比特幣[BTC]調整後，山寨幣出現大幅折扣，但現在是逢低買入的時候嗎？

在比特幣 [BTC] 調整後，近期市場出現拋售，山寨幣大幅折扣。

Recent market sell-offs following Bitcoin’s [BTC] correction have left altcoins trading at massive discounts.

比特幣[BTC]調整後最近的市場拋售導致山寨幣交易大幅折扣。

This has prompted some analysts to advise “buying the dip.” However, on-chain analyst and Alphractal founder Joao Wedson has issued a stark warning to altcoin traders.

這促使一些分析師建議「逢低買進」。然而，鏈上分析師兼 Alphractal 創始人 Joao Wedson 向山寨幣交易者發出了嚴厲警告。

“The best strategy is to stay in Stablecoins, not BTC or any Altcoins,” Wedson stated. “The recent performance and dominance trends aren’t favorable. The ideal exit was when BTC was above $106k —time to exit everything!”

「最好的策略是留在穩定幣，而不是比特幣或任何山寨幣，」韋德森表示。 「最近的表現和主導趨勢並不樂觀。理想的退出是當 BTC 高於 10.6 萬美元時——是時候退出一切了！

According to Wedson, an uptick in Bitcoin vs. altcoin positioning indicated that more capital flowed from altcoins to BTC and stablecoins.

Wedson 表示，比特幣與山寨幣持倉的上升表明更多資金從山寨幣流向比特幣和穩定幣。

Is it time to buy altcoins?

現在是購買山寨幣的時候了嗎？

Wedson observed that BTC dominance marked a bottom above 54%, which could strengthen over the next few weeks and months. He projected this scenario as “terrible for altcoins.”

Wedson 觀察到，BTC 的主導地位標誌著 54% 以上的底部，並且在未來幾週和幾個月內可能會加強。他預計這種情況「對於山寨幣來說是可怕的」。

Moreover, the analyst highlighted that BTC dominance 90-day change turning positive for the first time since the wild altcoin rally in November worsened the situation for altcoins.

此外，分析師強調，自 11 月山寨幣瘋狂上漲以來，比特幣的 90 天主導地位變化首次轉為正值，這使得山寨幣的情況更加惡化。

To summarize, the altcoin sector may not experience a strong rebound from the recent correction. Most of the top and mid-cap altcoins were down 10%-30% in the past week.

總而言之，山寨幣產業可能不會從近期的調整中出現強勁反彈。大多數頂級和中型山寨幣在過去一周下跌了 10%-30%。

Among the top altcoins, Ripple [XRP] and Cardano [ADA] saw significant dumps. XRP was down nearly 10% but remained above $2. On the other hand, ADA dropped 18% and slipped below $1 during the same period.

在頂級山寨幣中，瑞波幣 [XRP] 和卡爾達諾 [ADA] 出現了大幅下跌。 XRP 下跌近 10%，但仍高於 2 美元。另一方面，ADA 同期下跌 18%，跌破 1 美元。

Interestingly, Ethereum [ETH] held the dump much better, dropping only 6% but defending $3.5K as support.

有趣的是，以太幣 [ETH] 的表現要好得多，僅下跌 6%，但守住了 3500 美元的支撐位。

However, other outliers like Hyperliquid [HYPE] and Pudgy Penguins [PENGU] rallied 40% and 425%, respectively.

然而，Hyperliquid [HYPE] 和 Pudgy Penguins [PENGU] 等其他異常股票分別上漲了 40% 和 425%。

Despite these outliers, the overall altcoin sector performance slowed even further, with the Altcoin Season Index dropping to a monthly low of 50%.

儘管存在這些異常情況，山寨幣行業的整體表現進一步放緩，山寨幣季節指數跌至 50% 的月度低點。

While the data leaned toward bears, the anticipated ‘Santa rally’ could boost altcoins’ prospects. Additionally, a potential strong rebound in 2025 could renew market interest in altcoins.

雖然數據傾向於空頭，但預期的「聖誕老人反彈」可能會提振山寨幣的前景。此外，2025 年潛在的強勁反彈可能會重新激發市場對山寨幣的興趣。