Altcoin市场即将进入一个新赛季，该季节可能持续217天

一项新的技术分析表明，加密市场（包括以太坊（ETH）和Dogecoin（Doge）等山寨币）即将体验一个主要的Altcoin季节

A new technical analysis suggests that the crypto market, which includes altcoins like Ethereum (ETH) and Dogecoin (DOGE), is about to experience a major season that could last 217 days. If a critical support level is maintained, the analyst suggests that we may finally see the long-anticipated season.

一项新的技术分析表明，加密市场（包括以太坊（ETH）和Dogecoin（Doge））的加密市场即将体验一个可能持续217天的主要季节。如果维持关键的支持水平，分析师建议我们最终可能会看到长期以来的季节。

The Importance Of Holding A Critical Support Level

保持关键支持水平的重要性

Sporia, a TradingView crypto analyst, has shared a technical analysis of the altcoin market, highlighting key indicators within the Total2 chart, which represents the total crypto market cap excluding Bitcoin. The market expert emphasizes the importance of holding a critical support level, noting that the highly anticipated season could finally begin if this zone is maintained.

TradingView Crypto分析师Sporia分享了Altcoin市场的技术分析，突出了Total2图表中的主要指标，该指标代表了不包括比特币的总加密货币市值。市场专家强调了保持关键支持水平的重要性，并指出，如果维持该区域，备受期待的季节最终可以开始。

The analyst stated that his count of events has reached four with a fourth hit of the critical diagonal support, highlighting the potential for a final bottom. He explained that his indicator, which he described as a "secret weapon" in determining bottom signals, has managed to identify the significant bottom in 2022.

这位分析师表示，他的事件次数已在关键的对角线支撑的第四次打击中达到了四项，突出了最终底部的潜力。他解释说，他所说的指标是确定底部信号的“秘密武器”，已设法在2022年确定了重要的底部。

Sporia explained that his indicator has hit the crucial diagonal support two times since 2022, highlighting the importance of this technical level. According to him, each time this indicator encountered a crucial point, it signaled a bottom in the market.

Sporia解释说，自2022年以来，他的指标已经两次达到了至关重要的对角线支撑，强调了这一技术水平的重要性。据他说，每次此指标都遇到一个关键点时，它都会标志着市场的最低点。

Sporia stated that this week, his indicator has hit a bottom, marking the fourth time it has hit the critical diagonal support. The last time this happened was during the August 2024 crash, which mirrored the COVID crash in the last cycle.

Sporia表示，本周，他的指标达到了最低点，这是第四次达到关键的对角线支撑。最后一次发生的是在2024年8月坠机事故中，这反映了上一个周期中的互联事故。

Sporia expressed excitement about this trend, further solidifying his confidence in a strong season. He further underscores that the alignment of events, including key support line formations during the week of the Fibonacci time sequences, indicates the heightened possibility of a major market shift.

Sporia对这一趋势表达了兴奋，进一步巩固了他对强大赛季的信心。他进一步强调，事件的一致性，包括斐波那契时间序列的一周内的关键支持线形成，表明大型市场转移的可能性增加。

Tracking Fibonacci-based time cycles, Sporia revealed that the first two hits did not trigger any major events, but the third hit at the 2.618 level led to a significant pivot. Currently, this fourth hit at the 3.618 level coincides with the August 2024 crash, which mirrored the COVID crash in the last cycle. This suggests a 50% accuracy rate for the current Fibonacci sequence, making it an ideal target to watch for a potential bottom and pivot.

Sporia跟踪基于斐波那契的时间周期，透露前两次命中并没有触发任何重大事件，但第三次命中率为2.618，导致了显着的枢轴。目前，这在3.618级别的第四次命中与2024年8月的崩溃相吻合，这反映了上一个周期中的Covid崩溃。这表明当前斐波那契序列的精度为50％，这使其成为关注潜在底部和枢轴的理想目标。

Sporia Predicts A 217 Days Bull Rally For The Altcoin Market

Sporia预测，Altcoin市场将举行217天的公牛集会

Diving deeper into his analysis, Sporia predicts that the altcoin market could rally for 217 days, peaking by October 13, 2025, roughly 20 to 30 days after Bitcoin reaches its projected cycle top. He argues that, historically, Bitcoin has always hit a cycle top before altcoins do.

Sporia预测，深入研究了他的分析，山寨币市场可能会持续217天，到2025年10月13日达到顶峰，大约在比特币达到其预计周期顶部后约20至30天。他认为，从历史上看，比特币一直在Altcoins之前击中循环顶部。

In 2021, Bitcoin peaked in April, and the altcoin market topped 28 days later. Similarly, in 2017, Bitcoin reached the top of the market, and altcoins followed 22 days later. For this market cycle, Sporia projects that Bitcoin will hit its highest point by mid-September after a typical 1,050-day cycle from its previous market bottom.

2021年，比特币在四月份达到顶峰，而Altcoin市场高达28天。同样，在2017年，比特币达到了市场的顶端，替代币紧随其后22天后。在这个市场周期中，Sporia预测比特币将在9月中旬达到最高点，此前其典型的1,050天周期距离以前的市场底部。

Notably, the analyst revealed that the last time the altcoin market hit the 3.618 Fib level, its total market capitalization surged to $5 trillion.

值得注意的是，分析师透露，上一次Altcoin市场达到3.618 FIB水平，其总市值飙升至5万亿美元。

Overall, Sporia has indicated a 99% surety that the altcoin market will bottom so long as the key diagonal support holds. If it does, he highlights that the market should expect a V-shaped recovery and an uptrend lasting for 217 days.

总体而言，Sporia表示，只要关键的对角线支撑持有，Altcoin市场就会降低99％的保证。如果确实如此，他强调说，市场应该期望V形恢复和上升趋势持续217天。