分析師預測香港 ETF 推出推動比特幣價格飆升至 65 萬美元

隨著香港發放新的比特幣和以太坊 ETF 許可，頂級分析師 Willy Woo 預測，受強勁的 ETF 投資和有利的市場條件的啟發，比特幣價格可能飆升至 65 萬美元。 Woo 的估計是基於美國採用現貨比特幣 ETF 後的歷史數據，這表明 ETF 的採用可能會導致比特幣市值大幅增加。

Bitcoin Price Surge Forecast: Analyst Projects $650,000 Peak Fueled by Hong Kong ETF Launch

比特幣價格飆漲預測：分析師預計香港 ETF 推出將推動比特幣價格達到 65 萬美元峰值

Hong Kong's recent licensing of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs has ignited a flurry of excitement among crypto enthusiasts, with top analyst Willy Woo predicting a potential surge in Bitcoin's price to an astronomical $650,000.

香港最近獲得比特幣和以太坊 ETF 的許可，在加密貨幣愛好者中引發了一陣興奮，頂級分析師 Willy Woo 預測比特幣的價格可能會飆升至 65 萬美元的天文數字。

Robust ETF Investments Drive Growth

穩健的 ETF 投資推動成長

Woo, the co-founder of CMCC Crest, foresees a significant influx of capital into Bitcoin through these newly approved ETFs. He believes that if ETF investors follow the advice of asset managers and allocate a portion of their portfolios to Bitcoin, it could unleash a wave of demand that propels the price to unprecedented heights.

CMCC Crest 聯合創始人 Woo 預計，透過這些新批准的 ETF，大量資金將湧入比特幣。他認為，如果 ETF 投資人聽從資產管理者的建議，將投資組合的一部分配置為比特幣，可能會釋放一波需求，將價格推至前所未有的高度。

Historical Precedent

歷史先例

Woo cites the historical precedent of the United States' launch of a spot Bitcoin ETF, which was subsequently lauded by MicroStrategy CEO Michael Saylor. Following that approval, Bitcoin experienced an exceptional growth spurt, providing a strong case for the bullish impact of ETF adoption.

Woo 引用了美國推廣出現貨比特幣 ETF 的歷史先例，隨後受到 MicroStrategy 執行長 Michael Saylor 的稱讚。在獲得批准後，比特幣經歷了非凡的成長，為 ETF 的採用帶來的看漲影響提供了強有力的理由。

Market Capitalization Surge

市值激增

Woo's projections paint a compelling picture of Bitcoin's potential market capitalization, fueled by ETF investments. He estimates that the total capital managed by asset managers globally currently stands at a staggering $100 trillion. Based on the industry-standard allocation recommendation of 2% for Bitcoin (as exemplified by Fidelity), this would translate into a potential inflow of $2 trillion into BTC.

Woo 的預測描繪了一幅在 ETF 投資的推動下比特幣潛在市值的令人信服的圖景。他估計，目前全球資產管理公司管理的總資本達到驚人的 100 兆美元。根據比特幣 2% 的行業標準配置建議（以 Fidelity 為例），這將轉化為 2 兆美元的潛在資金流入 BTC。

MVRV-Based Price Targets

基於 MVRV 的目標價

To estimate the potential price impact of this capital infusion, Woo employs the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio. This ratio typically fluctuates between 5x during bull market highs and 0.7x during bear market lows.

為了估計本次資本注入對價格的潛在影響，Woo 採用了市場價值與實現價值 (MVRV) 比率。該比率通常在牛市高點期間的 5 倍和熊市低點期間的 0.7 倍之間波動。

Using these parameters, Woo calculates Bitcoin's potential market capitalizations to be $12.8 trillion and $1.8 trillion, corresponding to per-coin prices of $650,000 and $91,000, respectively.

使用這些參數，Woo 計算出比特幣的潛在市值為 12.8 兆美元和 1.8 兆美元，對應的每枚比特幣價格分別為 65 萬美元和 91,000 美元。

Conservative Estimates

保守估計

Woo emphasizes that these projections provide a conservative estimate, as they do not account for additional factors such as self-custody inflows, which are currently at significant levels. He anticipates that Bitcoin's price trajectory could potentially exceed these targets.

Woo 強調，這些預測提供了保守的估計，因為它們沒有考慮其他因素，例如目前處於顯著水平的自我託管流入。他預計比特幣的價格軌跡可能會超過這些目標。

Bullish Outlook

看漲前景

Woo's analysis offers a compelling case for a dramatic surge in Bitcoin's price, driven by the introduction of ETFs in Hong Kong. The potential influx of capital from asset managers, combined with the historical precedence of ETF-fueled growth, points towards a bullish outlook for Bitcoin.

Woo 的分析為香港推出 ETF 推動比特幣價格大幅上漲提供了令人信服的理由。資產管理公司的潛在資本湧入，加上 ETF 推動成長的歷史先例，都顯示比特幣前景看好。

While the full realization of these projections may take time, Woo's insights provide a tantalizing glimpse into the transformative potential of ETF adoption for the crypto market.

雖然這些預測的完全實現可能需要時間，但 Woo 的見解讓我們得以一窺加密貨幣市場採用 ETF 的變革潛力。