Altcoin市場即將進入一個新賽季，該季節可能持續217天

一項新的技術分析表明，加密市場（包括以太坊（ETH）和Dogecoin（Doge）等山寨幣）即將體驗一個主要的Altcoin季節

A new technical analysis suggests that the crypto market, which includes altcoins like Ethereum (ETH) and Dogecoin (DOGE), is about to experience a major season that could last 217 days. If a critical support level is maintained, the analyst suggests that we may finally see the long-anticipated season.

一項新的技術分析表明，加密市場（包括以太坊（ETH）和Dogecoin（Doge））的加密市場即將體驗一個可能持續217天的主要季節。如果維持關鍵的支持水平，分析師建議我們最終可能會看到長期以來的季節。

The Importance Of Holding A Critical Support Level

保持關鍵支持水平的重要性

Sporia, a TradingView crypto analyst, has shared a technical analysis of the altcoin market, highlighting key indicators within the Total2 chart, which represents the total crypto market cap excluding Bitcoin. The market expert emphasizes the importance of holding a critical support level, noting that the highly anticipated season could finally begin if this zone is maintained.

TradingView Crypto分析師Sporia分享了Altcoin市場的技術分析，突出了Total2圖表中的主要指標，該指標代表了不包括比特幣的總加密貨幣市值。市場專家強調了保持關鍵支持水平的重要性，並指出，如果維持該區域，備受期待的季節最終可以開始。

The analyst stated that his count of events has reached four with a fourth hit of the critical diagonal support, highlighting the potential for a final bottom. He explained that his indicator, which he described as a "secret weapon" in determining bottom signals, has managed to identify the significant bottom in 2022.

這位分析師表示，他的事件次數已在關鍵的對角線支撐的第四次打擊中達到了四項，突出了最終底部的潛力。他解釋說，他所說的指標是確定底部信號的“秘密武器”，已設法在2022年確定了重要的底部。

Sporia explained that his indicator has hit the crucial diagonal support two times since 2022, highlighting the importance of this technical level. According to him, each time this indicator encountered a crucial point, it signaled a bottom in the market.

Sporia解釋說，自2022年以來，他的指標已經兩次達到了至關重要的對角線支撐，強調了這一技術水平的重要性。據他說，每次此指標都遇到一個關鍵點時，它都會標誌著市場的最低點。

Sporia stated that this week, his indicator has hit a bottom, marking the fourth time it has hit the critical diagonal support. The last time this happened was during the August 2024 crash, which mirrored the COVID crash in the last cycle.

Sporia表示，本週，他的指標達到了最低點，這是第四次達到關鍵的對角線支撐。最後一次發生的是在2024年8月墜機事故中，這反映了上一個週期中的互聯事故。

Sporia expressed excitement about this trend, further solidifying his confidence in a strong season. He further underscores that the alignment of events, including key support line formations during the week of the Fibonacci time sequences, indicates the heightened possibility of a major market shift.

Sporia對這一趨勢表達了興奮，進一步鞏固了他對強大賽季的信心。他進一步強調，事件的一致性，包括斐波那契時間序列的一周內的關鍵支持線形成，表明大型市場轉移的可能性增加。

Tracking Fibonacci-based time cycles, Sporia revealed that the first two hits did not trigger any major events, but the third hit at the 2.618 level led to a significant pivot. Currently, this fourth hit at the 3.618 level coincides with the August 2024 crash, which mirrored the COVID crash in the last cycle. This suggests a 50% accuracy rate for the current Fibonacci sequence, making it an ideal target to watch for a potential bottom and pivot.

Sporia跟踪基於斐波那契的時間週期，透露前兩次命中並沒有觸發任何重大事件，但第三次命中率為2.618，導致了顯著的樞軸。目前，這在3.618級別的第四次命中與2024年8月的崩潰相吻合，這反映了上一個週期中的Covid崩潰。這表明當前斐波那契序列的精度為50％，這使其成為關注潛在底部和樞軸的理想目標。

Sporia Predicts A 217 Days Bull Rally For The Altcoin Market

Sporia預測，Altcoin市場將舉行217天的公牛集會

Diving deeper into his analysis, Sporia predicts that the altcoin market could rally for 217 days, peaking by October 13, 2025, roughly 20 to 30 days after Bitcoin reaches its projected cycle top. He argues that, historically, Bitcoin has always hit a cycle top before altcoins do.

Sporia預測，深入研究了他的分析，山寨幣市場可能會持續217天，到2025年10月13日達到頂峰，大約在比特幣達到其預計週期頂部後約20至30天。他認為，從歷史上看，比特幣一直在Altcoins之前擊中循環頂部。

In 2021, Bitcoin peaked in April, and the altcoin market topped 28 days later. Similarly, in 2017, Bitcoin reached the top of the market, and altcoins followed 22 days later. For this market cycle, Sporia projects that Bitcoin will hit its highest point by mid-September after a typical 1,050-day cycle from its previous market bottom.

2021年，比特幣在四月份達到頂峰，而Altcoin市場高達28天。同樣，在2017年，比特幣達到了市場的頂端，替代幣緊隨其後22天后。在這個市場週期中，Sporia預測比特幣將在9月中旬達到最高點，此前其典型的1,050天週期距離以前的市場底部。

Notably, the analyst revealed that the last time the altcoin market hit the 3.618 Fib level, its total market capitalization surged to $5 trillion.

值得注意的是，分析師透露，上一次Altcoin市場達到3.618 FIB水平，其總市值飆升至5萬億美元。

Overall, Sporia has indicated a 99% surety that the altcoin market will bottom so long as the key diagonal support holds. If it does, he highlights that the market should expect a V-shaped recovery and an uptrend lasting for 217 days.

總體而言，Sporia表示，只要關鍵的對角線支撐持有，Altcoin市場就會降低99％的保證。如果確實如此，他強調說，市場應該期望V形恢復和上升趨勢持續217天。