一位著名的美国经济学家建议黄金，纳斯达克和比特币之间有关系

一位著名的美国经济学家建议黄金，纳斯达克和比特币之间存在关系，称纳斯达克的下降通常会导致比特币的下降。

"A well-known American economist, Peter Schiff, has suggested a relationship between gold, NASDAQ and Bitcoin, saying that a decline in NASDAQ usually leads to a decrease in Bitcoin.,,,

“一位著名的美国经济学家彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）提出了黄金，纳斯达克和比特币之间的关系，他说纳斯达克的下降通常会导致比特币的下降。

Schiff explained in a post the correlation between the state of Bitcoin and the market situation of NASDAQ, adding that there is a negative relationship between gold and NASDAQ.

希夫在一篇文章中解释了比特币状态与纳斯达克市场状况之间的相关性，并补充说黄金与纳斯达克之间存在负相关关系。

"NASDAQ is now down 12%. If this correction turns out to be a bear market, and the correlation where a 12% decline in the NASDAQ equates to a 24% decline in Bitcoin holds, when the NASDAQ is down 20%, Bitcoin will be about $65K. But if the NASDAQ goes into a bear market, history shows that the decline will be much larger," Schiff said.

“纳斯达克现在下跌了12％。如果这种纠正是一个熊市，而纳斯达克人的相关性下降了12％，则相当于比特币的下降24％，而纳斯达克币则下降了20％，比特币将达到65,000美元。但是，如果纳斯达克的市场降低了，历史将显示出大于熊市，这将显示出较大的降低，这将大大降低。

The economist further stated that after the bursting of the Dot-com bubble, NASDAQ plummeted by nearly 80% while during the 2008 global financial crisis, it dropped by 55%, and, recently, during the pandemic crash in 2020, NASDAQ went down by around 30%.

这位经济学家进一步指出，纳斯达克泡沫破裂后，纳斯达克泡沫暴跌了近80％，而在2008年全球金融危机期间，纳斯达克泡沫下降了55％，最近，在2020年的大流行崩溃期间，纳斯达克跌倒了约30％。

"The average of those three bear markets is a 55% decline. If this bear market bottoms with just a 40% decline, that would put Bitcoin at about $20K. However, my bet would be that a drop of that magnitude would accelerate Bitcoin’s collapse to much lower levels," he added.

他补充说：“这三个熊市的平均水平下降了55％。如果这个熊市的速度仅下降了40％，那将使比特币处于约20万美元。但是，我的赌注是，这样的大小将使比特币的崩溃加速到更低的水平。”

Yellow Metal Continues To Shine

黄色金属继续发光

Schiff might have a bearish outlook on Bitcoin but offered a more optimistic view on gold, saying there is a negative relationship between NASDAQ and gold.

席夫（Schiff）可能对比特币有看跌的前景，但对黄金提出了更乐观的看法，称纳斯达克和黄金之间存在负面关系。

"Since the NASDAQ topped on December 16, 2023, gold has risen by 13%, which is an almost perfect 1-to-1 correlation. If that correlation holds too, a 40% drop in the NASDAQ would put gold over $3,800. However, my guess is that if a bear market in stocks coincides with a significant decline in the dollar on foreign exchange markets, gold will rise much higher," he explained in a post.

“自从纳斯达克（NASDAQ）于2023年12月16日上位以来，黄金增长了13％，这几乎是一个完美的1对1相关性。如果这种相关性也是如此，纳斯达克的黄金下降了40％，纳斯达克人的金牌将超过3,800美元。但是，我的猜测是，如果股市与股票的大幅下降，那么众多的股票兴起了众多的货物，却越来越多地在货币市场上兴起，这将使众多的货币越来越高，这会揭示出众多的兴趣，而众多的金牌却越来越高，这是众多的，``又会遇到欧洲货币，而这将使众多的货物兴起，这将使众多的金牌兴起。

Gold-Bitcoin Comparison

金 - 比币比较

The economist said that even if gold were at $3,800 gold and Bitcoin was at $20,000, in terms of gold, the firstborn crypto would decrease by 85%, adding that it would more likely end the comparison that Bitcoin is a store of value similar to gold.

这位经济学家说，即使黄金的黄金价格为3,800美元，比特币的价格为20,000美元，就黄金而言，长子加密货币也将减少85％，并补充说，更有可能结束比较比特币是类似于黄金的价值的储存。

"There will clearly be no justification for the US government or any state government to keep any Bitcoin in a Strategic Reserve. There will also be no reason for ETF investors to keep holding their positions either. With all that selling, it will be impossible for $MSTR to sell enough Bitcoin to avoid bankruptcy," said Schiff.

席夫说：“美国政府或任何州政府都没有理由将任何比特币保留在战略储备中。也没有理由让ETF投资者继续保持自己的职位。随着所有这些销售，$ MST的销售将不可能卖出足够的比特币来避免破产，” Schiff说。

As of writing, Bitcoin is traded at $82,433 with a market cap of over $1.6 trillion.

截至写作时，比特币的交易价格为82,433美元，市值超过1.6万亿美元。