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有迹象表明比特币的价格正在降低,即使从其现场ETF加速流出。 BTC价格上涨至83,200美元
In a surprising turn of events, there are signs that Bitcoin’s (BTC) price is bottoming even as outflows from its spot ETFs accelerate.
令人惊讶的是,有迹象表明比特币(BTC)价格正在触底,即使从其现场ETF加速流出。
Third-party data indicates that investors are abandoning their Bitcoin ETFs this week as the threat of a US recession increases. In total, these funds lost over $712 million during the week, a huge increase from the $172 million they lost a week earlier.
第三方数据表明,随着美国衰退的威胁增加,投资者本周放弃了比特币ETF。这些资金在一周中总共损失了超过7.12亿美元,这比他们一周前损失的1.72亿美元大幅增加。
These funds have experienced net outflows for seven consecutive weeks. Most of their outflows happened in the last week of February when they lost over $2.48 billion in assets.
这些资金连续七个星期经历了净流出。他们的大部分流出发生在2月的最后一周,当时他们损失了超过24.8亿美元的资产。
As a result, Bitcoin funds now have net outflows of $35 billion, substantially higher than Ethereum’s (ETH) $2.5 billion.
结果,比特币基金现在的净流出额为350亿美元,高于以太坊(ETH)的25亿美元。
This trajectory happened as Bitcoin’s price dropped from the year-to-date high of $109,300 to $83,000 today. Also, the outflows increased as the crypto fear and greed index moved to the fear zone.
这一轨迹发生了,因为比特币的价格从今天的109,300美元降至83,000美元。同样,随着加密货币恐惧和贪婪指数转移到恐惧区域,流出增加了。
Bitcoin ETFs have lost substantial assets due to the ongoing trade war between the US and China. China implemented a 125% tariff on the US on Friday as it reacted to Trump’s tariff surge to 145%. In its statement, Beijing noted that it viewed Trump’s policies as a form of bullying.
由于美国和中国之间持续的贸易战,比特币ETF损失了大量资产。中国周五对美国对美国的关税施加了125%的关税,因为它对特朗普的关税增加到145%。北京在声明中指出,它将特朗普的政策视为欺凌的一种形式。
The ongoing trade war means that the US may be heading towards a recession this year, with Polymarket odds jumping to over 65%.
持续的贸易战争意味着美国可能会在今年的衰退中前往衰退,而多个市场的赔率跃升至65%以上。
On the positive side, a recession would be a bullish catalyst for Bitcoin’s price as it would push the Fed to slash interest rates. This explains why the US dollar index has crashed this week.
从积极的一面来看,经济衰退将是比特币价格的看涨催化剂,因为这将促使美联储削减利率。这就解释了为什么美元指数本周崩溃了。
Bitcoin Price Technical Analysis
比特币价格技术分析
There are signs that the BTC price has bottomed. The chart above shows that the price of Bitcoin dropped to $73,600 this month. This was a notable price since it was near the key support level at $73,576, the highest swing in March last year.
有迹象表明BTC价格已经触底了。上图显示,本月比特币的价格下跌至73,600美元。这是一个值得注意的价格,因为它接近了73,576美元的关键支持水平,这是去年3月的最高摇摆。
Also, Bitcoin’s price has formed a double-bottom pattern at $76,493. A double-bottom pattern is a highly bullish sign that leads to more gains over time.
此外,比特币的价格已经形成了双底模式,价格为76,493美元。双底模式是一个高度看涨的标志,随着时间的流逝,增长更多。
Therefore, the coin will likely rebound in the coming days, with the next target being at the neckline of $88,575. A drop below the support at $73,575 would invalidate the bullish view.
因此,硬币可能会在未来几天反弹,下一个目标的领口为88,575美元。低于$ 73,575的支持将使看涨视图无效。
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