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阿诺德周末在 X 上表达了这一观点。他在帖子中警告加密市场参与者根据现实调整对各种加密资产的期望。
Altcoin Daily founder Aaron Arnold has maintained that hoping for a one-cent Shiba Inu price as early as next year is a pipe dream.
Altcoin Daily 创始人亚伦·阿诺德 (Aaron Arnold) 坚称,希望最早在明年将柴犬价格降到一美分是一个白日梦。
Arnold shared this perspective on X over the weekend. In his post, he urged crypto market participants to temper their expectations for various crypto assets with reality.
阿诺德周末在 X 上分享了这一观点。他在帖子中敦促加密市场参与者结合现实调整对各种加密资产的预期。
Specifically, Arnold highlighted that the foremost mistake beginners make in the crypto market is poorly estimating price forecasts without the asset’s market cap. He stressed that this miscalculation could derail their crypto endeavors.
具体来说,阿诺德强调,初学者在加密货币市场中犯的最严重的错误是在没有资产市值的情况下对价格预测做出了错误的估计。他强调,这种误判可能会破坏他们的加密货币事业。
He reinforced his point by citing an example involving Shiba Inu. Arnold mentioned that he had heard members of the crypto community discussing their purchases of SHIB, believing that if the price reached $0.01 next year, they would become millionaires.
他通过引用柴犬的例子来强化自己的观点。阿诺德提到,他曾听到加密社区的成员讨论购买 SHIB,认为如果明年价格达到 0.01 美元,他们就会成为百万富翁。
Notably, aside from beginners in the crypto space, several prominent market watchers have argued for Shiba Inu’s potential to surge even beyond $0.01. For instance, in June, Jason Williams, a widely followed Bitcoin author, argued that SHIB could attain $0.05 by next year.
值得注意的是,除了加密货币领域的初学者之外,一些著名的市场观察人士也认为 Shiba Inu 的潜力甚至会突破 0.01 美元。例如,6 月份,广受关注的比特币作者杰森·威廉姆斯 (Jason Williams) 认为,SHIB 明年可能达到 0.05 美元。
However, according to Arnold, this is an overestimation of Shiba Inu’s prospects for this bull season. He emphasized that it is “literally” impossible for Shiba Inu to reach $0.01 next year, citing market cap implications.
然而,阿诺德表示,这是对柴犬在本牛季的前景的高估。他强调,鉴于对市值的影响,柴犬明年“实际上”不可能达到 0.01 美元。
“Learn how to value coins in market cap versus price,” he cautioned.
“了解如何根据市值与价格来评估代币的价值,”他警告说。
Shiba Inu Market Cap at $0.01
柴犬市值为 0.01 美元
Currently, Shiba Inu has a market value of $0.00001845 and a circulating supply of approximately 589.5 trillion tokens. At a price of $0.01, its market cap would soar to $5.895 trillion.
目前,柴犬的市值为 0.00001845 美元,流通量约为 589.5 万亿代币。以0.01美元的价格计算,其市值将飙升至5.895万亿美元。
For context, this resulting valuation at the $0.01 price point is 541 times larger than Shiba Inu’s current market cap of $10.876 billion. In other words, the meme coin would need to experience astronomical growth of 54,100% from its current price of $0.00001845 to reach $0.01 by next year.
就背景而言,按 0.01 美元的价格计算得出的估值是柴犬当前 108.76 亿美元市值的 541 倍。换句话说,Meme 币需要从目前的 0.00001845 美元价格经历 54,100% 的天文数字增长,才能在明年达到 0.01 美元。
Essentially, Arnold aims to stress that anticipating this level of growth for a crypto asset already valued above $10 billion within a one-year timeframe is an unrealistic expectation.
从本质上讲,Arnold 的目的是强调,预计价值已经超过 100 亿美元的加密资产在一年内实现这种增长水平是不切实际的期望。
Notably, in the post-halving run of the last cycle, Shiba Inu rallied by 884,400%. Despite this significant surge, Shiba Inu’s market cap peaked at around $45 billion in October 2021.
值得注意的是,在上一个周期的减半后,柴犬上涨了 884,400%。尽管出现了大幅增长,柴犬的市值在 2021 年 10 月仍达到了 450 亿美元左右的峰值。
Currently, the meme coin holds a valuation in the billions, and climbing higher in rank will be more challenging compared to when it had a market cap of only a few thousand dollars and fewer holders.
目前,meme 币的估值已达数十亿美元,与市值只有几千美元且持有者较少的时候相比,攀登更高的排名将更具挑战性。
Shiba Inu Team Says $0.01 Possible
Shiba Inu 团队表示可能售价 0.01 美元
Some members of the Shiba Inu development team, like its content specialist Lucie, have predicted that SHIB could reach $0.01. However, Lucie did not specify a timeline for next year; she believes it is an attainable goal for Shiba Inu in the future.
Shiba Inu 开发团队的一些成员,例如其内容专家 Lucie,预测 SHIB 可能会达到 0.01 美元。不过,露西没有具体说明明年的时间表;她相信这是柴犬未来可以实现的目标。
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