crossover: top signal trigger

两行跨界：顶信号触发器

Fast divergence: bearish outlook

快速分歧：看跌前景

Gradual approach: alert

渐进方法：警报

🔥 Current status: The two moving averages are still far apart, and no top signal has appeared yet. The next crossover is expected to be in October 2025.

🔥当前状态：两个移动平均值仍然相距较远，并且还没有出现顶部信号。下一个跨界车预计将是2025年10月。

Link: https://www.bitcoinmagazinepro.com/charts/pi-cycle-top-prediction/

链接：https：//www.bitcoinmagazinepro.com/charts/pi-cycle-top-prediction/

4. Bitcoin Rainbow Chart

4。比特币彩虹图

The Rainbow Chart is an intuitive long-term valuation model that divides the Bitcoin price range into nine different color bands. The model is based on logarithmic regression and takes into account the long-term growth characteristics and cyclical characteristics of Bitcoin. In the past market cycles, the Rainbow Chart has shown a good guiding role, especially in identifying extreme areas.

彩虹图是一个直观的长期评估模型，将比特币价格范围分为九个不同的颜色带。该模型基于对数回归，并考虑了比特币的长期生长特征和周期性特征。在过去的市场周期中，彩虹图表现出了很好的指导作用，尤其是在识别极端领域。

Index range:

索引范围：

Red: Bubble area, sell signal

红色：气泡区，卖信号

Yellow: Overheated area, stay alert

黄色：过热区域，保持警觉

Green: Healthy zone, holding zone

绿色：健康区域，保持区域

Blue: Value zone, buying opportunity

蓝色：价值区，购买机会

🔥 Current status: The price is in the green zone, indicating that the valuation is relatively reasonable and no top signal has appeared.

🔥当前状态：价格在绿色区域，表明估值相对合理，没有出现最高信号。

Link: https://www.coinglass.com/en/pro/i/bitcoin-rainbow-chart

链接：https：//www.coinglass.com/en/pro/i/bitcoin-rainbow-chart

5. Bitcoin terminal price indicator

5。比特币终端价格指标

The terminal price is the transfer price multiplied by 21. The transfer price needs to divide the number of days of coins destroyed by the existing bitcoin supply and its circulation time. This indicator can effectively filter out market speculation factors and reflect the true value of the Bitcoin network.

终端价格是转让价格乘以21。转让价格需要将现有比特币供应销毁的硬币数及其循环时间划分。该指标可以有效地滤除市场投机因素，并反映比特币网络的真实价值。

Signal characteristics: The closer the Bitcoin price is to the red line, the closer the market is to the top.

信号特征：比特币价格越接近红线，市场越接近最高。

🔥 Current status: Not yet reached the top

🔥当前状态：尚未达到顶部

Link: https://www.bitcoinmagazinepro.com/charts/terminal-price/

链接：https：//www.bitcoinmagazinepro.com/charts/terminal-price/

6. Bitcoin market capitalization

6。比特币市值

The market capitalization share indicator reflects Bitcoin's dominance in the entire cryptocurrency market. This indicator is usually used to judge market cycles and capital flows. When Bitcoin's market

市值份额指标反映了比特币在整个加密货币市场中的主导地位。该指标通常用于判断市场周期和资本流动。当比特币的市场