一位著名的美國經濟學家建議黃金，納斯達克和比特幣之間有關係

一位著名的美國經濟學家建議黃金，納斯達克和比特幣之間存在關係，稱納斯達克的下降通常會導致比特幣的下降。

"A well-known American economist, Peter Schiff, has suggested a relationship between gold, NASDAQ and Bitcoin, saying that a decline in NASDAQ usually leads to a decrease in Bitcoin.,,,

“一位著名的美國經濟學家彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）提出了黃金，納斯達克和比特幣之間的關係，他說納斯達克的下降通常會導致比特幣的下降。

Schiff explained in a post the correlation between the state of Bitcoin and the market situation of NASDAQ, adding that there is a negative relationship between gold and NASDAQ.

希夫在一篇文章中解釋了比特幣狀態與納斯達克市場狀況之間的相關性，並補充說黃金與納斯達克之間存在負相關關係。

"NASDAQ is now down 12%. If this correction turns out to be a bear market, and the correlation where a 12% decline in the NASDAQ equates to a 24% decline in Bitcoin holds, when the NASDAQ is down 20%, Bitcoin will be about $65K. But if the NASDAQ goes into a bear market, history shows that the decline will be much larger," Schiff said.

“納斯達克現在下跌了12％。如果這種糾正是一個熊市，而納斯達克人的相關性下降了12％，則相當於比特幣的下降24％，而納斯達克幣則下降了20％，比特幣將達到65,000美元。但是，如果納斯達克的市場降低了，歷史將顯示出大於熊市，這將顯示出較大的降低，這將大大降低。

The economist further stated that after the bursting of the Dot-com bubble, NASDAQ plummeted by nearly 80% while during the 2008 global financial crisis, it dropped by 55%, and, recently, during the pandemic crash in 2020, NASDAQ went down by around 30%.

這位經濟學家進一步指出，納斯達克泡沫破裂後，納斯達克泡沫暴跌了近80％，而在2008年全球金融危機期間，納斯達克泡沫下降了55％，最近，在2020年的大流行崩潰期間，納斯達克跌倒了約30％。

"The average of those three bear markets is a 55% decline. If this bear market bottoms with just a 40% decline, that would put Bitcoin at about $20K. However, my bet would be that a drop of that magnitude would accelerate Bitcoin’s collapse to much lower levels," he added.

他補充說：“這三個熊市的平均水平下降了55％。如果這個熊市的速度僅下降了40％，那將使比特幣處於約20萬美元。但是，我的賭注是，這樣的大小將使比特幣的崩潰加速到更低的水平。”

Yellow Metal Continues To Shine

黃色金屬繼續發光

Schiff might have a bearish outlook on Bitcoin but offered a more optimistic view on gold, saying there is a negative relationship between NASDAQ and gold.

席夫（Schiff）可能對比特幣有看跌的前景，但對黃金提出了更樂觀的看法，稱納斯達克和黃金之間存在負面關係。

"Since the NASDAQ topped on December 16, 2023, gold has risen by 13%, which is an almost perfect 1-to-1 correlation. If that correlation holds too, a 40% drop in the NASDAQ would put gold over $3,800. However, my guess is that if a bear market in stocks coincides with a significant decline in the dollar on foreign exchange markets, gold will rise much higher," he explained in a post.

“自從納斯達克（NASDAQ）於2023年12月16日上位以來，黃金增長了13％，這幾乎是一個完美的1對1相關性。如果這種相關性也是如此，納斯達克的黃金下降了40％，納斯達克人的金牌將超過3,800美元。但是，我的猜測是，如果股市與股票的大幅下降，那麼眾多的股票興起了眾多的貨物，卻越來越多地在貨幣市場上興起，這將使眾多的貨幣越來越高，這會揭示出眾多的興趣，而眾多的金牌卻越來越高，這是眾多的，``又會遇到歐洲貨幣，而這將使眾多的貨物興起，這將使眾多的金牌興起。

Gold-Bitcoin Comparison

金 - 比幣比較

The economist said that even if gold were at $3,800 gold and Bitcoin was at $20,000, in terms of gold, the firstborn crypto would decrease by 85%, adding that it would more likely end the comparison that Bitcoin is a store of value similar to gold.

這位經濟學家說，即使黃金的黃金價格為3,800美元，比特幣的價格為20,000美元，就黃金而言，長子加密貨幣也將減少85％，並補充說，更有可能結束比較比特幣是類似於黃金的價值的儲存。

"There will clearly be no justification for the US government or any state government to keep any Bitcoin in a Strategic Reserve. There will also be no reason for ETF investors to keep holding their positions either. With all that selling, it will be impossible for $MSTR to sell enough Bitcoin to avoid bankruptcy," said Schiff.

席夫說：“美國政府或任何州政府都沒有理由將任何比特幣保留在戰略儲備中。也沒有理由讓ETF投資者繼續保持自己的職位。隨著所有這些銷售，$ MST的銷售將不可能賣出足夠的比特幣來避免破產，” Schiff說。

As of writing, Bitcoin is traded at $82,433 with a market cap of over $1.6 trillion.

截至寫作時，比特幣的交易價格為82,433美元，市值超過1.6萬億美元。