比特币[BTC]调整后，山寨币出现大幅折扣，但现在是逢低买入的时候吗？

在比特币 [BTC] 调整后，近期市场出现抛售，山寨币大幅折扣。

Recent market sell-offs following Bitcoin’s [BTC] correction have left altcoins trading at massive discounts.

比特币[BTC]调整后最近的市场抛售导致山寨币交易大幅折扣。

This has prompted some analysts to advise “buying the dip.” However, on-chain analyst and Alphractal founder Joao Wedson has issued a stark warning to altcoin traders.

这促使一些分析师建议“逢低买入”。然而，链上分析师兼 Alphractal 创始人 Joao Wedson 向山寨币交易者发出了严厉警告。

“The best strategy is to stay in Stablecoins, not BTC or any Altcoins,” Wedson stated. “The recent performance and dominance trends aren’t favorable. The ideal exit was when BTC was above $106k —time to exit everything!”

“最好的策略是留在稳定币，而不是比特币或任何山寨币，”韦德森表示。 “最近的表现和主导趋势并不乐观。理想的退出是当 BTC 高于 10.6 万美元时——是时候退出一切了！”

According to Wedson, an uptick in Bitcoin vs. altcoin positioning indicated that more capital flowed from altcoins to BTC and stablecoins.

Wedson 表示，比特币与山寨币持仓的上升表明更多资金从山寨币流向比特币和稳定币。

Is it time to buy altcoins?

现在是购买山寨币的时候了吗？

Wedson observed that BTC dominance marked a bottom above 54%, which could strengthen over the next few weeks and months. He projected this scenario as “terrible for altcoins.”

Wedson 观察到，BTC 的主导地位已触底，超过 54%，并且在未来几周和几个月内可能会加强。他预计这种情况“对于山寨币来说是可怕的”。

Moreover, the analyst highlighted that BTC dominance 90-day change turning positive for the first time since the wild altcoin rally in November worsened the situation for altcoins.

此外，分析师强调，自 11 月份山寨币疯狂上涨以来，比特币的 90 天主导地位变化首次转为正值，这使得山寨币的情况更加恶化。

To summarize, the altcoin sector may not experience a strong rebound from the recent correction. Most of the top and mid-cap altcoins were down 10%-30% in the past week.

总而言之，山寨币行业可能不会从近期的调整中出现强劲反弹。大多数顶级和中型山寨币在过去一周下跌了 10%-30%。

Among the top altcoins, Ripple [XRP] and Cardano [ADA] saw significant dumps. XRP was down nearly 10% but remained above $2. On the other hand, ADA dropped 18% and slipped below $1 during the same period.

在顶级山寨币中，瑞波币 [XRP] 和卡尔达诺 [ADA] 出现了大幅下跌。 XRP 下跌近 10%，但仍高于 2 美元。另一方面，ADA 同期下跌 18%，跌破 1 美元。

Interestingly, Ethereum [ETH] held the dump much better, dropping only 6% but defending $3.5K as support.

有趣的是，以太坊 [ETH] 的表现要好得多，仅下跌 6%，但守住了 3500 美元的支撑位。

However, other outliers like Hyperliquid [HYPE] and Pudgy Penguins [PENGU] rallied 40% and 425%, respectively.

然而，Hyperliquid [HYPE] 和 Pudgy Penguins [PENGU] 等其他异常股票分别上涨了 40% 和 425%。

Despite these outliers, the overall altcoin sector performance slowed even further, with the Altcoin Season Index dropping to a monthly low of 50%.

尽管存在这些异常情况，山寨币行业的整体表现进一步放缓，山寨币季节指数跌至 50% 的月度低点。

While the data leaned toward bears, the anticipated ‘Santa rally’ could boost altcoins’ prospects. Additionally, a potential strong rebound in 2025 could renew market interest in altcoins.

虽然数据倾向于空头，但预期的“圣诞老人反弹”可能会提振山寨币的前景。此外，2025 年潜在的强劲反弹可能会重新激发市场对山寨币的兴趣。