分析师预测香港 ETF 推出推动比特币价格飙升至 65 万美元

随着香港发放新的比特币和以太坊 ETF 许可，顶级分析师 Willy Woo 预测，受强劲的 ETF 投资和有利的市场条件的启发，比特币价格可能飙升至 65 万美元。 Woo 的估计是基于美国采用现货比特币 ETF 后的历史数据，这表明 ETF 的采用可能会导致比特币市值大幅增加。

Bitcoin Price Surge Forecast: Analyst Projects $650,000 Peak Fueled by Hong Kong ETF Launch

比特币价格飙升预测：分析师预计香港 ETF 推出将推动比特币价格达到 65 万美元峰值

Hong Kong's recent licensing of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs has ignited a flurry of excitement among crypto enthusiasts, with top analyst Willy Woo predicting a potential surge in Bitcoin's price to an astronomical $650,000.

香港最近获得比特币和以太坊 ETF 的许可，在加密货币爱好者中引发了一阵兴奋，顶级分析师 Willy Woo 预测比特币的价格可能会飙升至 65 万美元的天文数字。

Robust ETF Investments Drive Growth

稳健的 ETF 投资推动增长

Woo, the co-founder of CMCC Crest, foresees a significant influx of capital into Bitcoin through these newly approved ETFs. He believes that if ETF investors follow the advice of asset managers and allocate a portion of their portfolios to Bitcoin, it could unleash a wave of demand that propels the price to unprecedented heights.

CMCC Crest 联合创始人 Woo 预计，通过这些新批准的 ETF，大量资金将涌入比特币。他认为，如果 ETF 投资者听从资产管理者的建议，将其投资组合的一部分配置为比特币，可能会释放一波需求，将价格推至前所未有的高度。

Historical Precedent

历史先例

Woo cites the historical precedent of the United States' launch of a spot Bitcoin ETF, which was subsequently lauded by MicroStrategy CEO Michael Saylor. Following that approval, Bitcoin experienced an exceptional growth spurt, providing a strong case for the bullish impact of ETF adoption.

Woo 引用了美国推出现货比特币 ETF 的历史先例，随后受到 MicroStrategy 首席执行官 Michael Saylor 的称赞。在获得批准后，比特币经历了非凡的增长，为 ETF 的采用带来的看涨影响提供了强有力的理由。

Market Capitalization Surge

市值激增

Woo's projections paint a compelling picture of Bitcoin's potential market capitalization, fueled by ETF investments. He estimates that the total capital managed by asset managers globally currently stands at a staggering $100 trillion. Based on the industry-standard allocation recommendation of 2% for Bitcoin (as exemplified by Fidelity), this would translate into a potential inflow of $2 trillion into BTC.

Woo 的预测描绘了一幅在 ETF 投资的推动下比特币潜在市值的令人信服的图景。他估计，目前全球资产管理公司管理的总资本达到惊人的 100 万亿美元。根据比特币 2% 的行业标准配置建议（以 Fidelity 为例），这将转化为 2 万亿美元的潜在资金流入 BTC。

MVRV-Based Price Targets

基于 MVRV 的价格目标

To estimate the potential price impact of this capital infusion, Woo employs the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio. This ratio typically fluctuates between 5x during bull market highs and 0.7x during bear market lows.

为了估计本次资本注入对价格的潜在影响，Woo 采用了市场价值与实现价值 (MVRV) 比率。该比率通常在牛市高点期间的 5 倍和熊市低点期间的 0.7 倍之间波动。

Using these parameters, Woo calculates Bitcoin's potential market capitalizations to be $12.8 trillion and $1.8 trillion, corresponding to per-coin prices of $650,000 and $91,000, respectively.

使用这些参数，Woo 计算出比特币的潜在市值为 12.8 万亿美元和 1.8 万亿美元，对应的每枚比特币价格分别为 65 万美元和 91,000 美元。

Conservative Estimates

保守估计

Woo emphasizes that these projections provide a conservative estimate, as they do not account for additional factors such as self-custody inflows, which are currently at significant levels. He anticipates that Bitcoin's price trajectory could potentially exceed these targets.

Woo 强调，这些预测提供了保守的估计，因为它们没有考虑其他因素，例如目前处于显着水平的自我托管流入。他预计比特币的价格轨迹可能会超过这些目标。

Bullish Outlook

看涨前景

Woo's analysis offers a compelling case for a dramatic surge in Bitcoin's price, driven by the introduction of ETFs in Hong Kong. The potential influx of capital from asset managers, combined with the historical precedence of ETF-fueled growth, points towards a bullish outlook for Bitcoin.

Woo 的分析为香港推出 ETF 推动比特币价格大幅上涨提供了令人信服的理由。资产管理公司的潜在资本涌入，加上 ETF 推动增长的历史先例，都表明比特币前景看好。

While the full realization of these projections may take time, Woo's insights provide a tantalizing glimpse into the transformative potential of ETF adoption for the crypto market.

虽然这些预测的完全实现可能需要时间，但 Woo 的见解让我们得以一睹加密货币市场采用 ETF 的变革潜力。